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Benfica vs Estrela match centre

Benfica badgeBenficaHome · 3 in league
WLLWL
Momentum→ Steady37/100OlderLatest
Full time
4:0
UK time · Europe/London
Estrela badgeEstrelaAway · 15 in league
DWDDL
Momentum↘ Falling36/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
V. Pavlidis42′
V. Pavlidis55′ (pen)
S. Lopes Cabral58′
A. Cabral84′
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
BenficaEstrela
6Corner Kicks1
10Fouls24
3Yellow Cards4
Red Cards
0Goalkeeper Saves4
463Total passes241
405Passes accurate177

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Benfica 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Estrela 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Benfica

2/5Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. No matching venue sample is available.

Inspect Benfica’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Estrela

0/3Wins
0.3Goals / game
3.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Estrela’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Benfica at home with Estrela away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 08:00 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches

BenficaEstrela
18Matches played18
42Points earned19
12Wins4
2.1Goals scored / match1.3
0.6Goals conceded / match1.8
9Clean sheets4
1Failed to score8

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Benfica at home with Estrela away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Benfica

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Jose Mourinho
  1. 1A. TrubinG
  2. 58D. BanjaquiD
  3. 4A. SilvaD
  4. 30N. OtamendiD
  5. 26S. DahlD
  6. 5E. BarrenecheaM
  7. 8F. AursnesM
  8. 25G. PrestianniM
  9. 10G. SudakovM
  10. 15S. Lopes CabralM
  11. 14V. PavlidisF
Substitutes (9)

51 · A. Voitinovicius

9 · F. Ivanovic

17 · A. Dedic

18 · L. Barreiro

21 · A. Schjelderup

27 · Rafa Silva

44 · T. Araujo

72 · Anisio

86 · D. Prioste

Estrela

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Joao Nuno
  1. 40R. RibeiroG
  2. 17J. EncadaD
  3. 30Luan PatrickD
  4. 14Bernardo SchappoD
  5. 83OtavioD
  6. 6K. JanssonM
  7. 19P. MoreiraM
  8. 18J. MeirelesM
  9. 28T. MoustierM
  10. 10I. StoicaM
  11. 7L. AntonettiF
Substitutes (9)

1 · D. Pinto

3 · Ni

8 · Robinho

9 · Rodrigo Pinho

27 · P. Fuhrer

39 · G. Doue

63 · A. Sola

80 · Alisson Souza

89 · J. Gastao

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Benfica

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Anatoliy Trubin906.6—0—18—
Daniel Banjaqui908.3—03354
António Silva907.9—0153—
Nicolás Otamendi906.9—0—581
Samuel Dahl907.5—01581
Enzo Barrenechea456.9—01302
Fredrik Aursnes736.9—01382
Gianluca Prestianni607.2—0—241
Georgiy Sudakov736.7—0—381
Sidny Lopes Cabral908.9113263
Vangelis Pavlidis837.720323—
Leandro Barreiro457.2—0—242
Andreas Schjelderup307.5—0—141
Rafa Silva176.7—0—81
Diogo Prioste176.6—0—16—
Anísio Cabral87.61011—
Arnas Voitinovicius———————
Amar Dedić———————
Tomás Araújo———————
Franjo Ivanović———————

Estrela

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Renan Ribeiro906.0—0—23—
Jefferson Encada905.6—0—283
Luan Patrick906.2—0—313
Bernardo Schappo905.3—0—242
Otavio905.6—0—202
Kevin Höög Jansson656.5—0—162
Paulo Moreira905.9—0—153
Jorge Meireles757.0—0—184
Tom Moustier566.3—0—91
Ianis Stoica755.9—02141
Leandro Antonetti756.3—0111—
Eddy Doue346.7—0—142
Alex Sola256.5—0—91
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho156.3—0—42
Alisson Souza de Jesus156.7—0—4—
Rodrigo Pinho156.3—0—2—
Diogo Pinto———————
Ni———————
Pape Fuhrer———————
Joao Gastao———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Primeira Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Porto34284266184888
WLWWW
2Sporting CP34257289246582
WWWDD
3Benfica342311074254980
WDDWW
4SC Braga341611764362859
DDDLW
5Famalicao341511842291356
WDDWD
6GIL Vicente341311104738950
LLDWL
7Moreirense34127153749-1243
DLWLW
8Arouca34126164764-1742
WWDLW
9Guimaraes34126163951-1242
LLLWW
10Estoril34109155457-339
LDDLL
11Alverca34109153552-1739
LDLWL
12Rio Ave34812143557-2236
DLDLD
13Santa Clara3499163241-936
LWDWD
14Nacional3497183745-834
WLLWW
15Estrela34612163856-1830
DDLLL
16Casa Pia34612163157-2630
DWLLL
17Tondela34610182755-2828
LWWDL
18AVS34312192767-4021
DWWDD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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