Nacional
1/2Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. No matching venue sample is available.
Inspect Nacional’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 19THE MATCH CENTRENacional vs Rio Ave match centre
Full time
4:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Gabriel Veron34′
J. Ramirez46′
Leo Santos72′
Witi90′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
NacionalRio Ave
1.530Expected goals · API-Football0.470
5Shots on target6
14Total Shots11
47%Ball Possession53%
5Corner Kicks5
18Fouls6
3Yellow Cards0
Red Cards
6Goalkeeper Saves1
347Total passes401
277Passes accurate345
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Nacional 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Rio Ave 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Rio Ave
2/3Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Rio Ave’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Nacional
2 matchesResults1 wins · 0 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals2 of 2
Both teams scored2 of 2
Only a few results are available.
Rio Ave
3 matchesResults2 wins · 0 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals1 of 3
Both teams scored1 of 3
Only a few results are available.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Nacional at home with Rio Ave away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:30 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
NacionalRio Ave
18Matches played18
17Points earned20
4Wins4
1.2Goals scored / match1.2
1.5Goals conceded / match1.8
2Clean sheets2
4Failed to score6
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Nacional at home with Rio Ave away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Nacional
Confirmed formation3-4-3Tiago Margarido
- 1
Kaique PereiraG - 34
Leo SantosD - 6
Matheus DiasD - 38
Ze VitorD - 16
A. NunezM - 26
J. SilvaM - 28
LizieroM - 5
Jose GomesM - 27
Gabriel VeronF - 9
J. RamirezF - 11
Paulinho BoiaF
Substitutes (9)
50 · K. V. Medeiros de Freitas
7 · Witi
8 · M. Baeza
10 · Daniel Junior
15 · C. Labidi
18 · A. Sousa
19 · L. Joao
33 · C. Goncalves
88 · Deivison
Rio Ave
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Sotiris Sylaidopoulos
- 22
K. ChamorroG - 23
F. PetrassoD - 32
J. BrabecD - 6
N. AbbeyD - 20
J. TomeM - 44
T. NikitscherM - 10
B. Aguilera ZamoraM - 17
M. VrousaiM - 11
Andre LuizF - 18
D. SpikicF - 9
ClaytonF
Substitutes (9)
29 · A. Pastor
4 · J. Panzo
5 · A. Ntoi
7 · Diogo Bezerra
19 · A. Papakanellos
54 · G. Liavas
63 · J. Lomboto
77 · O. Richards
80 · O. Pohlmann
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Nacional
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaique | 90 | 8.7 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Léo Santos | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | — |
| Matheus Dias | 90 | 8.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 45 | 4 |
| Ze Vitor | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 45 | 5 |
| Alan Nuñez | 90 | 8.3 | — | 1 | — | 24 | 1 |
| Joel Silva | 61 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | — |
| Liziero | 88 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 2 |
| José Gomes | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 26 | 1 |
| Gabriel Veron | 77 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 |
| Jesús Ramírez | 88 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 1 |
| Paulinho Bóia | 77 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| Chiheb Labidi | 29 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Witi | 13 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Daniel Júnior | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| André Sousa | 2 | — | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Lucas João | 2 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Kevyn | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Gonçalves | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Baeza | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Deivison Souza Brito | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rio Ave
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Chamorro | 90 | 5.2 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Francisco Petrasso | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 2 |
| Jakub Brabec | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 59 | 3 |
| Nelson Abbey | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 59 | 1 |
| João Tomé | 77 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 31 | — |
| Tamás Nikitscher | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 2 |
| Brandon Aguilera | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Marios Vrousai | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 37 | — |
| André Luiz | 67 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Dario Špikić | 67 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| Clayton | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 7 | — |
| Ole Pohlmann | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Georgios Liavas | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Antonis Papakanellos | 23 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Diogo Bezerra | 23 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Omar Richards | 13 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Alfonso Pastor | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andreas Ndoj | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julien Lomboto | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Panzo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Primeira Liga table
Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 88 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 82 | WWWDD |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 80 | WDDWW |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 | WDDWD |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 50 | LLDWL |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | DLWLW |
| 8 |  Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 42 | WWDLW |
| 9 |  Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 42 | LLLWW |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 39 | LDDLL |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 39 | LDLWL |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 36 | DLDLD |
| 13 |  Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 36 | LWDWD |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 34 | WLLWW |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 30 | DDLLL |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | DWLLL |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 28 | LWWDL |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 67 | -40 | 21 | DWWDD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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