Nacional
2/4Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Nacional’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 21THE MATCH CENTRENacional vs Casa Pia match centre
Full time
0:0
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
NacionalCasa Pia
0.980Expected goals · API-Football0.640
4Shots on target3
21Total Shots9
69%Ball Possession31%
12Corner Kicks1
15Fouls11
2Yellow Cards3
Red Cards
3Goalkeeper Saves4
493Total passes227
407Passes accurate152
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Nacional 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Casa Pia 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Casa Pia
2/6Wins
1.8Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect Casa Pia’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Nacional
4 matchesResults2 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals4 of 4
Both teams scored3 of 4
Only a few results are available.
Casa Pia
6 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals6 of 6
Both teams scored4 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Nacional at home with Casa Pia away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 10:16 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
NacionalCasa Pia
20Matches played20
20Points earned18
5Wins4
1.4Goals scored / match1.1
1.5Goals conceded / match2.0
3Clean sheets3
4Failed to score8
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Nacional at home with Casa Pia away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Nacional
Confirmed formation4-3-3Tiago Margarido
- 1
Kaique PereiraG - 16
A. NunezD - 34
Leo SantosD - 38
Ze VitorD - 5
Jose GomesD - 8
M. BaezaM - 6
Matheus DiasM - 28
LizieroM - 27
Gabriel VeronF - 9
J. RamirezF - 11
Paulinho BoiaF
Substitutes (9)
50 · K. V. Medeiros de Freitas
7 · Witi
10 · Daniel Junior
15 · C. Labidi
19 · L. Joao
26 · J. Silva
33 · C. Goncalves
88 · Deivison
99 · Pablo Ruan
Casa Pia
Confirmed formation3-4-3Alvaro Pacheco
- 1
P. SequeiraG - 4
J. GoulartD - 3
KalyD - 18
A. GeraldesD - 72
G. LarrazabalM - 80
L. OforiM - 8
R. BritoM - 5
A. ConteM - 29
J. LivolantF - 90
CassianoF - 21
T. MoraisF
Substitutes (9)
95 · I. Mandic
10 · D. Livramento
11 · J. Marques
13 · K. Osundina
19 · K. Prieto
24 · I. Mohamed
27 · Kaique Rocha
75 · P. Rosas
99 · C. Mendes
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Nacional
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaique | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Alan Núñez | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 41 | 1 |
| Léo Santos | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 65 | 1 |
| Ze Vitor | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 71 | 1 |
| José Gomes | 84 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 33 | 1 |
| Miguel Baeza | 89 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 2 |
| Matheus Dias | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 74 | 2 |
| Liziero | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 56 | 2 |
| Gabriel Veron | 84 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 27 | 2 |
| Jesús Ramírez | 90 | 5.3 | — | 0 | 5 | 22 | — |
| Paulinho Bóia | 89 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 24 | 2 |
| Witi | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Daniel Júnior | 12 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Joel Silva | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Pablo | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Kevyn | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Gonçalves | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Deivison Souza Brito | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chiheb Labidi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas João | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Casa Pia
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Sequeira | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| João Goulart | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 3 |
| Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 2 |
| André Geraldes | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 3 |
| Gaizka Larrazabal | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 |
| Lawrence Ofori | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | 3 |
| Rafael Brito | 71 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Abdu Conté | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 32 | 2 |
| Jérémy Livolant | 71 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Cassiano | 81 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| Tiago Morais | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Joao Marques | 45 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 2 |
| Oluwakorede Osundina | 19 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Iyad Mohamed | 19 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Claudio Mendes | 9 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Ivan Mandić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kaique Rocha | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Prieto | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Rosas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dailon Rocha Livramento | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Primeira Liga table
Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 88 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 82 | WWWDD |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 80 | WDDWW |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 | WDDWD |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 50 | LLDWL |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | DLWLW |
| 8 |  Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 42 | WWDLW |
| 9 |  Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 42 | LLLWW |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 39 | LDDLL |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 39 | LDLWL |
| 12 |  Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 36 | DLDLD |
| 13 |  Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 36 | LWDWD |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 34 | WLLWW |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 30 | DDLLL |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | DWLLL |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 28 | LWWDL |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 67 | -40 | 21 | DWWDD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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