Casa Pia
2/7Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Casa Pia’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 22THE MATCH CENTRECasa Pia vs Arouca match centre
Full time
3:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
R. Brito21′
Cassiano25′
Cassiano45′ (pen)
I. Barbero11′
A. Conte37′ (og)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Casa PiaArouca
2.070Expected goals · API-Football1.230
4Shots on target4
11Total Shots8
31%Ball Possession69%
2Corner Kicks3
15Fouls7
5Yellow Cards2
Red Cards
3Goalkeeper Saves1
222Total passes501
150Passes accurate426
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Casa Pia 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Arouca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Arouca
3/6Wins
1.7Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Arouca’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Casa Pia
7 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals6 of 7
Both teams scored4 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
Arouca
6 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals5 of 6
Both teams scored3 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Casa Pia at home with Arouca away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:49 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Casa PiaArouca
21Matches played21
19Points earned23
4Wins6
1.0Goals scored / match1.3
1.8Goals conceded / match2.2
4Clean sheets4
9Failed to score7
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Casa Pia at home with Arouca away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Casa Pia
Confirmed formation3-4-3Alvaro Pacheco
- 1
P. SequeiraG - 4
J. GoulartD - 3
KalyD - 43
D. SousaD - 72
G. LarrazabalM - 80
L. OforiM - 8
R. BritoM - 5
A. ConteM - 29
J. LivolantF - 90
CassianoF - 13
K. OsundinaF
Substitutes (9)
95 · I. Mandic
10 · D. Livramento
11 · J. Marques
18 · A. Geraldes
21 · T. Morais
24 · I. Mohamed
27 · Kaique Rocha
75 · P. Rosas
99 · C. Mendes
Arouca
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vasco Seabra
- 12
I. De ArruabarrenaG - 28
Tiago EsgaioD - 15
J. SanchezD - 3
J. FontanD - 25
B. KuipersD - 22
E. van EeM - 21
T. FukuiM - 19
A. TrezzaM - 14
H. LeeM - 7
N. DjouahraM - 17
I. BarberoF
Substitutes (9)
1 · J. Valido
5 · B. Popovic
6 · D. Monteiro
10 · P. Gozalbez
11 · Puche
20 · J. Santiago Perez
23 · D. Nandin
24 · B. Mansilla
44 · A. Dante
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Casa Pia
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Sequeira | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| João Goulart | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| David Sousa | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 27 | 1 |
| Gaizka Larrazabal | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 3 |
| Lawrence Ofori | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 2 |
| Rafael Brito | 84 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 |
| Abdu Conté | 90 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| Jérémy Livolant | 89 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| Cassiano | 84 | 8.3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 |
| Oluwakorede Osundina | 53 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Joao Marques | 37 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Iyad Mohamed | 14 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Dailon Rocha Livramento | 14 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Claudio Mendes | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Ivan Mandić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Geraldes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Rosas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kaique Rocha | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Morais | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Arouca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio de Arruabarrena | 90 | 5.5 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Tiago Esgaio | 84 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 38 | 1 |
| Javi Sánchez | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 90 | — |
| Jose Fontán | 90 | 5.7 | — | 0 | — | 94 | 3 |
| Bas Kuipers | 84 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 37 | — |
| Espen Van Ee | 84 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 2 |
| Taichi Fukui | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 54 | 4 |
| Alfonso Trezza | 67 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Hyun-ju Lee | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Naïs Djouahra | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 32 | — |
| Ivan Barbero | 67 | 6.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Brian Mansilla | 23 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Dylan Nandín | 23 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Diogo Monteiro | 14 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Pablo Gozálbez | 14 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| Miguel Puche | 14 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| João Valido | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amadou Dante | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Boris Popović | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yellu Santiago | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Primeira Liga table
Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 88 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 82 | WWWDD |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 80 | WDDWW |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 | WDDWD |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 50 | LLDWL |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 42 | WWDLW |
| 9 |  Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 42 | LLLWW |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 39 | LDDLL |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 39 | LDLWL |
| 12 |  Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 36 | DLDLD |
| 13 |  Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 36 | LWDWD |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 34 | WLLWW |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 30 | DDLLL |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | DWLLL |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 28 | LWWDL |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 67 | -40 | 21 | DWWDD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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