Estoril
5/9Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Estoril’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 23THE MATCH CENTREEstoril vs GIL Vicente match centre
Full time
3:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
F. Bacher22′
Y. Begraoui74′
Y. Begraoui80′
Murilo de Souza15′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
EstorilGIL Vicente
2.180Expected goals · API-Football2.420
7Shots on target4
10Total Shots12
48%Ball Possession52%
1Corner Kicks4
13Fouls8
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
3Goalkeeper Saves4
342Total passes369
245Passes accurate281
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Estoril 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
GIL Vicente 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
GIL Vicente
4/5Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect GIL Vicente’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Estoril
9 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals7 of 9
Both teams scored5 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
GIL Vicente
5 matchesResults4 wins · 0 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals5 of 5
Both teams scored3 of 5
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Estoril at home with GIL Vicente away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:22 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
EstorilGIL Vicente
22Matches played22
30Points earned40
8Wins11
2.0Goals scored / match1.5
1.8Goals conceded / match0.8
3Clean sheets10
6Failed to score5
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Estoril at home with GIL Vicente away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Estoril
Confirmed formation4-3-1-2Ian Cathro
- 1
J. RoblesG - 2
R. SanchezD - 4
FerroD - 25
F. BacherD - 20
G. CostaD - 6
JandroM - 5
A. TsounguiM - 10
J. HolsgroveM - 12
J. CarvalhoM - 14
Y. BegraouiF - 9
A. MarquesF
Substitutes (9)
16 · M. Turk
11 · K. Edwards
21 · Pizzi
22 · P. Carvalho
57 · L. Bimai
70 · Peixinho
97 · L. Gomes
99 · R. Guitane
91 · J. Montes
GIL Vicente
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Cesar Peixoto
- 30
LucaoG - 2
Ze CarlosD - 48
A. EspigaresD - 39
J. BuatuD - 3
G. KonanD - 6
Ze CarlosM - 10
L. EstevesM - 77
Murilo de SouzaM - 95
S. GarciaM - 11
J. FernandesM - 89
G. VarelaF
Substitutes (9)
99 · Figueira Daniel
5 · F. Caseres
17 · Bermejo
20 · S. Hevertton
23 · H. Hernandez
27 · A. Moreira
28 · D. Pereira
29 · Carlos Eduardo
80 · R. Rodrigues
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Estoril
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Robles | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Ricard Sánchez | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 4 |
| Ferro | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 47 | — |
| Felix Bacher | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 41 | — |
| Gonçalo Costa | 68 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Jandro Orellana | 86 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| Antef Tsoungui | 59 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Jordan Holsgrove | 90 | 8.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 44 | 2 |
| João Carvalho | 90 | 8.0 | — | 2 | 1 | 38 | 1 |
| Yanis Begraoui | 90 | 8.5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 3 |
| Alejandro Marqués | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 11 | — |
| Rafik Guitane | 31 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Pedro Carvalho | 22 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 2 |
| Pizzi | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Martin Turk | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan Montes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Longin Bimai | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Gomes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peixinho | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khayon Edwards | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
GIL Vicente
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucão | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Zé Carlos | 73 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 4 |
| Antonio Espigares | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 1 |
| Jonathan Buatu | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 45 | 3 |
| Ghislain Konan | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 1 |
| Zé Carlos | 83 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 2 |
| Luís Esteves | 83 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 5 |
| Murilo Souza | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 5 |
| Santi García | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | 1 |
| Joelson Fernandes | 52 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 1 |
| Gustavo Varela | 73 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 14 | — |
| Agustín Moreira | 38 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Hevertton Santos | 17 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Héctor Hernández | 17 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Facundo Cáseres | 14 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | 14 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Daniel Figueira | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogo Pereira | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Bermejo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Rodrigues | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Primeira Liga table
Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 88 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 82 | WWWDD |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 80 | WDDWW |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 | WDDWD |
| 6 | GIL Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 50 | LLDWL |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | DLWLW |
| 8 |  Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 42 | WWDLW |
| 9 |  Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 42 | LLLWW |
| 10 | Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 39 | LDDLL |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 39 | LDLWL |
| 12 |  Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 36 | DLDLD |
| 13 |  Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 36 | LWDWD |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 34 | WLLWW |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 30 | DDLLL |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | DWLLL |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 28 | LWWDL |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 67 | -40 | 21 | DWWDD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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