Guimaraes
2/8Wins
1.4Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Guimaraes’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 24THE MATCH CENTREGuimaraes vs Alverca match centre
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Samu46′
Figueiredo66′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate4.0%Guimaraes
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.6%Alverca
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Guimaraes 4.0% · no further goal 92.3% · Alverca 3.7%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.GuimaraesAlverca
1.300Expected goals · API-Football1.960
6Shots on target4
15Total Shots10
54%Ball Possession46%
0Corner Kicks7
15Fouls5
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves5
443Total passes381
385Passes accurate311
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primeira LigaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | +48 | 88 | — |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | +65 | 82 | — |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | +49 | 80 | — |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | +28 | 59 | — |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | +13 | 56 | — |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | +9 | 50 | — |
| 7 | Guimaraes | 35 | -12 | 43 | ↑ 2 |
| 8 |  Moreirense | 34 | -12 | 43 | ↓ 1 |
| 9 |  Arouca | 34 | -17 | 42 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 35 | -17 | 40 | ↑ 1 |
| 11 |  Estoril | 34 | -3 | 39 | ↓ 1 |
| 12 |  Santa Clara | 34 | -9 | 36 | ↑ 1 |
| 13 |  Rio Ave | 34 | -22 | 36 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | -18 | 30 | — |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | -26 | 30 | — |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | -28 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | -40 | 21 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Guimaraes 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Alverca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Alverca
1/6Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Alverca’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Guimaraes
8 matchesResults2 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals5 of 8
Both teams scored5 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
Alverca
6 matchesResults1 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals3 of 6
Both teams scored5 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Guimaraes at home with Alverca away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:30 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
GuimaraesAlverca
23Matches played23
31Points earned26
9Wins7
1.2Goals scored / match1.0
1.5Goals conceded / match1.6
7Clean sheets5
8Failed to score6
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Guimaraes at home with Alverca away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Guimaraes
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Gil Lameiras
- 27
Charles SilvaG - 66
T. StrataD - 28
Thiago BalieiroD - 26
R. AbascalD - 13
J. I. MendesD - 16
BeniM - 23
D. SousaM - 11
GustavoM - 20
SamuM - 48
N. SavioloM - 90
A. NdoyeF
Substitutes (9)
25 · J. Castillo
2 · Maga
6 · M. Mitrovic
17 · O. Lebedenko
18 · T. Arcanjo
19 · O. Camara
22 · F. Blanco
30 · G. Nogueira
75 · A. Oliveira
Alverca
Confirmed formation3-4-3Custodio
- 13
A. GomesG - 4
NavesD - 5
S. GomezD - 33
B. MeupiyouD - 2
N. TouaiziM - 26
RhaldneyM - 18
LincolnM - 12
I. JamesM - 20
FigueiredoF - 9
MareziF - 10
ChiquinhoF
Substitutes (9)
31 · Mateus Oliveira
3 · J. Martinez
6 · D. Gui
14 · S. Baseya
17 · V. Moreira
19 · M. Clairicia
82 · D. Spencer
91 · Sandro Lima
98 · F. Garcia
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Guimaraes
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Tony Strata | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 50 | 2 |
| Thiago Balieiro | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 56 | — |
| Rodrigo Abascal | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 4 |
| João Mendes | 85 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 2 |
| Beni Mukendi | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 74 | 1 |
| Diogo Sousa | 56 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 36 | 4 |
| Gustavo Silva | 73 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | — |
| Samu | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 3 |
| Noah Saviolo | 85 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Alioune Ndoye | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 4 | 9 | — |
| Gonçalo Nogueira | 34 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Telmo Arcanjo | 17 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Orest Lebedenko | 18 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Oumar Camara | 18 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Juan Castillo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Maga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Oliveira | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matija Mitrović | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabio Blanco | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Alverca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Gomes | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Kaiky Naves | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 58 | 3 |
| Sergi Gómez | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 45 | 1 |
| Bastien Meupiyou | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 55 | 1 |
| Nabil Touaizi | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 33 | — |
| Rhaldney | 89 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 2 |
| Lincoln | 85 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 1 |
| Isaac James | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 5 |
| Figueiredo | 89 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| Marko Milovanović | 72 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 9 | — |
| Chiquinho | 85 | 8.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 3 |
| Sandro Lima | 18 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| Vasco Moreira | 18 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Fabrício Garcia | 18 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Davy Gui | 13 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Mathis Clairicia | 13 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Matheus Mendes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Steven Baseya | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julián Jose Martinez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogo Spencer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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