Skip to content
1. DivisionMatchweek 21THE MATCH CENTRE

Apoel Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca match centre

Apoel Nicosia badgeApoel NicosiaHome · 5 in league
WLDWL
Momentum→ Steady44/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London
AEK Larnaca badgeAEK LarnacaAway · 2 in league
LLWWW
Momentum↗ Rising69/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
N. Koutsakos45′
E. Cabrera45′
M. Rohden82′
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Apoel NicosiaAEK Larnaca
7Corner Kicks4
15Fouls18
3Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves3
338Total passes293
272Passes accurate223

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Apoel Nicosia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

AEK Larnaca 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Apoel Nicosia

1/4Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Apoel Nicosia’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

AEK Larnaca

4/4Wins
2.8Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect AEK Larnaca’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Apoel Nicosia at home with AEK Larnaca away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:51 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

1. Division · 2025/26 · all league matches

Apoel NicosiaAEK Larnaca
20Matches played20
36Points earned43
10Wins13
1.8Goals scored / match2.0
0.9Goals conceded / match0.9
8Clean sheets7
3Failed to score2

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Apoel Nicosia at home with AEK Larnaca away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Apoel Nicosia

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Pablo Garcia
  1. 27V. BelecG
  2. 14NanuD
  3. 5M. DegenekD
  4. 34K. LaifisD
  5. 6Vitor MeerD
  6. 29Diego RosaM
  7. 20DalcioM
  8. 77D. ManciniM
  9. 15M. TomasM
  10. 10MarquinhosM
  11. 89N. KoutsakosF
Substitutes (11)

1 · Gabriel Pereira

22 · A. Christodoulou

2 · E. Antoniou

9 · S. Drazic

17 · D. Abagna

18 · D. Diamantakos

21 · C. Poursaitidis

31 · F. Brorsson

36 · C. Appiah

38 · Geovane Meurer

45 · K. Yiannacou

AEK Larnaca

Confirmed formation4-4-2Imanol Idiakez
  1. 51A. ParaskevasG
  2. 21MiramonD
  3. 15H. MilicevicD
  4. 27V. RobergeD
  5. 4E. SaboritD
  6. 20Y. AmynM
  7. 7Ledes GustavoM
  8. 17P. PonsM
  9. 14A. GarciaM
  10. 11R. BajicF
  11. 30E. CabreraF
Substitutes (11)

1 · Z. Alomerovic

99 · D. Demetriou

41 · Mathias Gonzalez

2 · P. Ioannou

23 · J. Izquierdo

25 · C. Kyriakou

8 · M. Rohden

9 · D. Ivanovic

13 · Y. Gurfinkel

32 · R. Mudrazija

86 · A. Cardero

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Apoel Nicosia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Vid Belec906.300—130
Nanú906.3002200
Miloš Degenek906.2001340
Konstantinos Laifis906.500—300
Vitor Meer906.500—351
Diego Rosa907.2001462
Dálcio907.2001420
Daniel Mancini657.000—190
Mathías Tomás907.9011480
Marquinhos906.600—250
Nikolas Koutsakos777.2102100
David Abagna396.500—80
Stefan Dražić276.900141
Constantinos Poursaitides136.900—40
Dimitrios Diamantakos136.500—00

AEK Larnaca

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Antreas Paraskevas906.600—160
Jorge Miramón906.300—400
Hrvoje Miličević907.000—440
Valentin Roberge906.300—401
Enric Saborit906.300—392
Youssef Amyn836.900—130
Gus Ledes906.701—340
Pere Pons906.3001140
Ángel García836.600—251
Riad Bajić906.300—110
Enzo Cabrera697.510182
Đorđe Ivanović356.300—50
Jairo Izquierdo217.201—30
Marcus Rohdén217.210110
Charalampos Kyriakou106.200—00
2025/26 STANDINGS

1. Division table

League centre ↗

Current standings · 1-division: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Omonia Nicosia26194363174661
WWDLW
2AEK Larnaca26165549222753
WWDLL
3Apollon Limassol26165536221453
DWDWW
4Pafos26163753242951
WWDDW
5Apoel Nicosia26136745271845
WLWWL
6Aris26127748262243
LWDDD
7Omonia Aradippou26104122331-834
WLWWD
8AEL26103133138-733
LLLWL
9Anorthosis2671182333-1032
DWWDD
10Krasava Ypsonas2684142636-1028
WLWDD
11Olympiakos26610102237-1528
LWDLD
12Akritas2675142348-2526
LLLWD
13Ethnikos Achna2672172544-1923
LLLLW
14Enosis260125567-621
LLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

Try it with virtual funds

Open practice slip +

Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗

Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →