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Coppa Italia2nd RoundTHE MATCH CENTRE

AC Milan vs Lecce match centre

AC Milan badgeAC MilanHome
Momentum→ Unavailable—
Full time
3:0
UK time · Europe/London
Lecce badgeLecceAway
Momentum→ Unavailable—
Goalscorers
S. Gimenez20′
C. Nkunku51′
C. Pulisic64′
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · MilanSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
AC MilanLecce
12Corner Kicks2
11Fouls8
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves6
734Total passes221
691Passes accurate177

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

AC Milan 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Lecce 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

AC Milan

3/3Wins
2.7Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect AC Milan’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Lecce

0/3Wins
0.7Goals / game
2.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Lecce’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare AC Milan at home with Lecce away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 10:33 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Coppa Italia · 2025/26 · all league matches

AC MilanLecce
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares AC Milan at home with Lecce away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

AC Milan

4wins
1 draw

Lecce

0wins

Nov 2023 – Aug 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with AC Milan first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

AC Milan

Confirmed formation3-5-2Massimiliano Allegri
  1. 16M. MaignanG
  2. 23F. TomoriD
  3. 5K. De WinterD
  4. 31S. PavlovicD
  5. 56A. SaelemaekersM
  6. 8R. Loftus-CheekM
  7. 4S. RicciM
  8. 12A. RabiotM
  9. 33D. BartesaghiM
  10. 7S. GimenezF
  11. 18C. NkunkuF
Substitutes (10)

1 · P. Terracciano

96 · L. Torriani

24 · Z. Athekame

2 · P. Estupinan

46 · M. Gabbia

27 · D. Odogu

19 · Y. Fofana

14 · L. Modric

11 · C. Pulisic

25 · C. Balentien

Lecce

Confirmed formation5-3-2Eusebio Di Francesco
  1. 1C. FruchtlG
  2. 17D. VeigaD
  3. 5J. SiebertD
  4. 44Tiago GabrielD
  5. 3C. NdabaD
  6. 7Tete MorenteD
  7. 77M. KabaM
  8. 10M. BerishaM
  9. 14T. J. HelgasonM
  10. 11K. NdriF
  11. 22F. CamardaF
Substitutes (12)

30 · W. Falcone

32 · J. Samooja

4 · K. Gaspar

6 · A. Sala

9 · N. Stulic

20 · Y. Ramadani

21 · C. Kouassi

25 · A. Gallo

28 · O. Gorter

29 · L. Coulibaly

50 · S. Pierotti

80 · N. Kovac

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

AC Milan

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mike Maignan907.2—0—11—
Fikayo Tomori907.6—0—113—
Koni De Winter907.7—0—1201
Strahinja Pavlović797.2—0193—
Alexis Saelemaekers617.7—11481
Ruben Loftus-Cheek907.3—0349—
Samuele Ricci457.0—0—341
Adrien Rabiot908.0—05863
Davide Bartesaghi907.3—1—501
Santiago Giménez686.91059—
Christopher Nkunku618.0103251
Youssouf Fofana456.9—12381
Zachary Athekame296.9—0—171
Christian Pulišić297.910116—
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien226.5—0—91
David Odogu116.9—0—16—
Pietro Terracciano———————
Lorenzo Torriani———————
Matteo Gabbia———————
Pervis Estupiñán———————
Luka Modrić———————

Lecce

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Christian Früchtl906.6—0—25—
Danilo Veiga906.3—0—222
Jamil Siebert184.3—0—7—
Tiago Gabriel906.7—01233
Corrie Ndaba905.7—0—231
Tete Morente576.0—0—11—
Mohamed Kaba456.0—0—6—
Medon Berisha806.6—0132—
Þórir Jóhann Helgason456.5—0—8—
Konan N'Dri226.3—0—1—
Francesco Camarda906.6—0—81
Kialonda Gaspar686.7—0—351
Olaf Gorter456.2—0—11—
Santiago Pierotti456.6—0—51
Antonino Gallo336.2—0—11
Lassana Coulibaly106.7—0—3—
Wladimiro Falcone———————
Jasper Samooja———————
Christ-Owen Kouassi———————
Ylber Ramadani———————
Alex Sala———————
Niko Kovač———————
Nikola Štulić———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Coppa Italia table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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