Villarreal
1/3Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Villarreal’s results
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 7THE MATCH CENTREVillarreal vs Ajax match centre
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
T. Oluwaseyi49′
O. Gloukh61′
O. Edvardsen90′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
VillarrealAjax
1.350Expected goals · API-Football0.910
8Shots on target5
19Total Shots15
39%Ball Possession61%
7Corner Kicks5
11Fouls10
3Yellow Cards2
Red Cards
3Goalkeeper Saves6
395Total passes637
341Passes accurate589
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Villarreal 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Ajax 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Ajax
1/3Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Ajax’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Villarreal
3 matchesResults1 wins · 1 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals2 of 3
Both teams scored2 of 3
Only a few results are available.
Ajax
3 matchesResults1 wins · 1 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals3 of 3
Both teams scored3 of 3
Only a few results are available.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Villarreal at home with Ajax away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:52 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Champions League · 2025/26 · all league matches
VillarrealAjax
6Matches played6
1Points earned3
0Wins1
0.7Goals scored / match0.9
2.2Goals conceded / match3.0
0Clean sheets0
4Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Villarreal at home with Ajax away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Villarreal
Confirmed formation4-4-2Marcelino
- 25
A. TenasG - 15
S. MourinoD - 4
R. MarinD - 12
R. VeigaD - 23
S. CardonaD - 19
N. PepeM - 14
S. ComesanaM - 16
T. ParteyM - 20
A. MoleiroM - 22
A. PerezF - 21
T. OluwaseyiF
Substitutes (9)
13 · D. Conde
1 · Luiz Junior
7 · G. Moreno
9 · G. Mikautadze
10 · D. Parejo
17 · T. Buchanan
24 · A. Pedraza
26 · P. Navarro
32 · H. Lopez
Ajax
Confirmed formation4-3-3Oscar Garcia Junyent
- 1
V. JarosG - 3
A. GaaeiD - 30
A. BouwmanD - 15
Y. BaasD - 5
O. WijndalD - 18
D. KlaassenM - 6
Y. RegeerM - 24
J. MokioM - 10
O. GloukhF - 9
K. DolbergF - 11
M. GodtsF
Substitutes (12)
22 · R. Pasveer
12 · J. Heerkens
2 · L. Rosa
4 · K. Itakura
7 · R. Moro
17 · O. Edvardsen
28 · K. Fitz-Jim
37 · J. Sutalo
41 · G. Alders
43 · R. Bounida
48 · S. Steur
68 · A. Ouazane
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Villarreal
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnau Tenas | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Santiago Mouriño | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 7 |
| Rafa Marín | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 52 | 1 |
| Renato Veiga | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 53 | 1 |
| Sergi Cardona | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 37 | 1 |
| Nicolas Pépé | 72 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 4 | 19 | 2 |
| Santi Comesaña | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 2 |
| Thomas Partey | 74 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 29 | 1 |
| Alberto Moleiro | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 18 | — |
| Ayoze Pérez | 72 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Tani Oluwaseyi | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | — |
| Tajon Buchanan | 45 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 |
| Gerard Moreno | 18 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Georges Mikautadze | 18 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Dani Parejo | 16 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 2 |
| Luiz Júnior | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Conde | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfonso Pedraza | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pau Navarro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Lopez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Ajax
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vítězslav Jaroš | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 41 | — |
| Anton Gaaei | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 55 | — |
| Aaron Bouwman | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 89 | 1 |
| Youri Baas | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 85 | 2 |
| Owen Wijndal | 84 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 54 | — |
| Davy Klaassen | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 37 | — |
| Youri Regeer | 54 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 66 | 4 |
| Jorthy Mokio | 71 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 58 | 1 |
| Oscar Gloukh | 84 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | — |
| Kasper Dolberg | 71 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 11 | — |
| Mika Godts | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 58 | 1 |
| Ko Itakura | 36 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Rayane Bounida | 19 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Sean Steur | 19 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Oliver Edvardsen | 14 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Kian Fitz-Jim | 14 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Joeri Heerkens | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Remko Pasveer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Rosa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josip Šutalo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gerald Alders | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raúl Moro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdellah Ouazane | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗UEFA Champions League table
Current standings · UEFA Champions League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 4 |  Tottenham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 17 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 16 | WWWLD |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 16 | WWLWD |
| 7 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 16 | WWLWD |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 16 | WLWLW |
| 9 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 15 | LWLWL |
| 10 |  Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 | WLLLW |
| 11 |  Paris Saint Germain | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 14 | DLDWL |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 14 | DWDLW |
| 13 |  Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 13 | DWWWD |
| 14 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 13 | LDWWW |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 16 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 | WLDWW |
| 17 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 11 | LLDWL |
| 18 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 | WWWLD |
| 19 |  Club Brugge KV | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 10 | WWLLD |
| 20 |  Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 | LDLLW |
| 21 |  Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 | DLWDW |
| 22 |  Qarabag | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 | LWLLD |
| 23 |  Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 9 | WWDLL |
| 24 |  Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 25 |  Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 9 | LLWWL |
| 26 |  Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 9 | WLLDW |
| 27 |  Union St. Gilloise | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 | WLLWL |
| 28 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 8 | LLLWD |
| 29 |  Athletic Club | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 | LWDDL |
| 30 |  Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 | LDLWD |
| 31 |  FC Copenhagen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 8 | LDWWL |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 6 | LWWLL |
| 33 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 4 | LLLLD |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 3 | LLLDL |
| 35 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 1 | LLLLL |
| 36 |  Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 1 | LLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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