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First LeagueMatchweek 20THE MATCH CENTRE

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets match centre

Lokomotiv Sofia badgeLokomotiv SofiaHome · 11 in league
LWDDW
Momentum→ Steady63/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:3
UK time · Europe/London
Ludogorets badgeLudogoretsAway · 2 in league
WDLWW
Momentum↗ Rising69/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
S. Delev8′
I. Chochev46′
P. Stanic59′ (pen)
Rwan Cruz84′
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Lokomotiv SofiaLudogorets
1Corner Kicks7
15Fouls11
0Yellow Cards0
1Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
366Total passes353
294Passes accurate280

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Lokomotiv Sofia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Ludogorets 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Ludogorets

4/6Wins
1.8Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Ludogorets’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lokomotiv Sofia at home with Ludogorets away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:30 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

First League · 2025/26 · all league matches

Lokomotiv SofiaLudogorets
19Matches played19
26Points earned37
6Wins10
1.1Goals scored / match1.8
1.0Goals conceded / match0.7
6Clean sheets12
7Failed to score4

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lokomotiv Sofia at home with Ludogorets away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Lokomotiv Sofia

Confirmed formation5-3-2Stanislav Genchev
  1. 99M. VelichkovG
  2. 27I. LagundzicD
  3. 4S. Dembele
  4. 44B. KatsarovD
  5. 91R. BidoungaD
  6. 14A. LyaskovD
  7. 31K. StanoevM
  8. 22R. DaskalovM
  9. 64D. YankovM
  10. 10G. MinchevF
  11. 7S. DelevF
Substitutes (9)

24 · A. Lyubenov

42 · N. Neychev

29 · A. Aralica

2 · D. Ali

13 · Diego Raposo

5 · E. Dost

77 · Caue Caruzo

8 · Luann

26 · K. Miloshev

Ludogorets

Confirmed formation4-3-3Per-Mathias Hogmo
  1. 1S. PadtG
  2. 2J. AnderssonD
  3. 24O. VerdonD
  4. 4D. AlmeidaD
  5. 3A. NedyalkovD
  6. 18I. ChochevM
  7. 30Pedro NaressiM
  8. 23D. DuarteM
  9. 37B. TekpeteyF
  10. 9K. DuahF
  11. 77Erick MarcusF
Substitutes (9)

39 · H. Bonmann

12 · Rwan Cruz

14 · P. Stanic

17 · Son

26 · F. Kaloc

27 · Vinicius Nogueira

29 · E. Bile

55 · I. Nachmias

99 · S. Ivanov

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Lokomotiv Sofia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Martin Velichkov906.200—180
Ivan Lagundžić886.200—200
Sadio Dembélé906.200—350
Bozhidar Katsarov906.600—570
Ryan Bidounga815.900—440
Angel Lyaskov906.500—321
Krasimir Stanoev676.200—160
Reyan Daskalov886.600—330
Dominik Yankov816.200—270
Georgi Minchev676.500—140
Spas Delev907.5103350
Diego Raposo306.700—110
Ante Aralica306.300—80
Caue Caruzo Alves156.300—50
Erol Dost86.300—10
Luann86.600170

Ludogorets

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Sergio Padt906.300—110
Joel Andersson847.0001340
Olivier Verdon906.700—430
Dinis Almeida906.300—190
Anton Nedyalkov906.900—442
Ivajlo Chochev848.5102261
Pedro Naressi907.2001522
Deroy Duarte907.700—300
Bernard Tekpetey577.3012180
Kwadwo Duah576.300—80
Erick Marcus676.3001210
Stanislav Ivanov396.700—90
Petar Stanić397.9111150
Vinicius Nogueira296.900180
Son126.300—50
Rwan Cruz127.210190
2025/26 STANDINGS

First League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · A PFG: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Levski Sofia30224464224270
DWDWW
2Ludogorets30179457203760
LDWWW
3CSKA 194830185750311959
WWLWW
4CSKA Sofia30168643232056
DWWWL
5Lokomotiv Plovdiv30111363033-346
DDWWW
6Cherno More Varna30111183326744
LDLLW
7Arda Kardzhali30128103327644
WLWWW
8Botev Plovdiv30117124037340
WDWWL
9Slavia Sofia30109113633339
DLWLD
10Botev Vratsa30911102426-238
WLDLW
11Lokomotiv Sofia30910114039137
LWLLW
12Spartak Varna30512132550-2527
DWLLL
13Dobrudzha3075182343-2026
LLDLL
14Septemvri Sofia3075182558-3326
DWDLL
15Beroe30411151944-2523
DLLWL
16Montana3038191545-3017
DLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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