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First LeagueMatchweek 24THE MATCH CENTRE

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 match centre

Lokomotiv Plovdiv badgeLokomotiv PlovdivHome · 5 in league
WWDDD
Momentum↘ Falling54/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:5
UK time · Europe/London
CSKA 1948 badgeCSKA 1948Away · 3 in league
WLLLW
Momentum→ Steady40/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Lucas Ryan14′ (og)
F. Krebs42′
M. Diallo50′
E. Franco81′ (pen)
A. Iliev84′ (pen)
Stadion Lokomotiv · PlovdivSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.0%Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate100.0%CSKA 1948
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4.2% · no further goal 91.9% · CSKA 1948 3.9%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948
4Corner Kicks2
12Fouls7
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves2
362Total passes424
287Passes accurate349

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

A PFG: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Levski Sofia30+4270—
2CSKA 194831+2462↑ 1
3Ludogorets30+3760↓ 1
4CSKA Sofia30+2056—
5Lokomotiv Plovdiv31-846—
6Cherno More Varna30+744—
7Arda Kardzhali30+644—
8Botev Plovdiv30+340—
9Slavia Sofia30+339—
10Botev Vratsa30-238—
11Lokomotiv Sofia30+137—
12Spartak Varna30-2527—
13Dobrudzha30-2026—
14Septemvri Sofia30-3326—
15Beroe30-2523—
16Montana30-3017—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

CSKA 1948 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

CSKA 1948

4/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect CSKA 1948’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lokomotiv Plovdiv at home with CSKA 1948 away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 07:31 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

First League · 2025/26 · all league matches

Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948
22Matches played23
35Points earned43
8Wins13
1.2Goals scored / match1.6
1.0Goals conceded / match1.1
8Clean sheets8
4Failed to score5

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lokomotiv Plovdiv at home with CSKA 1948 away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Confirmed formation4-4-1-1Dusan Kosic
  1. 1B. MilosavljevicG
  2. 2A. CovaD
  3. 23M. RuskovD
  4. 13Lucas RyanD
  5. 5T. PavlovD
  6. 99J. LamyM
  7. 22I. IvanovM
  8. 94C. ItuM
  9. 7S. IdrizM
  10. 39P. UmarbaevM
  11. 77J. ZwartsF
Substitutes (9)

40 · P. Zovko

4 · A. Chindris

33 · M. Atanasov

3 · M. Trdan

10 · Francisco Politino

11 · Z. Dinev

44 · D. Kirashki

29 · G. B. Chorbadzhiyski

9 · A. Velev

CSKA 1948

Confirmed formation4-4-2Aleksandar Aleksandrov
  1. 1P. MarinovG
  2. 2D. MedinaD
  3. 6E. ParkhomenkoD
  4. 21L. DvaliD
  5. 22O. GasevicD
  6. 67FredericM
  7. 23F. KrebsM
  8. 8Y. MagninM
  9. 20B. Sobrero
  10. 93M. Diallo
  11. 77E. FrancoF
Substitutes (9)

13 · D. Sheytanov

4 · A. Hoffmann

9 · A. Iliev

10 · B. Tsonev

14 · K. Strinski

19 · M. Boychev

17 · J. Martines

3 · J. Carrion

71 · K. Yanakiev

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Bojan Milosavljević905.500—100
Adrián Cova905.700—380
Martin Ruskov786.500—340
Lucas Ryan905.900—380
Todor Pavlov906.000—420
Julien Lamy486.200—90
Ivaylo Ivanov786.200—460
Cătălin Itu576.9001140
Sevi Idriz906.3001230
Parvizdzhon Umarbaev906.200—400
Joël Zwarts576.300150
Francisco Politino476.6002190
Georgi Brankov Chorbadzhiyski386.9003160
Axel Velev386.500—130
Denis Kirashki175.200—50
Miha Trdan176.200—80

CSKA 1948

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Petar Marinov907.500—310
Diego Medina907.000—270
Egor Parkhomenko907.500—620
Lasha Dvali907.200—680
Ognjen Gašević907.300—300
Frédéric Maciel786.6011210
Florian Krebs848.2101530
Yohann Magnin907.300—590
Brian Sobrero676.700—160
Mamadou Diallo677.3101110
Elias Franco847.6112240
Marto Boychev287.000—80
José Martínez286.300—20
Kaloyan Strinski176.200—40
Borislav Tsonev117.000—50
Atanas Iliev117.210130
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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