Ludogorets
6/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Ludogorets’s results
First LeagueMatchweek 23THE MATCH CENTRELudogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv match centre
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Erick Marcus86′
S. Idriz76′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate4.7%Ludogorets
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate2.8%Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Ludogorets 4.8% · no further goal 92.3% · Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
2.590Expected goals · API-Football0.820
5Shots on target1
20Total Shots6
71%Ball Possession29%
10Corner Kicks0
8Fouls16
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves5
621Total passes238
524Passes accurate161
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
A PFG: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Levski Sofia | 30 | +42 | 70 | — |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 31 | +37 | 61 | — |
| 3 |  CSKA 1948 | 30 | +19 | 59 | — |
| 4 |  CSKA Sofia | 30 | +20 | 56 | — |
| 5 |  Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 31 | -3 | 47 | — |
| 6 |  Cherno More Varna | 30 | +7 | 44 | — |
| 7 |  Arda Kardzhali | 30 | +6 | 44 | — |
| 8 |  Botev Plovdiv | 30 | +3 | 40 | — |
| 9 |  Slavia Sofia | 30 | +3 | 39 | — |
| 10 |  Botev Vratsa | 30 | -2 | 38 | — |
| 11 |  Lokomotiv Sofia | 30 | +1 | 37 | — |
| 12 |  Spartak Varna | 30 | -25 | 27 | — |
| 13 |  Dobrudzha | 30 | -20 | 26 | — |
| 14 |  Septemvri Sofia | 30 | -33 | 26 | — |
| 15 |  Beroe | 30 | -25 | 23 | — |
| 16 |  Montana | 30 | -30 | 17 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Ludogorets 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Lokomotiv Plovdiv’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Ludogorets
10 matchesResults6 wins · 0 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Ferencvarosi TCAway · UEFA Europa League0–2Botev PlovdivAway · First League1–2Ferencvarosi TCHome · UEFA Europa League2–1BeroeHome · First League2–1Levski SofiaHome · Cup1–0Lokomotiv SofiaAway · First League3–1Levski SofiaHome · Super Cup0–1NiceHome · UEFA Europa League1–0RangersAway · UEFA Europa League0–1Septemvri SofiaAway · Cup3–1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals1 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Spartak VarnaHome · First League1–1Cherno More VarnaHome · First League1–1Botev PlovdivHome · Cup1–0Slavia SofiaAway · First League2–0Kolos KovalivkaHome · Friendlies Clubs0–0NapredakAway · Friendlies Clubs1–0Etar Veliko TarnovoHome · Friendlies Clubs1–1CSKA SofiaAway · First League1–2CSKA SofiaHome · First League1–0CSKA SofiaAway · First League0–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Ludogorets at home with Lokomotiv Plovdiv away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:55 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
First League · 2025/26 · all league matches
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
22Matches played21
43Points earned34
12Wins8
1.9Goals scored / match1.1
0.8Goals conceded / match0.9
12Clean sheets8
4Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Ludogorets at home with Lokomotiv Plovdiv away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Ludogorets
3wins5MEETINGS
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1winsMar 2024 – Sep 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Ludogorets first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Ludogorets
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Per-Mathias Hogmo
- 1
S. PadtG - 2
J. AnderssonD - 55
I. NachmiasD - 24
O. VerdonD - 27
Vinicius NogueiraD - 30
Pedro NaressiM - 26
F. KalocM - 99
S. IvanovM - 14
P. StanicM - 37
B. TekpeteyM - 12
Rwan CruzF
Substitutes (9)
39 · H. Bonmann
4 · D. Almeida
7 · A. Salido Tajero
9 · K. Duah
11 · Caio Vidal
17 · Son
18 · I. Chochev
23 · D. Duarte
77 · Erick Marcus
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Dusan Kosic
- 1
B. MilosavljevicG - 2
A. CovaD - 23
M. RuskovD - 13
Lucas RyanD - 5
T. PavlovD - 22
I. IvanovM - 3
M. TrdanM - 99
J. LamyM - 94
C. ItuM - 7
S. IdrizM - 77
J. ZwartsF
Substitutes (9)
40 · P. Zovko
9 · A. Velev
4 · A. Chindris
29 · G. B. Chorbadzhiyski
10 · Francisco Politino
11 · Z. Dinev
19 · M. Vangelov
33 · M. Atanasov
44 · D. Kirashki
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Ludogorets
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Padt | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 19 | 0 |
| Joel Andersson | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 55 | 1 |
| Idan Nachmias | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 91 | 0 |
| Olivier Verdon | 90 | 7.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 93 | 0 |
| Vinicius Nogueira | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 50 | 0 |
| Pedro Naressi | 90 | 7.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 92 | 1 |
| Filip Kaloč | 66 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 49 | 0 |
| Stanislav Ivanov | 59 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 18 | 0 |
| Petar Stanić | 90 | 7.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 51 | 0 |
| Bernard Tekpetey | 59 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 24 | 0 |
| Rwan Cruz | 59 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 0 |
| Erick Marcus | 38 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 0 |
| Caio Vidal | 23 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 14 | 0 |
| Kwadwo Duah | 38 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| Ivajlo Chochev | 31 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 12 | 0 |
| Alberto Salido | 15 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 | 0 |
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bojan Milosavljević | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 11 | 0 |
| Adrián Cova | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 24 | 1 |
| Martin Ruskov | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 27 | 0 |
| Lucas Ryan | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 29 | 1 |
| Todor Pavlov | 84 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 21 | 1 |
| Ivaylo Ivanov | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 38 | 0 |
| Miha Trdan | 46 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 9 | 0 |
| Julien Lamy | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 1 | — | 23 | 1 |
| Cătălin Itu | 84 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 20 | 0 |
| Sevi Idriz | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
| Joël Zwarts | 69 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 10 | 0 |
| Georgi Brankov Chorbadzhiyski | 51 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Francisco Politino | 28 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Andrei Chindriş | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 1 | 0 |
| Martin Atanasov | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 1 | 1 |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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