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First LeagueMatchweek 25THE MATCH CENTRE

Dobrudzha vs Beroe match centre

Dobrudzha badgeDobrudzhaHome · 13 in league
WDWWL
Momentum↘ Falling63/100OlderLatest
86′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Beroe badgeBeroeAway · 15 in league
DLDDL
Momentum↓ Low19/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
G. Trifonov65′
Stadion Spartak · DobrichSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

86′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate96.3%Dobrudzha
Draw3.6%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Beroe
Another goal14.4%before full time

Next goal: Dobrudzha 10.5% · no further goal 85.6% · Beroe 3.9%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
DobrudzhaBeroe
5Corner Kicks4
17Fouls14
3Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves7
414Total passes296
341Passes accurate231

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

A PFG: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Levski Sofia30+4270—
2Ludogorets30+3760—
3CSKA 194830+1959—
4CSKA Sofia30+2056—
5Lokomotiv Plovdiv30-346—
6Cherno More Varna30+744—
7Arda Kardzhali30+644—
8Botev Plovdiv30+340—
9Slavia Sofia30+339—
10Botev Vratsa30-238—
11Lokomotiv Sofia30+137—
12Dobrudzha31-1929↑ 1
13Spartak Varna30-2527↓ 1
14Septemvri Sofia30-3326—
15Beroe31-2623—
16Montana30-3017—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Dobrudzha 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Beroe 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Dobrudzha

5/9Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Dobrudzha’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Beroe

0/7Wins
0.3Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Beroe’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Dobrudzha at home with Beroe away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:37 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

First League · 2025/26 · all league matches

DobrudzhaBeroe
24Matches played24
22Points earned19
6Wins3
0.9Goals scored / match0.8
1.4Goals conceded / match1.6
5Clean sheets9
11Failed to score11

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Dobrudzha at home with Beroe away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Dobrudzha

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Yasen Petrov
  1. 1G. ArgilashkiG
  2. 15B. KostovD
  3. 22J. HurtadoD
  4. 72V. OliveiraD
  5. 37V. KerchevD
  6. 35D. LovricM
  7. 7A. IvanovM
  8. 10T. Costa SilvaM
  9. 27M. TrikiM
  10. 8A. AngelovM
  11. 98I. MihaylovF
Substitutes (9)

69 · P. Pepelyashev

3 · D. Pirgov

20 · A. Ramadan

23 · M. Fall

45 · D. Hasan

70 · K. Stanev

77 · Matheus Leoni

88 · D. Madaleno

99 · G. Trifonov

Beroe

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Josu Uribe
  1. 13J. Valens
  2. 25JohnyD
  3. 3J. SalomoniD
  4. 30S. BrunelliD
  5. 23T. SonhaD
  6. 32F. VarelaM
  7. 17W. DualM
  8. 10NeneM
  9. 11I. FerrerM
  10. 7J. PinedaM
  11. 19E. KuhinjaF
Substitutes (9)

1 · S. Georgiev

6 · I. Mitev

9 · Y. Valbuena

15 · F. Alarcon

16 · S. Yovkov

18 · S. Rusenov

22 · M. Georgiev

24 · S. Gavrilov

27 · A. Dabo

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Dobrudzha

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Georgi Argilashki907.200—70
Bogdan Kostov906.300—380
Jhonatan Cuero907.3001540
Vasco Oliveira907.9001520
Ventsislav Kerchev906.3001350
Di Mateo Lovrić907.000—550
Anton Ivanov906.9003200
Tomás Silva717.500—300
Montassar Triki717.7003390
Angel Angelov486.700—240
Ivaylo Mihaylov846.9001140
Georgi Trifonov507.9102100
Matheus Leoni276.900—141
Aykut Ramadan276.600—130
Diogo Madaleno146.300—60
Malik Ndor4—00—20

Beroe

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jaume Valens Cardell907.900—110
João Sérgio Milheirão907.3001241
Juan Pablo Salomoni907.200—310
Santiago Brunelli906.600—290
Tijan Sohna906.900—310
Francisco Varela193.300—151
Wesley Dual867.200—370
Nene486.3001150
Ismael Ferrer907.9004380
Juanca Pineda906.900—300
Emir Kuhinja546.200190
Facundo Alarcon506.6001100
Stanislav Yovkov446.600—141
Yesid Valbuena126.600—20
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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