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FriendliesFriendlies 1THE MATCH CENTRE

Ecuador vs New Zealand match centre

Ecuador badgeEcuadorHome
DWDDD
Momentum↘ Falling44/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London
New Zealand badgeNew ZealandAway
LLLDL
Momentum↓ Low8/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Nilson Angulo50′
Leonardo Campana83′
Sports Illustrated Stadium · HarrisonSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
EcuadorNew Zealand
8Corner Kicks3
24Fouls10
1Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves7
643Total passes241
555Passes accurate165

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Ecuador 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

New Zealand 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Ecuador

1/4Wins
0.5Goals / game
0.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Ecuador’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

New Zealand

2/6Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect New Zealand’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

New Zealand

6 matches
Oldest newest
Results2 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals4 of 6
Both teams scored3 of 6

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Ecuador at home with New Zealand away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 00:23 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Friendlies · 2025/26 · all league matches

EcuadorNew Zealand
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Ecuador at home with New Zealand away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Ecuador

Confirmed formation4-4-2Sebastián Andrés Beccacece
  1. 1Hernán GalíndezG
  2. 21Alan FrancoD
  3. 4Joel OrdóñezD
  4. 6Willian PachoD
  5. 3Piero HincapiéD
  6. 9John YeboahM
  7. 23Moisés CaicedoM
  8. 15Pedro ViteM
  9. 20Nilson AnguloM
  10. 19Gonzalo PlataF
  11. 16Leonardo CampanaF
Substitutes (15)

13 · Denil Castillo

8 · Jordy Alcivar

18 · John Mercado

14 · Alan Minda

12 · Moisés Ramírez

22 · Cristhian Loor

5 · Cristian Ramírez

26 · Léo Realpe

2 · Félix Torres

24 · Yaimar Medina

17 · Ángelo Preciado

10 · Kendry Páez

25 · Patrik Mercado

11 · Kevin Rodriguez

7 · Jeremy Arevalo

New Zealand

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Darren Shaun Bazeley
  1. 1Max CrocombeG
  2. 21Bill TuilomaD
  3. 14Finn SurmanD
  4. 4Tyler BindonD
  5. 3Francis De VriesD
  6. 8Marko StamenićM
  7. 16Alex RuferM
  8. 11Elijah JustM
  9. 10Sarpreet SinghM
  10. 19Benjamin OldM
  11. 18Ben WaineF
Substitutes (13)

2 · Storm Roux

7 · Matthew Garbett

17 · Kosta Barbarouses

13 · James McGarry

23 · Owen Parker Price

20 · Jesse Randall

22 · Kees Sims

12 · Nik Tzanev

5 · Michael Boxall

99 · Tommy Smith

15 · George Stanger

6 · Joe Bell

9 · Andre de Jong

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Ecuador

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Hernán Galíndez927.0———26—
Alan Franco376.9——1281
Joel Ordóñez927.3——1701
Willian Pacho927.2———81—
Piero Hincapié927.9——1764
John Yeboah757.2———27—
Moisés Caicedo927.2———782
Pedro Vite757.3———641
Nilson Angulo828.31—3435
Gonzalo Plata929.2—2561—
Leonardo Campana927.31—227—
Denil Castillo557.3———442
Jordy Alcivar176.9———9—
John Mercado176.6——28—
Alan Minda106.9——11—
Moisés Ramírez———————
Cristhian Loor———————
Cristian Ramírez———————
Léo Realpe———————
Félix Torres———————
Yaimar Medina———————
Ángelo Preciado———————
Kendry Páez———————
Patrik Mercado———————
Kevin Rodriguez———————
Jeremy Arevalo———————

New Zealand

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Max Crocombe927.5———27—
Bill Tuiloma426.7——111—
Finn Surman926.5———24—
Tyler Bindon927.7———271
Francis De Vries816.6———12—
Marko Stamenić926.3———28—
Alex Rufer817.3———303
Elijah Just666.3——1121
Sarpreet Singh926.9——2244
Benjamin Old666.2———7—
Ben Waine816.7———81
Storm Roux506.6———112
Matthew Garbett266.2———4—
Kosta Barbarouses266.3———3—
James McGarry116.5———3—
Owen Parker Price116.6——19—
Jesse Randall116.3———11
Kees Sims———————
Nik Tzanev———————
Michael Boxall———————
Tommy Smith———————
George Stanger———————
Joe Bell———————
Andre de Jong———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Friendlies table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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