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FriendliesFriendlies 1THE MATCH CENTRE

Canada vs Ecuador match centre

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DWWLD
Momentum↘ Falling50/100OlderLatest
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0:0
UK time · Europe/London
Ecuador badgeEcuadorAway
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Momentum↘ Falling46/100OlderLatest
BMO Field · TorontoSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
CanadaEcuador
4Corner Kicks2
4Fouls4
1Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves1
186Total passes628
125Passes accurate564

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Canada 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Ecuador 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Canada

6/7Wins
2.7Goals / game
0.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Canada’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Ecuador

1/3Wins
0.7Goals / game
0.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Ecuador’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Canada

7 matches
Oldest newest
Results6 wins · 1 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.7
Goals conceded per game0.4
Games with 3+ goals4 of 7
Both teams scored2 of 7

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Canada at home with Ecuador away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 00:26 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Friendlies · 2025/26 · all league matches

CanadaEcuador
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Canada at home with Ecuador away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Canada

Confirmed formation4-4-2Jesse Alan Marsch
  1. 1Dayne St. ClairG
  2. 23Niko SigurD
  3. 5Joel WatermanD
  4. 4Kamal MillerD
  5. 22Richie LaryeaD
  6. 17Tajon BuchananM
  7. 8Ismael KonéM
  8. 7Stephen EustaquioM
  9. 11Ali AhmedM
  10. 12Tani OluwaseyiF
  11. 20Jonathan DavidF
Substitutes (11)

21 · Jonathan Osorio

19 · Nathan-Dylan Saliba

10 · Junior Hoilett

14 · Thelonius Bair

25 · Jayden Nelson

16 · Maxime Crépeau

98 · Owen Goodman

13 · Derek Cornelius

3 · Zorhan Bassong

6 · Mathieu Choinière

24 · Promise David

Ecuador

Confirmed formation4-4-2Sebastián Andrés Beccacece
  1. 1Hernán GalíndezG
  2. 21Alan FrancoD
  3. 4Joel OrdóñezD
  4. 6Willian PachoD
  5. 3Piero HincapiéD
  6. 9John YeboahM
  7. 23Moisés CaicedoM
  8. 15Pedro ViteM
  9. 20Nilson AnguloM
  10. 11Kevin RodriguezF
  11. 13Enner ValenciaF
Substitutes (15)

19 · Gonzalo Plata

25 · Patrik Mercado

10 · Kendry Páez

5 · Denil Castillo

7 · Jeremy Arevalo

16 · Leonardo Campana

22 · Cristhian Loor

12 · Moisés Ramírez

26 · Léo Realpe

2 · Félix Torres

24 · Yaimar Medina

17 · Ángelo Preciado

8 · Jordy Alcivar

18 · John Mercado

14 · Alan Minda

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Canada

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Dayne St. Clair956.9———21—
Niko Sigur956.6———182
Joel Waterman956.6———201
Kamal Miller957.0———261
Richie Laryea957.9——165
Tajon Buchanan796.3———83
Ismael Koné796.6———232
Stephen Eustaquio857.0———241
Ali Ahmed63.0—0—3—
Tani Oluwaseyi796.3——181
Jonathan David856.6———16—
Jonathan Osorio166.3———2—
Nathan-Dylan Saliba166.7———31
Junior Hoilett166.3———3—
Thelonius Bair106.7———4—
Jayden Nelson106.3———1—
Maxime Crépeau———————
Owen Goodman———————
Derek Cornelius———————
Zorhan Bassong———————
Mathieu Choinière———————
Promise David———————

Ecuador

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Hernán Galíndez956.9———18—
Alan Franco857.2———621
Joel Ordóñez957.2———1091
Willian Pacho956.9——11351
Piero Hincapié957.7———536
John Yeboah776.3———321
Moisés Caicedo957.2———73—
Pedro Vite857.5———791
Nilson Angulo456.5———151
Kevin Rodriguez776.2———4—
Enner Valencia926.2——212—
Gonzalo Plata506.7———201
Patrik Mercado186.5———6—
Kendry Páez185.9———7—
Denil Castillo106.3———3—
Jeremy Arevalo106.6————1
Leonardo Campana3——————
Cristhian Loor———————
Moisés Ramírez———————
Léo Realpe———————
Félix Torres———————
Yaimar Medina———————
Ángelo Preciado———————
Jordy Alcivar———————
John Mercado———————
Alan Minda———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Friendlies table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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