New York City FC
6/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect New York City FC’s results
Major League SoccerRegular seasonTHE MATCH CENTRENew York City FC vs Inter Miami match centre
90′ · Live
2:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
N. Mercau17′
A. Ojeda59′
G. Lujan3′
L. Messi61′
Micael74′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%New York City FC
Draw3.6%at full time
Current result estimate96.3%Inter Miami
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: New York City FC 3.8% · no further goal 91.9% · Inter Miami 4.3%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.New York City FCInter Miami
1.280Expected goals · API-Football1.450
4Shots on target8
10Total Shots21
46%Ball Possession54%
5Corner Kicks7
12Fouls13
1Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves2
453Total passes538
388Passes accurate489
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Eastern ConferenceProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 27 | +34 | 60 | — |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 28 | +15 | 49 | ↑ 1 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 27 | +9 | 46 | ↓ 1 |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 27 | +9 | 43 | — |
| 5 |  Chicago Fire | 26 | +8 | 42 | — |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 27 | +10 | 39 | — |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 27 | -16 | 34 | — |
| 8 | New York City FC | 28 | +4 | 33 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 26 | -9 | 33 | ↑ 1 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 27 | -17 | 33 | ↓ 2 |
| 11 |  DC United | 26 | -8 | 30 | — |
| 12 |  Columbus Crew | 27 | -4 | 29 | — |
| 13 |  Toronto FC | 27 | -12 | 29 | — |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 27 | -13 | 27 | — |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 27 | -20 | 24 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
New York City FC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Inter Miami 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Inter Miami
4/8Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Inter Miami’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
New York City FC
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Colorado RapidsHome · Major League Soccer3–1Orlando City SCHome · Major League Soccer5–0Philadelphia UnionAway · Major League Soccer2–1San Jose EarthquakesAway · Friendlies Clubs0–2Sporting Kansas CityAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2Los Angeles FCAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1AustinHome · Friendlies Clubs2–0Tampa Bay RowdiesHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2New York Red BullsAway · Major League Soccer3–2Atlanta United FCHome · Major League Soccer4–0
Inter Miami
8 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals4 of 8
Both teams scored4 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Nashville SCHome · CONCACAF Champions League1–1CharlotteAway · Major League Soccer0–0Nashville SCAway · CONCACAF Champions League0–0DC UnitedAway · Major League Soccer2–1Los Angeles FCAway · Major League Soccer0–3Atletico NacionalAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1Columbus CrewHome · Major League Soccer5–1Columbus CrewAway · Major League Soccer1–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare New York City FC at home with Inter Miami away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:29 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Major League Soccer · 2026/27 · all league matches
New York City FCInter Miami
26Matches played26
32Points earned46
8Wins12
1.5Goals scored / match2.4
1.3Goals conceded / match1.8
5Clean sheets4
5Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares New York City FC at home with Inter Miami away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
New York City FC
Confirmed formation4-3-3Pascal Jansen
- 49
M. FreeseG - 24
T. GrayD - 13
Thiago MartinsD - 5
K. TrewinD - 22
K. O'TooleD - 55
K. ParksM - 10
M. MoralezM - 21
A. O'NeillM - 26
A. OjedaF - 7
N. MercauF - 17
H. WolfF
Substitutes (9)
30 · T. Romero
34 · Raul Gustavo
29 · M. Carrizo
38 · D. Baiera
19 · S. Tanasijevic
11 · Talles Magno
32 · J. Shore
2 · N. Cavallo
99 · S. Reid
Inter Miami
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Guillermo Hoyos Angel
- 97
D. St.ClairG - 17
I. FrayD - 2
G. LujanD - 16
MicaelD - 32
N. AllenD - 42
Y. BrightM - 22
D. AyalaM - 21
T. AllendeM - 10
L. MessiM - 8
T. SegoviaM - 24
M. SilvettiF
Substitutes (9)
34 · R. Rios
9 · L. Suarez
19 · G. Berterame
4 · F. Mura
76 · C. Abadia-Reda
56 · D. Pinter
41 · D. Ruiz
20 · S. Morales
88 · A. Shaw
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
New York City FC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Freese | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 13 | — |
| Tayvon Gray | 86 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 47 | 4 |
| Thiago Martins | 97 | 6.0 | — | — | — | 58 | — |
| Kai Trewin | 97 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 49 | 3 |
| Kevin O'Toole | 97 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 46 | 1 |
| Keaton Parks | 75 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 41 | 3 |
| Maxi Moralez | 97 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 64 | 2 |
| Aiden O'Neill | 97 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 5 |
| Agustin Ojeda | 86 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 4 |
| Nicolás Fernández | 97 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 4 |
| Hannes Wolf | 81 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 19 | 2 |
| Jonathan Shore | 22 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 13 | 2 |
| Talles Magno | 16 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Andrew Baiera | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Seymour Garfield-Reid | 11 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomás Romero | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nico Cavallo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raul Gustavo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Strahinja Tanasijević | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Máximo Carrizo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Inter Miami
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayne St. Clair | 97 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 34 | — |
| Ian Fray | 77 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 40 | 1 |
| Gonzalo Luján | 97 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 85 | 3 |
| Micael | 97 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 82 | 1 |
| Noah Allen | 97 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | 40 | 3 |
| Yannick Bright | 77 | 6.0 | — | — | — | 44 | — |
| David Ayala | 97 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 63 | 1 |
| Tadeo Allende | 63 | 5.9 | — | — | — | 11 | 1 |
| Lionel Messi | 97 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 7 | 47 | — |
| Telasco Segovia | 97 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 1 |
| Mateo Silvetti | 77 | 6.9 | — | — | 4 | 15 | — |
| Daniel Pinter | 34 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 7 | — |
| Facundo Mura | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 6 | 1 |
| David Ruíz | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 8 | — |
| Germán Berterame | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rocco Ríos Novo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ezequiel Abadia-Reda | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Shaw | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Morales | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Suárez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →