Chicago Fire
5/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Chicago Fire’s results
Major League SoccerMatchweek 7THE MATCH CENTREChicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC match centre
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Haile-Selassie13′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate95.4%Chicago Fire
Draw4.4%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Atlanta United FC
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: Chicago Fire 3.5% · no further goal 91.8% · Atlanta United FC 4.6%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Chicago FireAtlanta United FC
2.300Expected goals · API-Football1.260
3Shots on target5
15Total Shots18
45%Ball Possession55%
5Corner Kicks11
12Fouls5
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves2
415Total passes520
342Passes accurate458
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Eastern ConferenceProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 27 | +34 | 60 | — |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 27 | +14 | 46 | ↑ 1 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 27 | +9 | 46 | ↓ 1 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 27 | +9 | 45 | ↑ 1 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 27 | +9 | 43 | ↓ 1 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 27 | +10 | 39 | — |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 27 | -16 | 34 | — |
| 8 |  New York City FC | 27 | +5 | 33 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 26 | -9 | 33 | ↑ 1 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 27 | -17 | 33 | ↓ 2 |
| 11 |  DC United | 26 | -8 | 30 | — |
| 12 |  Columbus Crew | 27 | -4 | 29 | — |
| 13 |  Toronto FC | 27 | -12 | 29 | — |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 28 | -14 | 27 | — |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 27 | -20 | 24 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Chicago Fire 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Atlanta United FC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Atlanta United FC
3/9Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Atlanta United FC’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Chicago Fire
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Nashville SCHome · Major League Soccer1–0Philadelphia UnionAway · Major League Soccer2–1ChattanoogaHome · MLS Next Pro2–1Orlando City IIAway · MLS Next Pro1–2CF MontrealHome · Major League Soccer3–0Houston DynamoAway · Major League Soccer1–2Portland TimbersHome · Friendlies Clubs3–4Indy ElevenAway · Friendlies Clubs0–0AustinAway · Friendlies Clubs2–2Los Angeles GalaxyAway · Friendlies Clubs3–2
Atlanta United FC
9 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals5 of 9
Both teams scored4 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Columbus CrewHome · Major League Soccer1–3DC UnitedHome · Major League Soccer0–0Philadelphia UnionHome · Major League Soccer3–1FC CincinnatiAway · Major League Soccer0–2FC DallasHome · Friendlies Clubs0–0New York Red BullsHome · Friendlies Clubs3–2Houston DynamoAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1LexingtonHome · Friendlies Clubs4–0New York City FCAway · Major League Soccer0–4
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Chicago Fire at home with Atlanta United FC away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:50 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Major League Soccer · 2026/27 · all league matches
Chicago FireAtlanta United FC
6Matches played26
10Points earned26
3Wins7
1.4Goals scored / match1.2
0.9Goals conceded / match1.7
3Clean sheets3
1Failed to score9
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Chicago Fire at home with Atlanta United FC away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Chicago Fire
Confirmed formation4-4-2Mario Barcena
- 1
C. BradyG - 2
L. BarrosoD - 3
J. ElliottD - 4
M. MbokaziD - 15
A. GutmanD - 11
P. ZinckernagelM - 6
A. SaletrosM - 42
D. D'AvillaM - 19
J. BambaM - 17
R. LodF - 7
M. Haile-SelassieF
Substitutes (9)
44 · J. Cohen
16 · J. Waterman
22 · M. Pineda
20 · J. Shokalook
24 · J. Dean
14 · V. Radojevic
12 · P. Dithejane
29 · D. Poreba
35 · S. Oregel
Atlanta United FC
Confirmed formation4-3-3Gerardo Martino
- 1
L. HoyosG - 55
T. JacobD - 5
S. GregersenD - 4
E. MihajD - 3
E. BaezD - 48
C. SanchezM - 8
T. MuyumbaM - 88
M. GalarzaM - 11
S. LobjanidzeF - 9
E. Latte LathF - 10
M. AlmironF
Substitutes (9)
42 · J. Hibbert
30 · C. Togashi
35 · A. Fortune
47 · M. Edwards
2 · R. Hernandez
6 · J. Berrocal
7 · S. Alzate
18 · P. Amador
20 · L. Brennan
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Chicago Fire
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Brady | 97 | 7.9 | — | — | — | 31 | — |
| Leonardo Barroso | 68 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 30 | 2 |
| Jack Elliott | 97 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 52 | — |
| Mbekezeli Mbokazi | 97 | 8.9 | — | — | — | 54 | 1 |
| Andrew Gutman | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 1 |
| Philip Zinckernagel | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 30 | 2 |
| Anton Salétros | 97 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 59 | 2 |
| Dje Tah D'Avilla | 68 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 33 | 1 |
| Jonathan Bamba | 89 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 3 | 32 | 1 |
| Robin Lod | 97 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 1 |
| Maren Haile-Selassie | 97 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 51 | — |
| Mauricio Pineda | 29 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 21 | — |
| Jonathan Dean | 29 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 10 | 1 |
| Puso Dithejane | 8 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Jason Shokalook | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| David Poreba | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Cohen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joel Waterman | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Oregel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Viktor Radojević | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Atlanta United FC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hoyos | 97 | 7.5 | — | — | — | 40 | — |
| Tomás Jacob | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 39 | — |
| Stian Gregersen | 97 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 2 |
| Enea Mihaj | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 84 | 2 |
| Elías Báez | 78 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 2 |
| Cooper Sanchez | 66 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 29 | — |
| Tristan Muyumba | 97 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 61 | 5 |
| Matías Galarza | 89 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 3 |
| Saba Lobjanidze | 78 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 12 | — |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | 78 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 27 | — |
| Miguel Almirón | 97 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 44 | — |
| Steven Alzate | 31 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 16 | — |
| Cayman Togashi | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 7 | — |
| Pedro Amador | 19 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 14 | 1 |
| Luke Brennan | 19 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 10 | — |
| Ajani Fortune | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Juan Berrocal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matthew Edwards | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ronald Hernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jayden Hibbert | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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