St. Louis City
4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect St. Louis City’s results
Major League SoccerMatchweek 16THE MATCH CENTRESt. Louis City vs Austin match centre
90′ · Live
3:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Guilherme Biro40′ (og)
F. Fall57′
D. Edelman90′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%St. Louis City
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Austin
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: St. Louis City 4.4% · no further goal 91.9% · Austin 3.7%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.St. Louis CityAustin
0.950Expected goals · API-Football0.310
5Shots on target2
14Total Shots7
48%Ball Possession52%
2Corner Kicks1
17Fouls8
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves4
432Total passes473
368Passes accurate407
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Western ConferenceProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 26 | +33 | 50 | — |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 28 | +15 | 50 | — |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 27 | +8 | 47 | — |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | +10 | 45 | — |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 27 | +2 | 44 | — |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 28 | +13 | 41 | — |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 27 | 0 | 36 | — |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | -7 | 36 | — |
| 9 |  Seattle Sounders | 26 | -1 | 35 | — |
| 10 |  San Diego | 27 | 0 | 32 | ↑ 2 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 27 | -3 | 32 | ↓ 1 |
| 12 |  Real Salt Lake | 27 | -4 | 32 | ↓ 1 |
| 13 |  Austin | 28 | -15 | 31 | — |
| 14 |  Minnesota United FC | 27 | -9 | 29 | — |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 26 | -32 | 21 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
St. Louis City 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Austin 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Austin
2/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
2.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Austin’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
St. Louis City
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Houston DynamoHome · US Open Cup2–2DC UnitedAway · Major League Soccer1–1Los Angeles FCHome · Major League Soccer2–1Colorado RapidsAway · Major League Soccer1–0AustinAway · Major League Soccer0–2Chicago FireAway · US Open Cup2–1San Jose EarthquakesHome · Major League Soccer2–3Seattle SoundersAway · Major League Soccer1–4FC TulsaHome · US Open Cup4–0FC DallasAway · Major League Soccer1–1
Austin
10 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game2.3
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Sporting Kansas CityHome · Major League Soccer1–2San DiegoAway · Major League Soccer0–5Minnesota United FCAway · Major League Soccer2–2St. Louis CityHome · Major League Soccer2–0Houston DynamoHome · Major League Soccer2–0San Jose EarthquakesAway · Major League Soccer1–5Toronto FCAway · Major League Soccer3–3Louisville CityAway · US Open Cup1–2Los Angeles GalaxyHome · Major League Soccer1–2Inter MiamiAway · Major League Soccer2–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare St. Louis City at home with Austin away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:21 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Major League Soccer · 2026/27 · all league matches
St. Louis CityAustin
26Matches played13
44Points earned14
12Wins3
1.7Goals scored / match1.4
1.4Goals conceded / match2.0
3Clean sheets4
4Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares St. Louis City at home with Austin away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
St. Louis City
3wins5MEETINGS
Austin
2winsApr 2024 – May 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with St. Louis City first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
St. Louis City
Confirmed formation3-4-3Yoann Damet
- 39
B. LundtG - 21
D. PolvaraD - 32
T. BaumgartlD - 27
F. FallD - 14
T. TotlandM - 8
C. DurkinM - 24
D. EdelmanM - 20
Rafael SantosM - 10
E. LowenF - 11
S. BecherF - 17
M. HartelF
Substitutes (8)
34 · C. Welsh
36 · C. Teuchert
5 · L. MacNaughton
28 · M. Perez
22 · K. Hiebert
4 · M. Mbacke
59 · M. Joyner
80 · B. McSorley
Austin
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Davy Arnaud
- 1
B. StuverG - 3
M. DeslerD - 5
O. SvatokD - 15
J. BellD - 29
Guilherme BiroD - 8
D. PereiraM - 11
F. TorresM - 30
J. RosalesM - 33
O. WolffM - 17
J. GallagherM - 21
C. RamirezF
Substitutes (9)
12 · D. Las
6 · I. Sanchez
7 · J. Nelson
19 · C. Fodrey
14 · B. Sabovic
9 · B. Vazquez
23 · Z. Kolmanic
35 · M. Djordjevic
20 · N. Dubersarsky
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
St. Louis City
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Lundt | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Dante Polvara | 23 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Timo Baumgartl | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 74 | 3 |
| Fallou Fall | 90 | 9.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 43 | 6 |
| Tomas Totland | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Christopher Durkin | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 43 | — |
| Daniel Edelman | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 1 |
| Rafael Santos | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 19 | 1 |
| Eduard Löwen | 88 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 47 | 3 |
| Simon Becher | 88 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Marcel Hartel | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 3 | 41 | 1 |
| Lukas MacNaughton | 67 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 1 |
| Brendan McSorley | 8 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Cedric Teuchert | 8 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 5 | — |
| Colin Welsh | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Hiebert | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Mbacke | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mykhi Joyner | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Perez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Austin
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Stuver | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Mikkel Desler | 60 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Oleksandr Svatok | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 55 | — |
| Jonathan Bell | 76 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 29 | 1 |
| Guilherme Biro | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 76 | — |
| Daniel Pereira | 76 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 67 | 1 |
| Facundo Torres | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 50 | — |
| Joseph Rosales | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 50 | 1 |
| Owen Wolff | 80 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 46 | — |
| Jon Gallagher | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Christian Ramirez | 60 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Brandon Vázquez | 30 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 1 |
| Jayden Nelson | 30 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Žan Kolmanič | 14 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Nicolas Dubersarsky | 14 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Calvin Fodrey | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Damian Las | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateja Đorđević | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Besard Sabović | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ilie Sánchez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | St. Louis City | Draw | Austin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
Snapshot from 22 May 2026, 16:15 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →