M. AlmironInternational duty
Reported out
Major League SoccerMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTREAtlanta United FC vs New York City FC match centre
Full time
2:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Giuliano Galoppo10′
Ajani Fortune74′
Matthew Edwards5′ (og)
Andrés Perea56′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 27 Sep 00:23 UK.
Odds updated 26 Sep 21:01 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 8 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Atlanta United FCNew York City FC
—Expected goals · API-Football—
5Shots on target3
7Total Shots8
52%Ball Possession48%
4Corner Kicks3
14Fouls13
1Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
485Total passes442
408Passes accurate379
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Atlanta United FC 7 reported
J. AlonsoInternational duty
Reported out
P. DiazInternational duty
Reported out
A. MiranchukInternational duty
Reported out
F. PicaultInternational duty
Reported out
S. AlzateIllness
DoubtfulT. JacobInjury
Doubtful
New York City FC 10 reported
D. BaieraKnee Injury
Reported out
A. FarnosInjury
Reported out
M. FreeseInternational duty
Reported out
T. GrayInternational duty
Reported out
M. IlenicInternational duty
Reported out
M. MoralezKnee Injury
Reported out
A. O'NeillInternational duty
Reported out
K. ParksInjury
Doubtful
Talles MagnoMuscle Injury
Doubtful
K. TrewinAnkle Injury
DoubtfulFetched 26 Sep, 22:15 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Atlanta United FC
4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Atlanta United FC’s resultsNew York City FC
1/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect New York City FC’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Atlanta United FC
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Portland TimbersAway · Major League Soccer1–0DC UnitedAway · Major League Soccer0–0Orlando City SCHome · Major League Soccer2–3Inter MiamiAway · Major League Soccer2–2CharlotteHome · Major League Soccer0–2Sporting Kansas CityHome · Major League Soccer2–1Minnesota United FCAway · Major League Soccer2–1New York Red BullsHome · Major League Soccer2–1Philadelphia UnionAway · Major League Soccer2–3New England RevolutionAway · Major League Soccer1–4
New York City FC
10 matchesResults1 wins · 3 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
New York Red BullsHome · Major League Soccer0–1Real Salt LakeAway · Major League Soccer2–0New England RevolutionHome · Major League Soccer1–2Nashville SCHome · Major League Soccer0–0Toronto FCAway · Major League Soccer1–1New England RevolutionAway · Major League Soccer1–1FC CincinnatiAway · Major League Soccer1–2Philadelphia UnionHome · Major League Soccer2–3NecaxaHome · Leagues Cup1–2Cruz AzulAway · Leagues Cup1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Atlanta United FC at home with New York City FC away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:55 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Major League Soccer · 2026/27 · all league matches
Atlanta United FCNew York City FC
26Matches played26
26Points earned32
7Wins8
1.2Goals scored / match1.5
1.7Goals conceded / match1.3
3Clean sheets5
9Failed to score5
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Atlanta United FC at home with New York City FC away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Atlanta United FC
1wins5MEETINGS
New York City FC
1winsJun 2023 – Jun 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Atlanta United FC
Confirmed formation4-3-3G. Martino
- 1
L. HoyosG - 55
T. JacobD - 47
Matthew EdwardsD - 4
E. MihajD - 3
E. BáezD - 48
C. SanchezM - 14Mauricio Federico Amaro ViegaM
- 8
T. MuyumbaM - 11
G. GaloppoF - 36
B. EmboloF - 20
L. BrennanF
Substitutes (9)
19 · Sergio Santos
35 · A. Fortune
16 · Adrian Gill
42 · Jayden Hibbert
7 · S. Alzate
70 · C. Dunbar
28 · William Reilly
30 · C. Togashi
44 · D. Chica
New York City FC
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1P. Jansen
- 30
T. RomeroG - 34
Raul GustavoD - 13
Thiago MartinsD - 6
J. SandsD - 2
Nico CavalloD - 8
A. PereaM - 32
J. ShoreM - 26
A. OjedaM - 7
N. Fernández MercauM - 17
H. WolfM - 9
B. TraoréF
Substitutes (9)
88 · M. Jones
16 · A. Martínez
23 · Maxwell Murray
22 · K. O'Toole
20 · Luighi Hanri
3 · M. Miazga
27 · C. Flax
18 · G. Ranjitsingh
15 · K. Pierre
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Major League Soccer table
Current standings · Eastern Conference. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55 | 21 | 34 | 60 | WWDLD |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 46 | LWWWL |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 46 | LDDDD |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 43 | LWDWD |
| 5 |  Chicago Fire | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 42 | WLLDD |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 39 | WWWWW |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 34 | LLWWW |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 33 | LWWLD |
| 9 | New York City FC | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 33 | DLWLD |
| 10 |  FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 33 | LDDLL |
| 11 |  DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 30 | DLDWD |
| 12 |  Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 29 | WWLLW |
| 13 |  Toronto FC | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 29 | LLLWD |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 27 | DWDLD |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 24 | WLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Atlanta United FC | Draw | New York City FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.57 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.70 | 2.60 |
| Pinnacle | 2.55 | 3.66 | 2.72 |
| SBO | 2.40 | 3.34 | 2.54 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
Snapshot from 26 Sep 2026, 21:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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