W. CarmonaInternational duty
Reported out
Major League SoccerMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTRECF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati match centre
Full time
3:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Daniel Rios25′
Prince-Osei Owusu72′ (pen)
Prince-Osei Owusu75′
Tom Barlow64′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 27 Sep 00:23 UK.
Odds updated 26 Sep 21:01 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 8 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
CF MontrealFC Cincinnati
—Expected goals · API-Football—
5Shots on target4
15Total Shots16
43%Ball Possession57%
4Corner Kicks6
6Fouls6
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
395Total passes523
333Passes accurate458
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
CF Montreal 13 reported
O. EscobarInternational duty
Reported out
B. HidalgoGroin Injury
Reported out
E. MoralesInternational duty
Reported out
D. PereiraLower-Body Injury
Reported out
S. PietteYellow Cards
Reported out
V. RadojevicInternational duty
Reported out
D. SealyInternational duty
Reported out
N. StreitInternational duty
Reported out
G. SynchukInternational duty
Reported out
B. VeraLower-Body Injury
Reported out
F. AmayaLower-Body Injury
Doubtful
T. GillierUpper-Body Injury
Doubtful
FC Cincinnati 5 reported
P. BuchaInternational duty
Reported out
A. ChirilaInternational duty
Reported out
K. DenkeyInternational duty
Reported out
E. EcheniqueInactive
Reported out
M. RobinsonInternational duty
Reported outFetched 26 Sep, 22:15 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
CF Montreal
2/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect CF Montreal’s resultsFC Cincinnati
3/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect FC Cincinnati’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
CF Montreal
10 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Columbus CrewHome · Major League Soccer0–2Vancouver WhitecapsHome · Canadian Championship2–1Colorado RapidsAway · Major League Soccer0–1CharlotteHome · Major League Soccer1–2Philadelphia UnionAway · Major League Soccer0–2Vancouver WhitecapsAway · Canadian Championship1–1Inter MiamiAway · Major League Soccer1–7Los Angeles GalaxyHome · Major League Soccer2–2Columbus CrewAway · Major League Soccer2–1DC UnitedHome · Major League Soccer1–1
FC Cincinnati
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Houston DynamoAway · Major League Soccer2–2CharlotteHome · Major League Soccer3–3Philadelphia UnionAway · Major League Soccer0–5Nashville SCAway · Major League Soccer0–4Seattle SoundersHome · Major League Soccer1–1New York City FCHome · Major League Soccer2–1Orlando City SCAway · Major League Soccer1–1AtlasHome · Leagues Cup1–2U.N.A.M. - PumasHome · Leagues Cup2–0CF PachucaHome · Leagues Cup3–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare CF Montreal at home with FC Cincinnati away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:55 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Major League Soccer · 2026/27 · all league matches
CF MontrealFC Cincinnati
25Matches played24
21Points earned32
5Wins8
1.2Goals scored / match2.2
2.1Goals conceded / match2.5
4Clean sheets2
9Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares CF Montreal at home with FC Cincinnati away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
CF Montreal
0wins4MEETINGS
FC Cincinnati
4winsJan 2025 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with CF Montreal first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
CF Montreal
Confirmed formation3-4-3Philippe Eullaffroy
- 1
S. BrezaG - 2
J. NealD - 3
B. CeballosD - 13
L. PetrassoD - 5
B. CraigM - 8
M. LongstaffM - 22
V. LoturiM - 27
D. BugajM - 10
A. SánchezF - 9
P. OwusuF - 14
D. RíosF
Substitutes (5)
25 · F. Amaya
26 · I. Losenko
21 · F. Herbers
31 · T. Gillier
33 · E. Gazdov
FC Cincinnati
Confirmed formation3-5-2Pat Noonan
- 18
R. CelentanoG - 4
N. HagglundD - 11
S. GidiD - 15
T. HadebeD - 17
K. Mboma DemM - 22
G. ValenzuelaM - 10
EvanderM - 5
O. NwobodoM - 29
Bryan Josías Ramírez LeónM - 99
A. JabbariF - 16
T. BarlowF
Substitutes (9)
6 · J. Malatini
2 · A. Powell
50 · Felix Samson
24 · K. Smith
13 · E. Louro
14 · K. Fletcher
23 · D. Douděra
27 · B. Anunga
19 · Stefan Chirila
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Major League Soccer table
Current standings · Eastern Conference. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55 | 21 | 34 | 60 | WWDLD |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 46 | LWWWL |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 46 | LDDDD |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 43 | LWDWD |
| 5 |  Chicago Fire | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 42 | WLLDD |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 39 | WWWWW |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 34 | LLWWW |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 33 | LWWLD |
| 9 |  New York City FC | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 33 | DLWLD |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 33 | LDDLL |
| 11 |  DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 30 | DLDWD |
| 12 |  Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 29 | WWLLW |
| 13 |  Toronto FC | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 29 | LLLWD |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 27 | DWDLD |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 24 | WLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | CF Montreal | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 2.73 | 3.70 | 2.28 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 4.00 | 2.30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.83 | 3.87 | 2.37 |
| SBO | 2.62 | 3.58 | 2.23 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
Snapshot from 26 Sep 2026, 21:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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