L. AbadaInternational duty
Reported out
Major League SoccerMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTRECharlotte vs Chicago Fire match centre
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Luca De La Torre58′ (og)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 27 Sep 00:23 UK.
Odds updated 26 Sep 21:01 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 8 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
CharlotteChicago Fire
—Expected goals · API-Football—
2Shots on target8
11Total Shots18
40%Ball Possession60%
4Corner Kicks6
13Fouls14
4Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
8Goalkeeper Saves2
336Total passes521
277Passes accurate460
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Charlotte 6 reported
R. AlokoInternational duty
Reported out
N. BerchimasFoot Injury
Reported out
A. JohnUpper-Body Injury
Reported out
A. JohnsonInternational duty
Reported out
I. ToklomatiInternational duty
Reported out
Chicago Fire 8 reported
N. AllenInternational duty
Reported out
C. BradyInternational duty
Reported out
P. DithejaneInternational duty
Reported out
R. LewandowskiInternational duty
Reported out
R. LodInternational duty
Reported outM. MbokaziLower-Body Injury
Reported out
A. MekvabishviliInternational duty
Reported out
A. FrancoKnee Injury
DoubtfulFetched 26 Sep, 23:16 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Charlotte
6/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Charlotte’s resultsChicago Fire
3/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Chicago Fire’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Charlotte
10 matchesResults6 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
DC UnitedAway · Major League Soccer2–1FC CincinnatiAway · Major League Soccer3–3CF MontrealAway · Major League Soccer2–1Houston DynamoHome · Major League Soccer0–0Atlanta United FCAway · Major League Soccer2–0DC UnitedHome · Major League Soccer3–1Toronto FCAway · Major League Soccer3–3Columbus CrewHome · Major League Soccer3–1CF PachucaHome · Leagues Cup0–1AtlasHome · Leagues Cup2–0
Chicago Fire
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Nashville SCAway · Major League Soccer0–3New England RevolutionHome · Major League Soccer1–2Inter MiamiHome · Major League Soccer1–1Toronto FCAway · Major League Soccer4–4Seattle SoundersAway · Major League Soccer2–2MonterreyAway · Leagues Cup1–2New York Red BullsAway · Major League Soccer1–1Orlando City SCAway · Major League Soccer2–1Portland TimbersHome · Major League Soccer2–1Cruz AzulAway · Leagues Cup2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Charlotte at home with Chicago Fire away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:59 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Major League Soccer · 2026/27 · all league matches
CharlotteChicago Fire
26Matches played24
43Points earned39
12Wins11
1.8Goals scored / match1.9
1.4Goals conceded / match1.5
5Clean sheets6
5Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Charlotte at home with Chicago Fire away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Charlotte
1wins4MEETINGS
Chicago Fire
3winsOct 2024 – Aug 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Charlotte first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Charlotte
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1D. Smith
- 1
K. KahlinaG - 35
Will ClearyD - 22
H. KesslerD - 3
T. ReamD - 15
H. ToffoloD - 8
A. WestwoodM - 28
D. DianiM - 16
Pep BielM - 17
L. de la TorreM - 10
A. Saint-MaximinM - 7
A. GoodwinF
Substitutes (9)
14 · N. Byrne
13 · B. Bronico
23 · D. Schnegg
44 · M. Agyemang
21 · T. Miller
25 · Tyger Smalls
4 · A. Privett
20 · B. Coulibaly
71 · N. Richmond
Chicago Fire
Confirmed formation4-3-3G. Berhalter
- 44
J. CohenG - 24
J. DeanD - 3
J. ElliottD - 4
M. MbokaziD - 2
Leonardo BarrosoD - 35
S. OregelM - 42
T. D'AvillaM - 7
M. Haile-SelassieM - 11
P. ZinckernagelF - 18
J. GómezF - 19
J. BambaF
Substitutes (8)
5 · S. Rogers
29 · D. Poręba
22 · M. Pineda
15 · A. Gutman
25 · J. Gal
58 · W. Brody
65 · O. Pineda
28 · D. Boltz
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Major League Soccer table
Current standings · Eastern Conference. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55 | 21 | 34 | 60 | WWDLD |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 46 | LWWWL |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 46 | LDDDD |
| 4 | Charlotte | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 43 | LWDWD |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 42 | WLLDD |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 39 | WWWWW |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 34 | LLWWW |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 33 | LWWLD |
| 9 |  New York City FC | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 33 | DLWLD |
| 10 |  FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 33 | LDDLL |
| 11 |  DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 30 | DLDWD |
| 12 |  Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 29 | WWLLW |
| 13 |  Toronto FC | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 29 | LLLWD |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 27 | DWDLD |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 24 | WLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Charlotte | Draw | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 2.15 | 3.85 | 2.85 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.80 | 2.90 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21 | 4.05 | 2.99 |
| SBO | 2.21 | 3.52 | 2.67 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
Snapshot from 26 Sep 2026, 21:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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