BG Pathum United
5/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect BG Pathum United’s results
Thai League 1Matchweek 28THE MATCH CENTREBG Pathum United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC match centre
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
P. Gustavsson83′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.8%BG Pathum United
Draw3.2%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: BG Pathum United 4.7% · no further goal 92.0% · Nakhon Ratchasima FC 3.3%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.BG Pathum UnitedNakhon Ratchasima FC
—Expected goals · API-Football—
6Shots on target1
17Total Shots7
68%Ball Possession32%
15Corner Kicks4
7Fouls10
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves5
467Total passes232
409Passes accurate165
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Thai League 1 Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Buriram United | 30 | +45 | 70 | — |
| 2 |  Port FC | 30 | +36 | 60 | — |
| 3 |  Ratchaburi | 30 | +25 | 59 | — |
| 4 | BG Pathum United | 31 | +17 | 55 | — |
| 5 |  Bangkok United | 30 | +11 | 50 | — |
| 6 |  Prachuap | 30 | +2 | 45 | — |
| 7 |  Chiangrai United | 30 | -1 | 40 | — |
| 8 |  Chonburi FC | 30 | -3 | 39 | — |
| 9 |  Rayong FC | 30 | -5 | 37 | — |
| 10 |  Ayutthaya FC | 30 | -16 | 32 | — |
| 11 |  Uthai Thani | 30 | -5 | 31 | — |
| 12 |  Lamphun Warrior | 30 | -12 | 29 | — |
| 13 |  Sukhothai FC | 30 | -19 | 28 | — |
| 14 |  Muangthong United | 30 | -25 | 26 | — |
| 15 |  Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 31 | -25 | 24 | — |
| 16 |  Kanchanaburi | 30 | -25 | 23 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
BG Pathum United 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
3/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Nakhon Ratchasima FC’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
BG Pathum United
10 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Port FCAway · Thai League 10–0Buriram UnitedAway · League Cup1–0KanchanaburiAway · Thai League 12–0RatchaburiHome · Thai League 12–2Mahasarakham UnitedHome · League Cup3–0Rayong FCAway · Thai League 11–1Chonburi FCHome · Thai League 12–3Sukhothai FCHome · Thai League 12–1Ayutthaya FCAway · Thai League 12–0Buriram UnitedHome · Thai League 11–3
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.7
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Muangthong UnitedAway · Thai League 11–2Bangkok UnitedHome · Thai League 11–0Uthai ThaniHome · Thai League 10–0Ayutthaya FCAway · Thai League 11–0Chiangrai UnitedHome · Thai League 11–1Buriram UnitedHome · Thai League 10–3PrachuapHome · Thai League 11–2Rayong FCHome · Thai League 12–1Port FCAway · Thai League 10–2Lamphun WarriorHome · Thai League 10–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare BG Pathum United at home with Nakhon Ratchasima FC away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:29 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Thai League 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches
BG Pathum UnitedNakhon Ratchasima FC
27Matches played27
45Points earned21
12Wins5
1.4Goals scored / match0.6
1.0Goals conceded / match1.5
10Clean sheets6
4Failed to score14
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares BG Pathum United at home with Nakhon Ratchasima FC away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
BG Pathum United
Confirmed formation4-3-3Vladimir Vujovic
- 28
S. AnuinG - 15
R. MatsudaD - 44
E. DolahD - 16
N. SandokhadzeD - 17
G. NotsudaD - 6
S. YooyenM - 8
E. PanyaM - 5
K. KamanM - 27
P. JantawongF - 7
RanielF - 14
T. DoiF
Substitutes (12)
49 · N. Inthacharoen
9 · S. Sareepim
18 · C. Songkrasin
95 · Matheus Fornazari
11 · P. Gustavsson
81 · W. Choolthong
22 · N. James
47 · N. Wongsawang
31 · Y. Takagi
2 · S. Nonthasila
29 · W. Jamnongwat
24 · T. Pimoytha
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Confirmed formation5-3-2Surapong Kongthep
- 18
N. LakhonphonG - 19
R. BangsungnoenD - 43
N. LalicD - 45
A. JaiphetD - 2
S. InpaenD - 35
WendelD - 22
P. Hanrattana - 14
H. MitaM - 4
L. JamesM - 23
Dennis MurilloF - 5
J. BecerraF
Substitutes (7)
36 · T. Noorach
7 · Win Hein Phyo
21 · N. Jaroenbut
17 · A. Mungdee
33 · C. Charalampous
16 · P. Sienkrthok
30 · P. Prempree
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
BG Pathum United
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saranon Anuin | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Riku Matsuda | 59 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 2 |
| Yusef Elias Dolah | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 48 | 2 |
| Nika Sandokhadze | 90 | 8.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 63 | 2 |
| Gakuto Notsuda | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 64 | 1 |
| Sarach Yooyen | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 59 | 4 |
| Ekanit Panya | 59 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 2 |
| Kritsada Kaman | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 61 | 1 |
| Pongrawit Jantawong | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Raniel | 66 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 13 | — |
| Tomoyuki Doi | 72 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 3 | 12 | — |
| Chanathip Songkrasin | 45 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Waris Choolthong | 31 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 1 |
| Patrik Gustavsson | 31 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | — |
| Yoshiaki Takagi | 24 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Matheus Fornazari | 18 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Nalawich Inthacharoen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sanchai Nonthasila | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Warinthon Jamnongwat | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thanawat Pimyotha | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan James | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nattawut Wongsawang | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Surachart Sareepim | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nopphon Lakhonphon | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Ratthasart Bangsungnoen | 89 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Nenad Lalić | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Anusak Jaiphet | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Sarawut Inpan | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Wendel | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 17 | 2 |
| Pongsakron Hanrattana | 73 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| Hirotaka Mita | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | 1 |
| Leon James | 89 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 2 |
| Dennis Murillo | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | — |
| Jork Becerra | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 1 |
| Pichitchai Sienkrathok | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Charalampos Charalampous | 17 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Nattawut Jaroenboot | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Hein Phyo Win | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Tanachai Noorach | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Punnathat Preampree | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anurak Mungdee | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | BG Pathum United | Draw | Nakhon Ratchasima FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 4.33 | 7.00 |
Snapshot from 25 Apr 2026, 04:17 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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