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Stars LeagueMatchweek 21THE MATCH CENTRE

Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Duhail SC match centre

Al Ahli Doha badgeAl Ahli DohaHome · 9 in league
WDDWD
Momentum→ Steady63/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Al-Duhail SC badgeAl-Duhail SCAway · 5 in league
DDDWW
Momentum↗ Rising85/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Vlap17′
J. Draxler82′
B. Bourigeaud57′
Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium · DohaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate95.3%Al Ahli Doha
Draw4.5%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Al-Duhail SC
Another goal8.2%before full time

Next goal: Al Ahli Doha 3.4% · no further goal 91.8% · Al-Duhail SC 4.7%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Al Ahli DohaAl-Duhail SC
1Corner Kicks3
10Fouls16
3Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves0
330Total passes619
255Passes accurate549

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Stars League: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Al Sadd22+2645—
2Al Shamal22+1140—
3Al-Rayyan SC22+1438—
4Al-Gharafa22036—
5Al-Duhail SC23+1233—
6Qatar SC22+232—
7Al-Arabi SC22-432—
8Al Ahli Doha23-829↑ 1
9Al Wakrah22-427↓ 1
10Al-Sailiya22-1322—
11Al Shahaniya22-1721—
12UMM Salal22-1920—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Al Ahli Doha 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Al-Duhail SC 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Al Ahli Doha

1/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Al Ahli Doha’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Al-Duhail SC

3/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Al-Duhail SC’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Al Ahli Doha at home with Al-Duhail SC away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:49 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Stars League · 2025/26 · all league matches

Al Ahli DohaAl-Duhail SC
20Matches played20
20Points earned30
6Wins8
1.5Goals scored / match1.8
2.1Goals conceded / match1.2
0Clean sheets6
7Failed to score4

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Al Ahli Doha at home with Al-Duhail SC away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Al Ahli Doha

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Younes Ali
  1. 35M. BadredlinG
  2. 41A. ReyedD
  3. 16R. TihiD
  4. 5W. Troost-EkongD
  5. 3I. YassineD
  6. 20H. MansourM
  7. 8D. FettouhiM
  8. 29S. GannanM
  9. 14M. VlapM
  10. 7J. DraxlerM
  11. 9S. YansaneF
Substitutes (12)

1 · Y. Naim

23 · K. Radwan

12 · H. Mohammed

10 · E. Exposito

33 · K. Mohammed

21 · M. Al Ishaq

24 · A. Doumbouya

17 · O. Alawi

95 · N. Al Nasr

6 · I. Diallo

88 · A. Amraoui

70 · Y. Abdelrahman

Al-Duhail SC

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Djamel Belmadi
  1. 1S. ZakariaG
  2. 45M. Mohamed
  3. 3TutaD
  4. 21J. CastellettoD
  5. 18S. Al BrakeD
  6. 22I. BambaM
  7. 25M. HamzaM
  8. 19B. BourigeaudM
  9. 34B. SoumareM
  10. 77A. BoulbinaM
  11. 29R. Al AbdullaF
Substitutes (10)

30 · B. Burke

96 · A. Hassan

17 · Y. Sabaly

8 · Edmilson Junior

9 · K. Piatek

11 · A. Ali

4 · Y. Aymen

81 · T. Jamshid

15 · Luiz Ceara

14 · G. Al Minhali

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Al Ahli Doha

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Marwan Badredlin907.3—0—27—
Ahmed Reyed Mawla906.9—11292
Robin Tihi906.5—0—35—
William Troost-Ekong906.9—0—311
Islam Yaseen906.9—0—241
Hamad Mansour856.3—0—241
Driss Fettouhi906.9—0—511
Suhaib Gannan746.2—0—35—
Michel Vlap907.5104221
Julian Draxler847.9101302
Sekou Oumar Yansane586.7—0—111
Erik Expósito327.2—0—9—
Younis Abdelrahman166.3—0——3
Ibrahima Diallo126.3—0—1—
Khalid Radwan116.7—0—1—
Amidou Doumbouya———————
Othman Alawi———————
Khaled Mohammed———————
Nasser Ibrahim———————
Mohammed Abdulla Al-Ishaq———————
Helal Mohammed———————
Ayoub Amraoui———————
Yazan Naim———————

Al-Duhail SC

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Salah Zakaria906.3—0—22—
Mohamed Abdelaziz456.5—0—253
Tuta456.7—0—60—
Jean-Charles Castelletto907.3—0—962
Sultan Al Brake686.6—01641
Ibrahima Bamba907.0—0—662
Mubark Shanan906.2—1—461
Benjamin Bourigeaud617.910327—
Boubakary Soumaré906.9—0159—
Adil Boulbina906.5—0352—
Rashid Al Abdulla456.3—0—9—
Almoez Ali456.6—0—15—
Youssouf Sabaly456.2—0—211
Yousef Ayman456.6—01391
Krzysztof Piątek296.7—0—5—
Ghanem Al Minhali226.2—0—131
Amir Hassan Katol———————
Tahsin Mohammed———————
Bautista Burke———————
Luiz Junior———————
Edmilson Junior———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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