Skip to content
Liga MXClausura - 2THE MATCH CENTRE

Toluca vs Santos Laguna match centre

Toluca badgeTolucaHome · 5 in league
LWLWW
Momentum↗ Rising66/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:1
UK time · Europe/London
Santos Laguna badgeSantos LagunaAway · 18 in league
LWLDL
Momentum↓ Low25/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
H. Ortega50′ (og)
M. Ruiz53′
Helinho60′ (pen)
F. Villalba21′
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
TolucaSantos Laguna
5Corner Kicks1
14Fouls10
2Yellow Cards6
Red Cards
1Goalkeeper Saves7
668Total passes232
600Passes accurate180

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Toluca 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Santos Laguna 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Toluca

4/4Wins
3.0Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Toluca’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Santos Laguna

0/2Wins
1.5Goals / game
3.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Santos Laguna’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Toluca at home with Santos Laguna away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:45 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches

TolucaSantos Laguna
24Matches played18
50Points earned20
15Wins6
2.2Goals scored / match1.3
1.1Goals conceded / match1.7
8Clean sheets5
6Failed to score4

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Toluca at home with Santos Laguna away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Toluca

3wins
0 draws

Santos Laguna

2wins

Nov 2023 – Jul 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Toluca first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Toluca

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
  1. 22L. GarciaG
  2. 187F. PumpidoD
  3. 3A. BrisenoD
  4. 6F. PereiraD
  5. 20J. GallardoD
  6. 14M. RuizM
  7. 5F. RomeroM
  8. 11HelinhoM
  9. 10J. AnguloM
  10. 8N. CastroM
  11. 26PaulinhoF
Substitutes (10)

1 · H. Gonzalez

2 · D. Barbosa

17 · M. Isais

25 · E. del Villar

24 · F. Arce

7 · S. Cordova

29 · J. Diaz

15 · P. Perez

19 · S. Simon

23 · O. Virgen

Santos Laguna

Confirmed formation4-4-2Francisco
  1. 1C. AcevedoG
  2. 22K. PiconD
  3. 19H. OrtegaD
  4. 14E. OronaD
  5. 2B. AmioneD
  6. 21F. VillalbaM
  7. 6J. GuemezM
  8. 11C. GruezoM
  9. 26R. SordoM
  10. 10E. BullaudeF
  11. 9L. Di YorioF
Substitutes (10)

33 · H. Holguin

17 · E. Echeverria

28 · J. Perez

5 · A. Lopez

8 · S. Mariscal Murra

24 · D. Medina

77 · K. Palacios

7 · C. Dajome

29 · T. Jimenez

13 · J. A. Ocejo Zazueta

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Toluca

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Luis García906.3—0—32—
Francisco Pumpido456.5—0120—
Antonio Briseño456.7—0—25—
Federico Pereira906.9—0192—
Jesús Gallardo906.6—0—461
Marcel Ruíz907.9103934
Franco Romero907.5—0—983
Helinho708.0104371
Jesús Ricardo Angulo826.7—01411
Nicolás Castro646.0—0635—
Paulinho906.6—02191
Everardo López456.9—0—46—
Santiago Simón456.9—0—392
Pavel Pérez266.7—0—20—
Sebastián Córdova206.3—0—13—
Jorge Díaz86.9—0—111
Hugo Gonzalez———————
Diego Barbosa———————
Mauricio Andre Isais———————
Fernando Arce Juárez———————
Oswaldo Virgen———————

Santos Laguna

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Carlos Acevedo907.0—0—21—
Kevin Picon456.3—0—4—
Haret Ortega905.7—01121
Efrain Orona906.2—0—29—
Bruno Amione905.9—0—18—
Francisco Villalba908.010131—
Javier Güemez576.3—0—165
Carlos Gruezo906.3—0—193
Ramiro Sordo576.3—0—81
Ezequiel Bullaude646.7—1—7—
Lucas Di Yorio726.2—0114—
Cristián Dájome456.2—0—16—
Aldo Lopez336.5—0—9—
Kevin Palacios336.6—0—132
Tahiel Jiménez266.7—0—4—
Salvador Mariscal186.7—0—161
Hector Holguin———————
Emmanuel Echeverría———————
Jonathan Pérez———————
Diego Medina———————
Jesús Ocejo———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Liga MX table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Liga MX, Clausura 2026. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1U.N.A.M. - Pumas17106134171736
LDDWW
2Guadalajara Chivas17113333171636
DWLDD
3Cruz Azul1796231181333
DWWWD
4CF Pachuca179442519631
WWWLL
5Toluca1786328161230
LLWLL
6Atlas177551618-226
LLWDW
7Tigres UANL1774628181025
LWWDD
8Club America177462017325
DDLWW
9Club Tijuana175841917223
DWDWW
10Leon177192232-1022
LLWWW
11Club Queretaro174851721-420
WDDWD
12FC Juarez175482632-619
WLLLD
13Monterrey175392224-218
LWLDL
14Atletico San Luis175392427-318
LWLDW
15Necaxa175391925-618
LDDLW
16Mazatlán1743102237-1515
LWDLL
17Puebla1734101326-1313
LLLLD
18Santos Laguna1733112038-1812
WLLLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

Try it with virtual funds

Open practice slip +

Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗

Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →