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Gimnasia M. vs Independiente match centre

Gimnasia M. badgeGimnasia M.Home · 11 in league
LLWLL
Momentum↘ Falling20/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Independiente badgeIndependienteAway · 5 in league
DDWWL
Momentum→ Steady53/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
S. Rodriguez6′
I. Malcorra42′
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Gimnasia M.Independiente
5Corner Kicks4
12Fouls11
1Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
337Total passes396
221Passes accurate291

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Gimnasia M. 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Independiente 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Gimnasia M.

2/6Wins
0.5Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Gimnasia M.’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Independiente

2/5Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Independiente’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Gimnasia M. at home with Independiente away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:20 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga Profesional Argentina · 2026/27 · all league matches

Gimnasia M.Independiente
6Matches played6
6Points earned9
2Wins2
0.5Goals scored / match1.3
1.4Goals conceded / match1.0
2Clean sheets2
3Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Gimnasia M. at home with Independiente away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Gimnasia M.

Confirmed formation4-4-2Ariel Broggi
  1. 31L. PetruchiG
  2. 32L. ParedesD
  3. 4E. MunozD
  4. 6GonzalesD
  5. 24F. SaavedraD
  6. 8N. LinaresM
  7. 15U. SanchezM
  8. 21F. AntoniniM
  9. 26F. LencioniM
  10. 11S. RodriguezF
  11. 35V. SimoniF
Substitutes (12)

1 · S. Roggero

42 · L. Carrera

3 · M. Recalde

22 · J. Franco

2 · D. Mondino

30 · E. Fernandez

20 · T. Ortiz

9 · B. Ferreyra

19 · J. Ceballos

7 · L. Cingolani

27 · B. Armoa

17 · I. Sabatini

Independiente

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Gustavo Quinteros
  1. 33R. ReyG
  2. 4S. AriasD
  3. 13J. FedorcoD
  4. 36S. ValdezD
  5. 22F. ZabalaD
  6. 23I. MarconeM
  7. 25I. PussettoM
  8. 8L. MillanM
  9. 40I. MalcorraM
  10. 19M. AbaldoM
  11. 9G. AvalosF
Substitutes (12)

1 · J. Blazquez

3 · M. Valenzuela

6 · N. Freire

26 · K. Lomonaco

29 · L. Godoy

5 · Rodrigo Fernandez

11 · F. Mancuello

16 · M. Perez Curci

30 · T. Parmo

17 · W. Mazzantti

20 · S. Bodnar

28 · M. Gutierrez

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Gimnasia M.

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Lautaro Petruchi966.3———30—
Luciano Paredes966.2———272
Ezequiel Muñoz966.9———291
Imanol González966.9———30—
Franco Saavedra727.3———273
Nicolás Linares966.9——1442
Ulises Sánchez456.5———171
Fermin Antonini727.0—1—263
Facundo Lencioni966.6———292
Santiago Rodríguez827.21—120—
Valentino Simoni566.3———11—
Luciano Cingolani516.7——216—
Brian Nicolas Ferreyra406.7———9—
Matias Recalde246.6———8—
Tomás Ortiz246.3——19—
Blas Armoa146.6———5—
Santiago Roggero———————
Juan Franco———————
Diego Mondino———————
Lautaro Carrera———————
Esteban Fernández———————
Julian Ceballos———————
Ignacio Sabatini———————

Independiente

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Rodrigo Rey967.2———30—
Santiago Arias966.9———396
Juan Fedorco967.2——1491
Sebastián Valdez906.0—0—452
Facundo Zabala876.5———542
Iván Marcone967.3———443
Ignacio Pussetto816.3——1212
Lautaro Millán456.3——1161
Ignacio Malcorra967.61—1271
Matías Abaldo935.9———27—
Gabriel Ávalos876.6——114—
Rodrigo Fernández516.9———27—
Maximiliano Gutiérrez156.3———1—
Milton Valenzuela96.6———11
Walter Mazzantti96.7———1—
Kevin Lomónaco3——————
Joaquín Blázquez———————
Leonardo Godoy———————
Nicolás Freire———————
Federico Mancuello———————
Mateo Perez———————
Tomás Parmo———————
Simon Bodnar———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Liga Profesional Argentina table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Apertura - Group A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.169431971231
LWLDL
2Boca Juniors168622291330
WWDWD
3Velez Sarsfield167721812628
WDWDD
4Talleres Cordoba167541713426
LWLDD
5Independiente166642420424
WDWLD
6Lanus166641815324
WWWLD
7San Lorenzo165741414022
LDWLD
8Union Santa Fe165652420421
LLWWW
9Instituto Cordoba166371717021
WWLWD
10Defensa Y Justicia164751821-319
DWLWW
11Gimnasia M.165471422-819
DLDWW
12Platense163761015-516
LLDLW
13Central Cordoba de Santiago164481121-1016
DLLDL
14Newells Old Boys163671527-1215
WDDDW
15Deportivo Riestra16187512-711
DLDDD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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