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Serie AMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTRE

Vitoria vs Gremio match centre

Vitoria badgeVitoriaHome · 13 in league
WLLLL
Momentum↘ Falling14/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Gremio badgeGremioAway · 17 in league
LLDWW
Momentum↗ Rising55/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira63′
Estadio Manoel Barradas · El SalvadorSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
VitoriaGremio
5Corner Kicks0
6Fouls11
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves4
301Total passes259
260Passes accurate210

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Vitoria 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Gremio 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Vitoria

2/10Wins
0.6Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 8 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Vitoria’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Gremio

4/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Gremio’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Vitoria at home with Gremio away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:51 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Serie A · 2026/27 · all league matches

VitoriaGremio
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Vitoria at home with Gremio away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Vitoria

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ventura Jair
  1. 1Lucas ArcanjoG
  2. 98MatheusinhoD
  3. 2E. BritezD
  4. 36Luan CandidoD
  5. 83JamersonD
  6. 95Caique GoncalvesM
  7. 88Ze VitorM
  8. 33ErickM
  9. 10MatheuzinhoM
  10. 12D. TarziaM
  11. 91ReneF
Substitutes (12)

71 · Yuri

70 · Fabiano

18 · Kauan

69 · Wanderson

8 · T. Pochettino

26 · Edenilson

11 · Osvaldo

7 · Marinho

79 · Renato Kayzer

23 · Fabricio

9 · Alex Bruno

41 · Wendell Santos

Gremio

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Luis Castro
  1. 1WevertonG
  2. 27Diego CaitoD
  3. 6Gustavo MartinsD
  4. 82WallaceD
  5. 54Pedro GabrielD
  6. 8E. NoriegaM
  7. 11TeteM
  8. 20M. VillasantiM
  9. 10F. KrovinovicM
  10. 7C. PavonM
  11. 95Carlos ViniciusF
Substitutes (12)

12 · Gabriel Grando

2 · Fabian Balbuena

18 · Joao Pedro

38 · Caio Paulista

3 · Wagner Leonardo

5 · J. Nardoni

15 · Danilo Barbosa

50 · Bernardo Zortea

65 · Riquelme

22 · M. Braithwaite

99 · J. Enamorado

30 · Matheus Nascimento

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Gremio

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
M. Braithwaite126.200030
Carlos Vinícius786.300170
Diego Caito906.8003390
Gustavo Martins907.0001572
F. Krovinović906.5001450
E. Noriega696.1000284
C. Pavón696.4002210
Pedro Gabriel456.0000132
Tetê906.5001562
M. Villasanti696.3000492
Wallace906.7000482
Bernardo Zortea00.000000
Weverton906.6000320
Caio Paulista456.1000343
Danilo Barbosa216.7000231
J. Enamorado215.9002100
F. Balbuena00.000000
Gabriel Grando00.000000
João Pedro00.000000
Matheus Nascimento00.000000
J. Nardoni216.2000150
Riquelme Freitas00.000000
Wagner Leonardo00.000000

Vitoria

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Edenilson96.700031
E. Brítez906.7000361
Caíque816.6001464
Erick726.4002350
Jamerson906.9001283
Luan Cândido906.3000350
Mateusinho908.0010461
Matheuzinho827.1002391
Rene898.210682
D. Tarzia826.3002171
Zé Vitor907.2006685
Alex Bruno00.000000
Lucas Arcanjo907.7000190
Fabiano00.000000
Fabrício86.600162
Marinho186.500031
Osvaldo00.000000
T. Pochettino86.500051
Renato Kayzer10.000100
Wendell Sacramento00.000000
Yuri Sena00.000000
Kauan00.000000
Wanderson Estrela Oliveira00.000000
2026/27 STANDINGS

Serie A table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Flamengo28186455233260
WWWWW
2Palmeiras28169347212657
DWDDW
3Atletico Paranaense28147743321149
WDLDW
4Fluminense2813964436848
WLWDW
5Bahia28121064335846
LWWWW
6Cruzeiro2813694240245
WLWLW
7Atletico-MG2711793632440
DWLWD
8Santos2710894140138
WWWWD
9Coritiba28108103743-638
LDLWW
10RB Bragantino27106113331236
LDLLW
11Sao Paulo27106113230236
WLWWL
12Botafogo2898114145-435
LWDDL
13Vitoria2896132842-1433
LDWLL
14Corinthians2888122932-332
LLLLL
15Mirassol2888123342-932
WDWLD
16Vasco DA Gama2787123441-731
WWLWL
17Gremio2878133038-829
DLLLW
18Internacional28610123036-628
LWLLD
19Remo2858153247-1523
LLLLL
20Chapecoense-sc2739152953-2418
DLWLW
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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