Atletico-MG
4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Atletico-MG’s results
Serie AMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTREAtletico-MG vs Fluminense match centre
Full time
3:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Reinier Jesus Carvalho61′
Tomás Cuello63′
Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira81′
Rodrigo Castillo90′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Atletico-MGFluminense
—Expected goals · API-Football—
7Shots on target2
15Total Shots10
48%Ball Possession52%
5Corner Kicks2
8Fouls11
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves5
502Total passes566
433Passes accurate500
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Atletico-MG 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Fluminense 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Fluminense
4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Fluminense’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Atletico-MG
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SantosAway · CONMEBOL Sudamericana0–2Sao PauloAway · Serie A0–2CruzeiroHome · Copa Do Brasil2–1VitoriaHome · Serie A2–1CruzeiroAway · Copa Do Brasil1–1InternacionalAway · Serie A0–0RB BragantinoHome · CONMEBOL Sudamericana2–2GremioHome · Serie A3–0RB BragantinoAway · CONMEBOL Sudamericana1–0RemoAway · Serie A2–2
Fluminense
10 matchesResults4 wins · 5 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
PlatenseHome · CONMEBOL Libertadores2–0Vasco DA GamaHome · Serie A1–0Atletico ParanaenseAway · Serie A3–3RemoHome · Serie A2–1Independ. RivadaviaAway · CONMEBOL Libertadores1–1PalmeirasHome · Serie A3–2Independ. RivadaviaHome · CONMEBOL Libertadores0–0BotafogoAway · Serie A1–1Vasco DA GamaHome · Copa Do Brasil1–3Vasco DA GamaAway · Copa Do Brasil0–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Atletico-MG at home with Fluminense away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:30 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Serie A · 2026/27 · all league matches
Atletico-MGFluminense
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Atletico-MG at home with Fluminense away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Atletico-MG
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1E. Domínguez
- 1
Gabriel DelfimG - 2
NatanaelD - 40
VitãoD - 14
Vitor HugoD - 36
K. PasciniD - 21
A. FrancoM - 15
K. CastañoM - 28
T. CuelloM - 7
FredM - 11
BernardM - 19
ReinierF
Substitutes (12)
5 · Alexsander
9 · M. Cassierra
39 · Mamady Cisse
92 · Dudu
10 · Gustavo Scarpa
17 · Igor Gomes
6 · Renan Lodi
13 · Lyanco
8 · Maycon
27 · A. Minda
23 · A. Preciado
31 · Robert
Fluminense
Confirmed formation4-4-2Marcão
- 1
FábioG - 46
Julio FidelisD - 21
Igor RabelloD - 22
J. FreytesD - 13
Guilherme AranaD - 17
A. CanobbioM - 94
OtávioM - 16
NonatoM - 11
J. SavarinoM - 19
R. CastilloF - 32
L. AcostaF
Substitutes (11)
34 · Wesley Nata
98 · Vitor Eudes
90 · K. Serna
28 · Riquelme
6 · Renê
10 · PH Ganso
29 · J. Millán
8 · Martinelli
44 · Jemmes
35 · Hércules
41 · Ruan Sales Oliveira
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Atletico-MG
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernard | 70 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 1 |
| Robert | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Preciado | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Minda | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Maycon | 25 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
| Lyanco | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Renan Lodi | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Igor Gomes | 20 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Gustavo Scarpa | 20 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| Dudu | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mamady Cisse | 25 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 |
| M. Cassierra | 12 | 7.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Vitor Hugo | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 64 | 0 |
| Vitão | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 48 | 0 |
| Reinier | 78 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 3 |
| K. Pascini | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 1 |
| Natanael | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 4 |
| Fred | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 2 |
| A. Franco | 65 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 1 |
| T. Cuello | 70 | 8.8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 1 |
| K. Castaño | 65 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 57 | 2 |
| Gabriel Delfim | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 |
| Alexsander | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fluminense
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Savarino | 72 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 0 |
| Otávio | 72 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 0 |
| Nonato | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 61 | 2 |
| Julio Fidelis | 89 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 5 |
| Igor Rabello | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 1 |
| Guilherme Arana | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 50 | 3 |
| J. Freytes | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 78 | 0 |
| R. Castillo | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 0 |
| A. Canobbio | 61 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 |
| L. Acosta | 61 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 1 |
| Fábio | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0 |
| Wesley Nata | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vitor Eudes | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Serna | 29 | 6.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 0 |
| Riquelme | 18 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 0 |
| Renê | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| PH Ganso | 18 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0 |
| J. Millán | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Martinelli | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jemmes | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Hércules | 29 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 3 |
| Ruan Sales Oliveira | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Serie A table
Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | 32 | 60 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 26 | 57 | DWDDW |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 49 | WDLDW |
| 4 | Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 48 | WLWDW |
| 5 |  Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 46 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 45 | WLWLW |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 40 | DWLWD |
| 8 |  Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 38 | WWWWD |
| 9 |  Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 | LDLWW |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 36 | LDLLW |
| 11 |  Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 | WLWWL |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 35 | LWDDL |
| 13 |  Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 | LDWLL |
| 14 |  Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 32 | LLLLL |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 | WDWLD |
| 16 |  Vasco DA Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 31 | WWLWL |
| 17 |  Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 | DLLLW |
| 18 |  Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 | LWLLD |
| 19 |  Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 18 | DLWLW |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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