Skip to content
Serie AMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTRE

Corinthians vs Fluminense match centre

Corinthians badgeCorinthiansHome · 14 in league
LDLL
Momentum↓ Low8/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:3
UK time · Europe/London
Fluminense badgeFluminenseAway · 4 in league
WWLL
Momentum↘ Falling42/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Gustavo Henrique56′
Hulk24′
Hulk76′
Kevin Serna90+3′
Neo Quimica Arena · Sao PauloSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 17:14 UK.

Odds updated 20 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.05Estimated chance 40.5%Pre-match estimate Draw3.20Estimated chance 29.1%Pre-match estimate Away win4.00Estimated chance 30.4%Pre-match estimate Bet365 · Updated 20 Sep 19:00 UK · Older than 24 hours Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
CorinthiansFluminense
11Corner Kicks1
14Fouls22
3Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves6
513Total passes393
453Passes accurate327

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Corinthians 4 reported

Andre RamalhoInactive
Reported out
KaykeKnee Injury
Reported out
Z. LabyadKnee Injury
Reported out
Yuri AlbertoMuscle Injury
Reported out

Fluminense 6 reported

AlissonHip Injury
Reported out
G. CanoInjury
Reported out
IgnacioInjury
Reported out
John KennedyKnee Injury
Reported out
Matheus ReisKnee Injury
Reported out
Samuel XavierShoulder Injury
Doubtful

Fetched 20 Sep, 10:52 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Corinthians

2/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Corinthians’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Fluminense

4/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Fluminense’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Corinthians at home with Fluminense away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 09:53 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Serie A · 2026/27 · all league matches

CorinthiansFluminense
27Matches played27
32Points earned45
8Wins12
1.0Goals scored / match1.5
1.1Goals conceded / match1.3
10Clean sheets5
7Failed to score3

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Corinthians at home with Fluminense away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Corinthians

1wins
1 draw

Fluminense

2wins

Aug 2024 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Corinthians

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Fernando Diniz
  1. 1Hugo SouzaG
  2. 2MatheuzinhoD
  3. 55I. MachadoD
  4. 13Gustavo HenriqueD
  5. 21Matheus BiduD
  6. 49AndreM
  7. 14RanieleM
  8. 37Kaio CésarM
  9. 8R. GarroM
  10. 7BrenoM
  11. 10M. DepayF
Substitutes (12)

61 · Dieguinho

4 · João Pedro

51 · Kauê Camargo

18 · Pedro Raul

11 · Vitinho

26 · F. Angileri

77 · J. Lingard

20 · P. Milans

23 · Matheus Pereira

35 · Charles

29 · Allan

56 · Guilherme Inácio

Fluminense

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Marcão
  1. 1FábioG
  2. 2Samuel XavierD
  3. 3Thiago SilvaD
  4. 29J. MillánD
  5. 6RenêD
  6. 16NonatoM
  7. 8MartinelliM
  8. 17A. CanobbioM
  9. 32L. AcostaM
  10. 90K. SernaM
  11. 7HulkF
Substitutes (12)

13 · Guilherme Arana

35 · Hércules

21 · Igor Rabello

44 · Jemmes

46 · Julio Fidelis

94 · Otávio

10 · PH Ganso

28 · Riquelme

11 · J. Savarino

98 · Vitor Eudes

19 · R. Castillo

22 · J. Freytes

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Corinthians

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Hugo Souza906.0000190
I. Machado456.3000370
Gustavo Henrique907.4103540
Matheus Bidu906.6001481
Guilherme Inácio456.300270
Allan00.000000
Charles00.000000
Matheus Pereira25.900060
P. Milans00.000000
J. Lingard105.800050
F. Angileri00.000000
Vitinho00.000000
Pedro Raul96.200000
Matheuzinho906.0002571
Andre806.4001362
Raniele906.7003672
Kaio César906.5002340
R. Garro906.7003681
Breno886.5001472
M. Depay816.8002280
Kauê Camargo00.000000
João Pedro00.000000
Dieguinho00.000000

Fluminense

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
J. Freytes00.000000
Guilherme Arana00.000000
Hércules146.300180
Igor Rabello00.000000
Jemmes00.000000
Julio Fidelis315.900092
Otávio00.000000
PH Ganso316.3010240
Riquelme146.9000100
J. Savarino00.000000
Vitor Eudes00.000000
R. Castillo36.800040
Thiago Silva906.9000650
K. Serna907.8104272
Samuel Xavier595.8000261
Renê907.0000363
Nonato766.7000311
J. Millán906.8000561
Martinelli907.3010462
Hulk879.1203140
A. Canobbio766.2002171
L. Acosta597.6010201
Fábio908.2000240
2026/27 STANDINGS

Serie A table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Flamengo28186455233260
WWWWW
2Palmeiras28169347212657
DWDDW
3Atletico Paranaense28147743321149
WDLDW
4Fluminense2813964436848
WLWDW
5Bahia28121064335846
LWWWW
6Cruzeiro2813694240245
WLWLW
7Atletico-MG2711793632440
DWLWD
8Santos2710894140138
WWWWD
9Coritiba28108103743-638
LDLWW
10RB Bragantino27106113331236
LDLLW
11Sao Paulo27106113230236
WLWWL
12Botafogo2898114145-435
LWDDL
13Vitoria2896132842-1433
LDWLL
14Corinthians2888122932-332
LLLLL
15Mirassol2888123342-932
WDWLD
16Vasco DA Gama2787123441-731
WWLWL
17Gremio2878133038-829
DLLLW
18Internacional28610123036-628
LWLLD
19Remo2858153247-1523
LLLLL
20Chapecoense-sc2739152953-2418
DLWLW
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerCorinthiansDrawFluminense
William Hill2.053.003.75
Bet3652.053.204.00
Marathonbet2.043.123.78
Betfair2.053.003.90
BetVictor2.053.203.80

Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

Try it with virtual funds

Open practice slip +

Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗

Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →