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Liga MXClausura - 8THE MATCH CENTRE

Monterrey vs Cruz Azul match centre

Monterrey badgeMonterreyHome · 13 in league
DLWWL
Momentum→ Steady48/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:2
UK time · Europe/London
Cruz Azul badgeCruz AzulAway · 3 in league
WDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising89/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
C. Rotondi17′
A. Palavecino62′
Estadio BBVA · MonterreySeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.0%Monterrey
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate99.9%Cruz Azul
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Monterrey 4.2% · no further goal 91.9% · Cruz Azul 4.0%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
MonterreyCruz Azul
9Corner Kicks1
9Fouls8
1Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves3
361Total passes310
288Passes accurate231

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Liga MX, Clausura 2026

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1U.N.A.M. - Pumas17+1736—
2Guadalajara Chivas17+1636—
3Cruz Azul18+1536—
4CF Pachuca17+631—
5Toluca17+1230—
6Atlas17-226—
7Tigres UANL17+1025—
8Club America17+325—
9Club Tijuana17+223—
10Leon17-1022—
11Club Queretaro17-420—
12FC Juarez17-619—
13Atletico San Luis17-318↑ 1
14Monterrey18-418↓ 1
15Necaxa17-618—
16Mazatlán17-1515—
17Puebla17-1313—
18Santos Laguna17-1812—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Monterrey 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Cruz Azul 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Monterrey

3/9Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Monterrey’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Cruz Azul

7/9Wins
2.3Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Cruz Azul’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Monterrey at home with Cruz Azul away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:18 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches

MonterreyCruz Azul
28Matches played28
47Points earned57
14Wins16
1.7Goals scored / match1.8
1.4Goals conceded / match1.1
8Clean sheets8
5Failed to score3

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Monterrey at home with Cruz Azul away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Monterrey

1wins
1 draw

Cruz Azul

3wins

May 2024 – Oct 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Monterrey first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Monterrey

Confirmed formation3-4-3Nicolas Sanchez
  1. 22L. CardenasG
  2. 4V. GuzmanD
  3. 13C. SalcedoD
  4. 33S. MedinaD
  5. 2R. ChavezM
  6. 8O. TorresM
  7. 35I. FimbresM
  8. 3G. ArteagaM
  9. 11L. OrellanoF
  10. 29L. OcamposF
  11. 10S. CanalesF
Substitutes (10)

25 · S. Mele

19 · A. Aceves

37 · C. Reyes

14 · E. Aguirre

17 · J. Corona

193 · C. Frayde

246 · O. Galvez

251 · A. Rojas

20 · U. Djurdjevic

27 · R. de la Rosa

Cruz Azul

Confirmed formation3-4-3Nicolas Larcamon
  1. 1A. GudinoG
  2. 4W. DittaD
  3. 6E. LiraD
  4. 33G. PioviD
  5. 3O. CamposM
  6. 16J. MarquezM
  7. 19C. RodriguezM
  8. 29C. RotondiM
  9. 8A. PalavecinoF
  10. 21G. FernandezF
  11. 20J. ParadelaF
Substitutes (10)

30 · E. Ochoa

22 · J. Rodarte

209 · J. Diaz

10 · A. Montano

17 · A. Garcia

18 · L. Romero

194 · A. Morales

239 · D. Valdez

7 · N. Ibanez

11 · C. Ebere

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Monterrey

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Luis Cárdenas908.3—0—36—
Victor Guzmán906.3—0—441
Carlos Salcedo757.0—0—29—
Stefan Medina665.9—0—421
Ricardo Chávez907.2—02332
Óliver Torres907.5—01505
Iker Fimbres907.2—04524
Gerardo Arteaga666.0—0—31—
Luca Orellano907.3—05231
Lucas Ocampos666.3—0—16—
Sergio Canales706.7—0227—
Alonso Aceves246.9—0—131
Luis Reyes246.6—0—13—
Uroš Đurđević246.2—0—6—
Jesús Corona206.9—0—11—
Roberto de la Rosa156.2—0—5—
Santiago Mele———————
Carlos Frayde———————
Érick Aguirre———————
Omar Galvez———————
Allen Rojas———————

Cruz Azul

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Andrés Gudiño907.5—0—37—
Willer Ditta907.3—0—18—
Erik Lira907.2—0—29—
Gonzalo Piovi907.5—0—334
Omar Campos787.6—12245
Jeremy Márquez746.3—0—311
Carlos Rodríguez906.3—0—40—
Carlos Rotondi908.2101291
Agustín Palavecino747.3103331
Gabriel Fernández747.3—0119—
José Paradela595.9—02131
Nicolás Ibáñez316.2—0—8—
Amaury Garcia Moreno166.6—0———
Christian Ebere166.7—0—4—
Luka Romero166.7—0—22
Jorge Rodarte Barragan126.9—0—3—
Emmanuel Ochoa———————
Josué Díaz———————
Andres Montaño———————
Amaury Morales———————
Diego Valdez———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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