Toluca
5/7Wins
2.1Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Toluca’s results
Liga MXClausura - 5THE MATCH CENTREToluca vs Cruz Azul match centre
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Paulinho41′
J. Paradela77′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
TolucaCruz Azul
Expected goals · API-Football
6Shots on target3
15Total Shots9
55%Ball Possession45%
6Corner Kicks1
15Fouls13
0Yellow Cards2
Red Cards
2Goalkeeper Saves5
422Total passes335
347Passes accurate255
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Toluca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Cruz Azul 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Cruz Azul
4/5Wins
2.2Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect Cruz Azul’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Toluca
7 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals5 of 7
Both teams scored4 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
Cruz Azul
5 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals2 of 5
Both teams scored2 of 5
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Toluca at home with Cruz Azul away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:19 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches
TolucaCruz Azul
27Matches played25
55Points earned50
16Wins14
2.1Goals scored / match1.8
0.9Goals conceded / match1.2
10Clean sheets8
8Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Toluca at home with Cruz Azul away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Toluca
Confirmed formation5-3-2Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
- 1
H. GonzalezG - 19
S. SimonD - 6
F. PereiraD - 4
Bruno MendezD - 25
E. del VillarD - 20
J. GallardoD - 5
F. RomeroM - 14
M. RuizM - 8
N. CastroM - 10
J. AnguloF - 26
PaulinhoF
Substitutes (10)
22 · L. Garcia
2 · D. Barbosa
13 · Luan
17 · M. Isais
7 · S. Cordova
15 · P. Perez
29 · J. Diaz
33 · V. Arteaga
23 · O. Virgen
27 · F. Rossi
Cruz Azul
Confirmed formation3-4-3Nicolas Larcamon
- 1
A. GudinoG - 4
W. DittaD - 6
E. LiraD - 33
G. PioviD - 3
O. CamposM - 8
A. PalavecinoM - 16
J. MarquezM - 29
C. RotondiM - 20
J. ParadelaF - 214
M. LevyF - 19
C. RodriguezF
Substitutes (10)
30 · E. Ochoa
22 · J. Rodarte
10 · A. Montano
17 · A. Garcia
18 · L. Romero
194 · A. Morales
200 · E. Sanchez
203 · R. Gonzalez
2393 · D. Valdez
11 · C. Ebere
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Toluca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Gonzalez | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 37 | — |
| Santiago Simón | 75 | 7.9 | — | — | — | 40 | 2 |
| Federico Pereira | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 61 | — |
| Bruno Méndez | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 36 | 2 |
| Everardo López | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 49 | — |
| Jesús Gallardo | 94 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 38 | 5 |
| Franco Romero | 88 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 38 | 3 |
| Marcel Ruíz | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 2 |
| Nicolás Castro | 53 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 26 | — |
| Jesús Ricardo Angulo | 75 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 23 | — |
| Paulinho | 94 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 10 | — |
| Pavel Pérez | 41 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 19 | 1 |
| Diego Barbosa | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 7 | 1 |
| Sebastián Córdova | 19 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Franco Rossi | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis García | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Andre Isais | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luan Garcia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Díaz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Arteaga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oswaldo Virgen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Cruz Azul
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Gudiño | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 33 | — |
| Willer Ditta | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 48 | — |
| Erik Lira | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 45 | 1 |
| Gonzalo Piovi | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 49 | 1 |
| Omar Campos | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 15 | — |
| Agustín Palavecino | 94 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 1 |
| Jeremy Márquez | 73 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 27 | — |
| Carlos Rotondi | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 4 |
| José Paradela | 82 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 3 | 18 | 2 |
| Mateo Levy | 64 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 6 | — |
| Carlos Rodríguez | 73 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 21 | — |
| Jorge Rodarte Barragan | 49 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 5 | 1 |
| Osinachi Ebere | 30 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Amaury Morales | 21 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Luka Romero | 21 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — |
| Amaury Garcia Moreno | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Emmanuel Ochoa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rogelio González | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Valdez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andres Montaño | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Sanchez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Liga MX table
Current standings · Liga MX, Clausura 2026. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 36 | LDDWW |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 36 | DWLDD |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 33 | DWWWD |
| 4 |  CF Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 31 | WWWLL |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 30 | LLWLL |
| 6 |  Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 26 | LLWDW |
| 7 |  Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 25 | LWWDD |
| 8 |  Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 | DDLWW |
| 9 |  Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 23 | DWDWW |
| 10 |  Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 22 | LLWWW |
| 11 |  Club Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 | WDDWD |
| 12 |  FC Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 19 | WLLLD |
| 13 |  Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 | LWLDL |
| 14 |  Atletico San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 | LWLDW |
| 15 |  Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 | LDDLW |
| 16 |  Mazatlán | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 37 | -15 | 15 | LWDLL |
| 17 |  Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 13 | LLLLD |
| 18 |  Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 12 | WLLLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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