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Liga MXClausura - 11THE MATCH CENTRE

Leon vs Club Tijuana match centre

Leon badgeLeonHome · 10 in league
LLWWL
Momentum→ Steady43/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:3
UK time · Europe/London
Club Tijuana badgeClub TijuanaAway · 9 in league
LDDLL
Momentum↘ Falling12/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
K. Castaneda5′
D. Abreu21′
K. Castaneda45+3′ (pen)
Estadio Leon · LeonSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.0%Leon
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate100.0%Club Tijuana
Another goal8.2%before full time

Next goal: Leon 4.7% · no further goal 91.8% · Club Tijuana 3.5%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
LeonClub Tijuana
5Corner Kicks2
12Fouls14
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves2
532Total passes223
483Passes accurate168

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Liga MX, Clausura 2026

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1U.N.A.M. - Pumas17+1736—
2Guadalajara Chivas17+1636—
3Cruz Azul17+1333—
4CF Pachuca17+631—
5Toluca17+1230—
6Club Tijuana18+526↑ 3
7Atlas17-226↓ 1
8Tigres UANL17+1025↓ 1
9Club America17+325↓ 1
10Leon18-1322—
11Club Queretaro17-420—
12FC Juarez17-619—
13Monterrey17-218—
14Atletico San Luis17-318—
15Necaxa17-618—
16Mazatlán17-1515—
17Puebla17-1313—
18Santos Laguna17-1812—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Leon 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Club Tijuana 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Leon

3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Leon’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Club Tijuana

2/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Club Tijuana’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Leon at home with Club Tijuana away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:04 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches

LeonClub Tijuana
26Matches played30
23Points earned39
6Wins9
1.0Goals scored / match1.5
1.8Goals conceded / match1.4
4Clean sheets10
9Failed to score7

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Leon at home with Club Tijuana away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Leon

Confirmed formation4-4-2Ignacio Ambriz
  1. 1Garcia JordanG
  2. 7I. MorenoD
  3. 2V. GauthierD
  4. 5S. VegasD
  5. 185C. Mora
  6. 8J. P. Dominguez ChontecoM
  7. 20R. EcheverriaM
  8. 29I. RodriguezM
  9. 22N. VallejoM
  10. 27D. CambindoF
  11. 11I. DiazF
Substitutes (10)

23 · O. Garcia

18 · R. Funes Mori

16 · J. Cortizo

24 · A. Estrada

28 · D. Ramirez

26 · S. Reyes

6 · F. Beltran Cruz

19 · A. Alvarado

13 · D. Arcila

99 · E. Rodriguez

Club Tijuana

Confirmed formation5-3-2Sebastian Abreu
  1. 2A. RodriguezG
  2. 17R. ArcigaD
  3. 3R. InzunzaD
  4. 4U. BilbaoD
  5. 6A. GomezD
  6. 16A. VegaD
  7. 34F. BoyaM
  8. 8I. TonaM
  9. 22I. RiveroM
  10. 10K. CastanedaF
  11. 31D. AbreuF
Substitutes (10)

29 · J. Hernandez

30 · J. Martinez

20 · A. Zapata

33 · P. N. Ortiz Orozco

26 · A. Perez

27 · D. Blanco

9 · M. El Ghezouani

11 · A. Preciado

32 · D. O. Bagui Tobar

187 · G. Padilla

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Leon

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jordan García906.2—0—15—
Iván Moreno906.3—0—341
Valentin Gauthier626.5—0—281
Sebastián Vegas906.3—02751
Christopher Mora686.2—0—383
Juan Dominguez346.7—0—7—
Rodrigo Echeverría907.2—01635
José Rodríguez616.9—0—62—
Nicolás Vallejo346.7—0—16—
Diber Cambindo905.9—0321—
Ismael Díaz906.9—0342—
Jordi Cortizo566.3—0—312
Fernando Beltrán566.2—0159—
Ángel Estrada297.0—0125—
Emilio Rodriguez287.0—0—22—
Daniel Arcila226.7—0—251
Oscar García———————
Salvador Reyes———————
David Ramírez———————
Rogelio Funes Mori———————
José Alvarado———————

Club Tijuana

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Antonio Rodríguez907.0—0—34—
Ramiro Árciga816.9—1—144
Rafael Fernández727.3—01193
Unai Bilbao907.3—0—142
Jesús Gómez908.2—0—291
Jesús Vega907.0—0—202
Frank Boya456.5—0—81
Iván Tona906.7—01351
José Rivero906.3—01193
Kevin Castañeda628.9202291
Diego Abreu627.911171
Adonis Preciado456.6—0—10—
Domingo Blanco286.6—0—5—
Mourad El Ghezouani286.2—0—4—
Diogo Bagüí186.9—0—21
German Padilla96.7—0—1—
Jorge Hernández———————
Pablo Nicolás Ortíz———————
Aldahir Pérez———————
Ángel Zapata———————
Josef Martínez———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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