Toluca
5/8Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Toluca’s results
Liga MXClausura - 6THE MATCH CENTREToluca vs Club Tijuana match centre
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Paulinho21′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
TolucaClub Tijuana
1.880Expected goals · API-Football0.320
4Shots on target3
12Total Shots7
58%Ball Possession42%
4Corner Kicks4
10Fouls15
3Yellow Cards3
Red Cards
3Goalkeeper Saves4
501Total passes355
439Passes accurate297
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Toluca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Club Tijuana 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Club Tijuana
2/6Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Club Tijuana’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Toluca
8 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals5 of 8
Both teams scored5 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
Club Tijuana
6 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals3 of 6
Both teams scored4 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Toluca at home with Club Tijuana away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:40 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches
TolucaClub Tijuana
28Matches played25
56Points earned37
16Wins9
2.0Goals scored / match1.6
0.9Goals conceded / match1.3
10Clean sheets10
8Failed to score6
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Toluca at home with Club Tijuana away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Toluca
Confirmed formation4-4-2Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
- 1
H. GonzalezG - 19
S. SimonD - 4
Bruno MendezD - 6
F. PereiraD - 20
J. GallardoD - 10
J. AnguloM - 5
F. RomeroM - 14
M. RuizM - 15
P. PerezM - 29
J. DiazF - 26
PaulinhoF
Substitutes (10)
22 · L. Garcia
3 · A. Briseno
25 · E. del Villar
7 · S. Cordova
23 · O. Virgen
2 · D. Barbosa
13 · Luan
35 · A. Alvarez
24 · F. Arce
27 · F. Rossi
Club Tijuana
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Sebastian Abreu
- 2
A. RodriguezG - 3
R. InzunzaD - 12
J. PorozoD - 4
U. BilbaoD - 33
P. N. Ortiz OrozcoD - 8
I. TonaM - 17
R. ArcigaM - 22
I. RiveroM - 10
K. CastanedaM - 11
A. PreciadoM - 9
M. El GhezouaniF
Substitutes (10)
29 · J. Hernandez
32 · D. O. Bagui Tobar
6 · A. Gomez
25 · O. Manzanarez
30 · J. Martinez
16 · A. Vega
27 · D. Blanco
187 · G. Padilla
20 · A. Zapata
31 · D. Abreu
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Toluca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Gonzalez | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Santiago Simón | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Bruno Méndez | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 1 |
| Federico Pereira | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 83 | 1 |
| Jesús Gallardo | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 39 | 5 |
| Jesús Ricardo Angulo | 75 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 46 | 1 |
| Franco Romero | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 83 | 1 |
| Marcel Ruíz | 90 | 8.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 73 | 1 |
| Pavel Pérez | 83 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 29 | 1 |
| Jorge Díaz | 62 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 24 | 2 |
| Paulinho | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | — |
| Diego Barbosa | 28 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Sebastián Córdova | 15 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Luan Garcia | 14 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Luis García | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Briseño | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everardo López | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fernando Arce Juárez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oswaldo Virgen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Rossi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alek Álvarez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Club Tijuana
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Rodríguez | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 44 | — |
| Rafael Fernández | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 3 |
| Jackson Porozo | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 45 | 5 |
| Unai Bilbao | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 59 | 2 |
| Pablo Nicolás Ortíz | 76 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | 2 |
| Iván Tona | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 48 | 1 |
| Ramiro Árciga | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| José Rivero | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Kevin Castañeda | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 31 | 1 |
| Adonis Preciado | 76 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
| Mourad El Ghezouani | 84 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Jesús Gómez | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Domingo Blanco | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Jesús Vega | 14 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Diego Abreu | 14 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Josef Martínez | 13 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Jorge Hernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oscar Manzanares | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogo Bagüí | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ángel Zapata | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| German Padilla | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Liga MX table
Current standings · Liga MX, Clausura 2026. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 36 | LDDWW |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 36 | DWLDD |
| 3 |  Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 33 | DWWWD |
| 4 |  CF Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 31 | WWWLL |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 30 | LLWLL |
| 6 |  Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 26 | LLWDW |
| 7 |  Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 25 | LWWDD |
| 8 |  Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 | DDLWW |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 23 | DWDWW |
| 10 |  Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 22 | LLWWW |
| 11 |  Club Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 | WDDWD |
| 12 |  FC Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 19 | WLLLD |
| 13 |  Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 | LWLDL |
| 14 |  Atletico San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 | LWLDW |
| 15 |  Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 | LDDLW |
| 16 |  Mazatlán | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 37 | -15 | 15 | LWDLL |
| 17 |  Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 13 | LLLLD |
| 18 |  Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 12 | WLLLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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