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Liga MXClausura - 14THE MATCH CENTRE

Atlas vs Monterrey match centre

Atlas badgeAtlasHome · 6 in league
LDDLL
Momentum↘ Falling12/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/London
Monterrey badgeMonterreyAway · 13 in league
LDDLL
Momentum↘ Falling12/100OlderLatest
Estadio Jalisco · GuadalajaraSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate3.6%Atlas
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate4.0%Monterrey
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Atlas 3.6% · no further goal 92.3% · Monterrey 4.0%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
AtlasMonterrey
4Corner Kicks4
15Fouls11
3Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves4
348Total passes425
269Passes accurate357

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Liga MX, Clausura 2026

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1U.N.A.M. - Pumas17+1736—
2Guadalajara Chivas17+1636—
3Cruz Azul17+1333—
4CF Pachuca17+631—
5Toluca17+1230—
6Atlas18-227—
7Tigres UANL17+1025—
8Club America17+325—
9Club Tijuana17+223—
10Leon17-1022—
11Club Queretaro17-420—
12Monterrey18-219↑ 1
13FC Juarez17-619↓ 1
14Atletico San Luis17-318—
15Necaxa17-618—
16Mazatlán17-1515—
17Puebla17-1313—
18Santos Laguna17-1812—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Atlas 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Monterrey 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Atlas

3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Atlas’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Monterrey

2/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Monterrey’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Atlas at home with Monterrey away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:47 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches

AtlasMonterrey
30Matches played34
35Points earned51
9Wins15
1.3Goals scored / match1.7
1.8Goals conceded / match1.5
6Clean sheets9
9Failed to score7

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Atlas at home with Monterrey away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Atlas

0wins
1 draw

Monterrey

4wins

Mar 2024 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Atlas first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Atlas

Confirmed formation3-5-2Diego Cocca
  1. 12C. VargasG
  2. 13G. AguirreD
  3. 28M. CapassoD
  4. 21R. SchlegelD
  5. 11D. GonzalezM
  6. 27V. H. Rios De AlbaM
  7. 26A. RochaM
  8. 15P. RamirezM
  9. 3Gustavo FerrareisM
  10. 58A. GonzalezF
  11. 19E. AguirreF
Substitutes (10)

22 · A. Sanchez

8 · M. E. Garcia

10 · G. del Prete

4 · A. Mora

9 · A. Rodriguez

218 · J. San Martin

251 · L. Gamboa

44 · R. Pier

6 · E. Zaldivar

199 · S. Hernandez

Monterrey

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Nicolas Sanchez
  1. 22L. CardenasG
  2. 2R. ChavezD
  3. 4V. GuzmanD
  4. 13C. SalcedoD
  5. 21L. ReyesD
  6. 5F. AmbrizM
  7. 8O. TorresM
  8. 11L. OrellanoM
  9. 17J. CoronaM
  10. 29L. OcamposM
  11. 20U. DjurdjevicF
Substitutes (10)

25 · S. Mele

10 · S. Canales

33 · S. Medina

3 · G. Arteaga

32 · S. Rodriguez

193 · C. Frayde

194 · C. Reyes

14 · E. Aguirre

27 · R. de la Rosa

19 · A. Aceves

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Atlas

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Camilo Vargas907.3—0—23—
Gaddi Aguirre906.9—01282
Manuel Capasso908.5—02412
Rodrigo Schlegel907.2—0—462
Diego González867.3—03281
Victor Rios906.9—0—352
Aldo Rocha746.9—0—191
Paulo Ramírez696.9—0131—
Gustavo Ferrareis907.2—0—38—
Arturo González756.6—0—36—
Eduardo Aguirre756.5—0112—
Mateo García217.2—0—142
Edgar Zaldívar166.7—0—8—
Luis Gamboa156.6—0—61
Agustín Rodríguez156.6—0—2—
Sergio Hernandez126.5—0—3—
Adrián Mora———————
Antonio Sánchez———————
Róber Pier———————
Gustavo del Prete———————
Jorge San Martin———————

Monterrey

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Luis Cárdenas907.3—0—41—
Ricardo Chávez766.9—0232—
Victor Guzmán907.5—0—391
Carlos Salcedo907.5—0—70—
Luis Reyes907.7—0—622
Fidel Ambríz906.9—0249—
Óliver Torres906.6—0—511
Luca Orellano896.9—0324—
Jesús Corona776.3—0—24—
Lucas Ocampos636.9—01281
Uroš Đurđević906.2—018—
Sergio Canales276.6—0—19—
Érick Aguirre146.9—0—51
Roberto de la Rosa136.6—014—
Cristian Reyes96.3—0—2—
Stefan Medina———————
Carlos Frayde———————
Alonso Aceves———————
Sebastian Rodriguez———————
Gerardo Arteaga———————
Santiago Mele———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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