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Liga MXClausura - 16THE MATCH CENTRE

Atlas vs Tigres UANL match centre

Atlas badgeAtlasHome · 6 in league
DLLDW
Momentum↗ Rising38/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/London
Tigres UANL badgeTigres UANLAway · 7 in league
LWWLD
Momentum↘ Falling46/100OlderLatest
Estadio Jalisco · GuadalajaraSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate3.0%Atlas
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate4.5%Tigres UANL
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Atlas 3.1% · no further goal 92.3% · Tigres UANL 4.6%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
AtlasTigres UANL
5Corner Kicks4
16Fouls10
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves0
312Total passes444
224Passes accurate372

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Liga MX, Clausura 2026

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1U.N.A.M. - Pumas17+1736—
2Guadalajara Chivas17+1636—
3Cruz Azul17+1333—
4CF Pachuca17+631—
5Toluca17+1230—
6Atlas18-227—
7Tigres UANL18+1026—
8Club America17+325—
9Club Tijuana17+223—
10Leon17-1022—
11Club Queretaro17-420—
12FC Juarez17-619—
13Monterrey17-218—
14Atletico San Luis17-318—
15Necaxa17-618—
16Mazatlán17-1515—
17Puebla17-1313—
18Santos Laguna17-1812—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Atlas 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Tigres UANL 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Atlas

3/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Atlas’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Tigres UANL

4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Tigres UANL’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Atlas at home with Tigres UANL away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:04 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches

AtlasTigres UANL
32Matches played38
39Points earned65
10Wins18
1.3Goals scored / match1.8
1.7Goals conceded / match1.1
8Clean sheets13
10Failed to score7

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Atlas at home with Tigres UANL away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Atlas

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Diego Cocca
  1. 12C. VargasG
  2. 3Gustavo FerrareisD
  3. 28M. CapassoD
  4. 21R. SchlegelD
  5. 25J. RodriguezD
  6. 26A. RochaM
  7. 11D. GonzalezM
  8. 27V. H. Rios De AlbaM
  9. 15P. RamirezM
  10. 199S. HernandezM
  11. 19E. AguirreF
Substitutes (10)

22 · A. Sanchez

8 · M. E. Garcia

10 · G. del Prete

4 · A. Mora

9 · A. Rodriguez

251 · L. Gamboa

203 · J. Martin

44 · R. Pier

13 · G. Aguirre

6 · E. Zaldivar

Tigres UANL

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Guido Pizarro
  1. 1N. GuzmanG
  2. 14J. Garza
  3. 23RomuloD
  4. 28JoaquimD
  5. 27J. AnguloD
  6. 5C. AraujoM
  7. 8F. GorriaranM
  8. 16D. LainezM
  9. 7A. CorreaM
  10. 77O. HerreraM
  11. 17R. AguirreF
Substitutes (10)

25 · F. Rodriguez

10 · A. Gignac

11 · J. Brunetta

30 · D. A. Sanchez Guevara

6 · J. Vigon

4 · J. Sanchez

2 · F. Reyes

20 · M. Flores

33 · R. Guerrero

204 · Simeone

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Atlas

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Camilo Vargas908.0—0—31—
Gustavo Ferrareis906.7—0—293
Manuel Capasso906.9—0—44—
Rodrigo Schlegel906.9—0—342
Jorge Rodríguez857.2—0—292
Aldo Rocha906.9—0—293
Diego González736.5—01181
Victor Rios906.9—0—373
Paulo Ramírez636.5—0—12—
Sergio Hernandez736.9—0—123
Eduardo Aguirre726.9—0111—
Mateo García276.6—0—102
Agustín Rodríguez186.7—0—3—
Edgar Zaldívar176.6—0—10—
Luis Gamboa176.3—0—4—
Gaddi Aguirre196.9—0—1—
Antonio Sánchez———————
Adrián Mora———————
Róber Pier———————
Gustavo del Prete———————
Jose Martin———————

Tigres UANL

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Nahuel Guzman907.2—0—39—
Jesus Garza907.3—0—401
Rômulo Zwarg907.2—02531
Joaquim176.9—0—13—
Jesús Angulo797.2—0—381
César Araújo907.5—0—493
Fernando Gorriaran456.9—0—361
Diego Lainez906.0—01362
Angel Correa906.7—0128—
Ozziel Herrera606.6—0—10—
Rodrigo Aguirre606.2—018—
Juan Brunetta737.3—0244—
Rafael Guerrero456.7—0—26—
Marcelo Flores306.5—0212—
André-Pierre Gignac306.5—017—
Francisco Reyes117.0—016—
Carlos Rodríguez———————
Juan José Purata———————
Henrique Simeone Koifman———————
Juan Pablo Vigon———————
Diego Sánchez———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerAtlasDrawTigres UANL
Bet3654.203.501.91

Snapshot from 22 Apr 2026, 21:02 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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