Derry City
4/7Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Derry City’s results
Premier DivisionMatchweek 4THE MATCH CENTREDerry City vs Waterford match centre
Full time
4:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Duffy58′
M. Duffy75′
D. Akinyemi90+1′
M. Duffy90+4′ (pen)
J. Voilas19′
T. Lonergan51′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Derry CityWaterford
Expected goals · API-Football
13Shots on target5
21Total Shots8
66%Ball Possession34%
7Corner Kicks2
11Fouls9
1Yellow Cards2
Red Cards
3Goalkeeper Saves9
411Total passes219
303Passes accurate109
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Derry City 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Waterford 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Waterford
3/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Waterford’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Derry City
7 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals4 of 7
Both teams scored5 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
Waterford
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Sligo RoversHome · Premier Division0–0Drogheda UnitedAway · Premier Division0–2ShelbourneHome · Premier Division1–1BohemiansHome · Friendlies Clubs1–4WexfordAway · Friendlies Clubs1–0KerryHome · Friendlies Clubs3–2Riverstown FCHome · Friendlies Clubs3–1Derry CityHome · Premier Division1–2Shamrock RoversHome · Premier Division1–2Shamrock RoversAway · Premier Division0–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Derry City at home with Waterford away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 06:44 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier Division · 2026/27 · all league matches
Derry CityWaterford
3Matches played3
4Points earned2
1Wins0
1.3Goals scored / match0.3
1.3Goals conceded / match1.0
0Clean sheets1
1Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Derry City at home with Waterford away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Derry City
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Tiernan Lynch
- 13
E. BeachG - 2
B. CotterD - 4
J. StottD - 3
P. McCleanD - 19
B. FlemingD - 20
C. WinchesterM - 16
J. McCleanM - 15
J. ClarkeM - 11
G. WhyteM - 7
M. DuffyM - 17
J. ThomasF
Substitutes (9)
26 · S. Callister
8 · A. O'Reilly
6 · R. Slevin
14 · B. Doherty
28 · J. Olayinka
9 · D. Akinyemi
25 · A. Bannon
21 · K. Santos
24 · H. Rylah
Waterford
Confirmed formation4-4-2Jonathan Daly
- 1
S. McMullanG - 15
L. HeeneyD - 5
J. MahonD - 16
H. CannD - 3
B. CoutoD - 20
J. VoilasM - 6
C. BarrettM - 10
C. NoonanM - 11
T. CoyleM - 9
P. AmondF - 18
T. LonerganF
Substitutes (9)
25 · J. Healy
27 · D. McMenamy
14 · J. Dempsey
17 · J. Faria
7 · C. Carty
8 · E. McLaughlin
22 · R. Mansfield
28 · S. Keane
43 · A. Zborowski
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Derry City
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Beach | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 32 | — |
| Barry Cotter | 72 | 7.5 | — | — | — | 27 | 3 |
| Jamie Stott | 96 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 2 |
| Patrick McClean | 96 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 57 | 1 |
| Brandon Fleming | 96 | 7.9 | — | — | — | 52 | 1 |
| Carl Winchester | 40 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 20 | — |
| James McClean | 72 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 35 | — |
| James Clarke | 54 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 1 |
| Gavin Whyte | 72 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 23 | — |
| Michael Duffy | 96 | 10.0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 44 | 2 |
| Josh Thomas | 96 | 5.7 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 1 |
| Adam O'Reilly | 56 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 2 |
| Afolabi Akinyemi | 42 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | — |
| Alex Bannon | 24 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| James Olayinka | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 6 | — |
| Henry Rylah | 24 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 4 | — |
| Shea Callister | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ben Doherty | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robert Slevin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kévin Santos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Waterford
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen McMullan | 96 | 9.5 | — | — | — | 32 | — |
| Luke Heeney | 96 | 5.9 | — | — | — | 12 | 4 |
| John Mahon | 96 | 6.0 | — | — | — | 8 | 2 |
| Hayden Cann | 96 | 6.0 | — | — | — | 15 | 1 |
| Benny Couto | 96 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 19 | 1 |
| Jørgen Voilås | 66 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | — |
| Cian Barrett | 96 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 6 |
| Conan Noonan | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 33 | 1 |
| Trae Coyle | 76 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 1 |
| Pádraig Amond | 96 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 16 | — |
| Tom Lonergan | 79 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 1 |
| Dean McMenamy | 30 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Conor Carty | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Jordan Faria | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 |
| Jason Healy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Keane | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ronan Mansfield | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alan Zborowski | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesse Dempsey | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Evan McLaughlin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Premier Division table
Current standings · Premier Division. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  St Patrick's Athl. | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 59 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 59 | WLDDW |
| 3 |  Bohemians | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 56 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Derry City | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 41 | WDWDL |
| 5 |  Dundalk | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 41 | LLDWL |
| 6 |  Shelbourne | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 39 | WLLDD |
| 7 |  Galway United | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 37 | LWLDW |
| 8 | Waterford | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 34 | LDDWD |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 34 | LWWLL |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 | LLLLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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