Waterford
0/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Waterford’s results
Premier DivisionMatchweek 11THE MATCH CENTREWaterford vs Drogheda United match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
T. Lonergan35′
T. Lonergan90+5′ (pen)
M. Doyle6′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate95.3%Waterford
Draw4.6%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Drogheda United
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: Waterford 3.4% · no further goal 91.8% · Drogheda United 4.8%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.WaterfordDrogheda United
0.93Expected goals · API-Football1.38
2Shots on target6
11Total Shots11
48%Ball Possession52%
4Corner Kicks4
18Fouls11
5Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves1
228Total passes247
111Passes accurate135
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Premier DivisionProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  St Patrick's Athl. | 32 | +27 | 59 | — |
| 2 |  Shamrock Rovers | 31 | +18 | 59 | — |
| 3 |  Bohemians | 31 | +18 | 56 | — |
| 4 |  Derry City | 32 | +3 | 41 | — |
| 5 |  Dundalk | 32 | -4 | 41 | — |
| 6 |  Shelbourne | 31 | -3 | 39 | — |
| 7 |  Galway United | 31 | -6 | 37 | — |
| 8 | Waterford | 33 | -9 | 37 | — |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 33 | -14 | 34 | — |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 32 | -30 | 23 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Waterford 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Drogheda United 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Drogheda United
3/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Drogheda United’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Waterford
10 matchesResults0 wins · 5 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game2.1
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Derry CityHome · Premier Division2–2St Patrick's Athl.Away · Premier Division1–4DundalkHome · Premier Division3–3Shamrock RoversAway · Premier Division0–1Galway UnitedHome · Premier Division1–1Sligo RoversAway · Premier Division0–2BohemiansAway · Premier Division1–1Shamrock RoversHome · Premier Division1–1St Patrick's Athl.Home · Premier Division0–2Galway UnitedAway · Premier Division3–4
Drogheda United
10 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BohemiansAway · Premier Division1–2Derry CityHome · Premier Division1–0Shamrock RoversAway · Premier Division1–4Sligo RoversHome · Premier Division1–0ShelbourneAway · Premier Division4–3St Patrick's Athl.Home · Premier Division1–3Galway UnitedHome · Premier Division2–3BohemiansHome · Premier Division0–0Derry CityAway · Premier Division2–2Shamrock RoversHome · Premier Division0–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Waterford at home with Drogheda United away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 5 Oct, 04:09 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier Division · 2026/27 · all league matches
WaterfordDrogheda United
15Matches played15
6Points earned19
0Wins5
0.9Goals scored / match1.3
2.2Goals conceded / match1.6
1Clean sheets6
7Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Waterford at home with Drogheda United away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Waterford
Confirmed formation5-3-2Jonathan Daly
- 1
S. McMullanG - 4
W. Johnson - 16
H. CannD - 5
J. MahonD - 13
K. LongD - 3
B. CoutoD - 10
C. NoonanM - 15
L. HeeneyM - 27
D. McMenamyM - 9
P. AmondF - 18
T. LonerganF
Substitutes (9)
21 · A. Doherty
11 · T. Coyle
20 · J. Voilas
19 · S. Glenfield
14 · J. Dempsey
17 · J. Faria
7 · C. Carty
6 · C. Barrett
22 · R. Mansfield
Drogheda United
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Kevin Doherty
- 44
F. TalleyG - 2
E. AgbajeD - 22
C. KeeleyD - 4
A. QuinnD - 3
C. KaneD - 17
S. FarrellM - 19
R. BrennanM - 24
W. DavisM - 10
B. KavanaghM - 11
T. OluwaM - 14
M. DoyleF
Substitutes (9)
1 · L. Dennison
32 · D. Mare
6 · J. Godden
5 · L. Burney
31 · K. Cruise
15 · D. Kareem
29 · J. Brennan
30 · C. O'Connor
33 · S. McGrath
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Waterford
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen McMullan | 98 | 8.2 | — | — | — | 24 | — |
| Will Johnson | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 24 | 1 |
| Hayden Cann | 98 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 2 |
| John Mahon | 98 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 19 | 1 |
| Kevin Long | 98 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | 18 | — |
| Benny Couto | 98 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 2 |
| Conan Noonan | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 7 | 2 |
| Luke Heeney | 75 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 3 |
| Dean McMenamy | 98 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 1 |
| Pádraig Amond | 98 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 15 | — |
| Tom Lonergan | 98 | 8.3 | 2 | — | 2 | 26 | 1 |
| Jørgen Voilås | 34 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| Jordan Faria | 23 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| Arlo Doherty | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesse Dempsey | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ronan Mansfield | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cian Barrett | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Glenfield | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Trae Coyle | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Conor Carty | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Drogheda United
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fynn Talley | 98 | 5.3 | — | — | — | 35 | — |
| Edwin Agbaje | 98 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 23 | 2 |
| Conor Keeley | 54 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 8 | — |
| Andrew Quinn | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 14 | — |
| Conor Kane | 98 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 25 | 2 |
| Shane Farell | 98 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 16 | — |
| Ryan Brennan | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 44 | 1 |
| Warren Davis | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 1 |
| Brandon Kavanagh | 67 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 1 |
| Thomas Oluwa | 98 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 3 |
| Mark Doyle | 98 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 10 | — |
| Leo Burney | 53 | 6.0 | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| Kieran Cruise | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 18 | — |
| Jago Godden | 31 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 7 | 1 |
| Luke Dennison | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jamie Brennan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean McGrath | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Mare | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dare Kareem | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cian O'Connor | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Waterford | Draw | Drogheda United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.30 |
Snapshot from 9 Apr 2026, 22:48 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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