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Derry City vs Drogheda United match centre

Derry City badgeDerry CityHome · 4 in league
LWLLD
Momentum→ Steady26/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:2
UK time · Europe/London
Drogheda United badgeDrogheda UnitedAway · 9 in league
DLLLD
Momentum↓ Low13/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Duffy10′
D. Markey46′
M. Doyle62′
W. Davis64′
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium · DerrySeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate4.2%Derry City
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.4%Drogheda United
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Derry City 4.3% · no further goal 92.3% · Drogheda United 3.4%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Derry CityDrogheda United
6Corner Kicks3
16Fouls6
3Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves2
401Total passes255
309Passes accurate153

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Premier Division

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1St Patrick's Athl.32+2759—
2Shamrock Rovers31+1859—
3Bohemians31+1856—
4Derry City33+342—
5Dundalk32-441—
6Shelbourne31-339—
7Galway United31-637—
8Drogheda United33-1335↑ 1
9Waterford32-1034↓ 1
10Sligo Rovers32-3023—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Derry City 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Drogheda United 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Derry City

5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Derry City’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Drogheda United

3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Drogheda United’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Derry City at home with Drogheda United away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:23 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Premier Division · 2026/27 · all league matches

Derry CityDrogheda United
7Matches played7
8Points earned8
2Wins2
1.3Goals scored / match1.0
1.3Goals conceded / match1.3
1Clean sheets3
3Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Derry City at home with Drogheda United away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Derry City

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Tiernan Lynch
  1. 13E. BeachG
  2. 25A. BannonD
  3. 4J. StottD
  4. 16J. McCleanD
  5. 2B. CotterM
  6. 8A. O'ReillyM
  7. 28J. OlayinkaM
  8. 19B. FlemingM
  9. 10D. MarkeyF
  10. 7M. DuffyF
  11. 15J. ClarkeF
Substitutes (9)

26 · S. Callister

17 · J. Thomas

22 · C. Barr

31 · C. Downey

11 · G. Whyte

14 · B. Doherty

9 · D. Akinyemi

21 · K. Santos

24 · H. Rylah

Drogheda United

Confirmed formation5-3-2Kevin Doherty
  1. 1L. DennisonG
  2. 2E. AgbajeD
  3. 5L. BurneyD
  4. 22C. KeeleyD
  5. 4A. QuinnD
  6. 3C. KaneD
  7. 8E. O'BrienM
  8. 6J. GoddenM
  9. 10B. KavanaghM
  10. 11T. OluwaF
  11. 14M. DoyleF
Substitutes (9)

44 · F. Talley

24 · W. Davis

19 · R. Brennan

17 · S. Farrell

7 · J. Bucknor

31 · K. Cruise

18 · J. Bolger

15 · D. Kareem

30 · C. O'Connor

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Derry City

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Eddie Beach906.3—0—25—
Alex Bannon906.3—0246—
Jamie Stott905.9—1—55—
James McClean716.7—1—52—
Barry Cotter907.5—01301
Adam O'Reilly906.6—0—301
James Olayinka906.9—0—491
Brandon Fleming906.5—0—451
Darragh Markey717.2101192
Michael Duffy908.2102393
James Clarke716.0—01111
Ben Doherty197.2—0—102
Afolabi Akinyemi196.2—0—1—
Josh Thomas197.0—0—2—
Shea Callister———————
Callum Downey———————
Conor Barr———————
Kévin Santos———————
Henry Rylah———————
Gavin Whyte———————

Drogheda United

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Luke Dennison905.9—0—29—
Edwin Agbaje905.7—0—231
Leo Burney575.6—0116—
Conor Keeley906.7—0—19—
Andrew Quinn906.6—0—34—
Conor Kane906.9—0—333
Ethan O'Brien906.9—0—392
Jago Godden906.9—03181
Brandon Kavanagh576.7—0—23—
Thomas Oluwa576.7—0—41
Mark Doyle907.610292
Jason Bucknor327.3—0—9—
Shane Farell336.6—0—6—
Warren Davis337.51013—
James Bolger1——0———
Fynn Talley———————
Kieran Cruise———————
Ryan Brennan———————
Dare Kareem———————
Cian O'Connor———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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