FC Lugano
4/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect FC Lugano’s results
Super LeagueMatchweek 29THE MATCH CENTREFC Lugano vs FC Luzern match centre
90′ · Live
1:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
H. Delcroix50′
A. Vasovic44′
O. Kabwit63′
M. Di Giusto90+4′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%FC Lugano
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate99.9%FC Luzern
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: FC Lugano 4.4% · no further goal 91.9% · FC Luzern 3.8%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.FC LuganoFC Luzern
0.690Expected goals · API-Football1.910
4Shots on target3
11Total Shots15
64%Ball Possession36%
4Corner Kicks3
9Fouls14
1Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves3
547Total passes309
466Passes accurate231
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Super League Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Thun | 33 | +38 | 74 | — |
| 2 |  FC ST. Gallen | 33 | +24 | 60 | — |
| 3 | FC Lugano | 34 | +10 | 57 | — |
| 4 |  FC Basel 1893 | 33 | +6 | 53 | — |
| 5 |  FC Sion | 33 | +16 | 52 | — |
| 6 |  BSC Young Boys | 33 | +5 | 48 | — |
| 7 |  FC Luzern | 34 | +5 | 43 | — |
| 8 |  Servette FC | 33 | 0 | 40 | — |
| 9 |  Lausanne | 33 | -10 | 39 | — |
| 10 |  FC Zurich | 33 | -18 | 34 | — |
| 11 |  Grasshoppers | 33 | -25 | 27 | — |
| 12 |  FC Winterthur | 33 | -51 | 19 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
FC Lugano 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
FC Luzern 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
FC Luzern
3/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect FC Luzern’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
FC Lugano
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC SionHome · Super League2–1GrasshoppersAway · Super League0–1LausanneHome · Super League2–1FC Basel 1893Away · Super League1–1Servette FCHome · Super League1–1FC WinterthurAway · Super League1–1GrasshoppersAway · Super League1–1FC WinterthurHome · Super League4–1FC LuzernAway · Super League5–2FC ST. GallenHome · Super League1–3
FC Luzern
10 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BSC Young BoysHome · Super League1–2FC ThunAway · Super League1–2FC Basel 1893Home · Super League4–2FC ZurichAway · Super League4–1GrasshoppersHome · Super League4–3FC SionAway · Super League0–0Stade Lausanne-OuchyAway · Schweizer Cup1–2FC ST. GallenHome · Super League2–2FC SionAway · Super League1–1FC LuganoHome · Super League2–5
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FC Lugano at home with FC Luzern away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:36 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Super League · 2025/26 · all league matches
FC LuganoFC Luzern
28Matches played28
49Points earned33
14Wins8
1.6Goals scored / match1.9
1.2Goals conceded / match1.9
7Clean sheets4
4Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FC Lugano at home with FC Luzern away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
FC Lugano
Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Mattia Croci-Torti
- 16
D. von BallmoosG - 6
A. PapadopoulosD - 17
L. MaiD - 3
H. DelcroixD - 46
M. ZanottiM - 8
A. GrgicM - 25
U. BislimiM - 21
Y. CimignaniM - 11
R. SteffenF - 91
K. BehrensF - 9
G. KoutsiasF
Substitutes (9)
1 · A. Saipi
2 · Z. Brault-Guillard
18 · H. Mahou
29 · M. Belhadj
4 · D. Kelvin
24 · E. Pihlstrom
14 · A. Kendouci
26 · M. Marques
44 · Joao Carbone
FC Luzern
Confirmed formation4-4-2Mario Frick
- 1
P. LoretzG - 20
P. DornD - 46
B. FreimannD - 4
A. BajramiD - 22
R. DantasD - 16
O. KabwitM - 24
T. OwusuM - 6
T. AbeM - 11
M. Di GiustoM - 19
A. VasovicF - 9
A. GrbicF
Substitutes (8)
90 · V. Vasic
14 · A. Ciganiks
10 · S. Karweina
5 · S. Knezevic
27 · L. Villiger
2 · S. Ottiger
29 · L. Winkler
34 · D. Xhemalija
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
FC Lugano
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David von Ballmoos | 90 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Antonios Papadopoulos | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 47 | — |
| Lars Lukas Mai | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 87 | 3 |
| Hannes Delcroix | 78 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 1 |
| Mattia Zanotti | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 3 |
| Anto Grgić | 89 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 63 | 2 |
| Uran Bislimi | 78 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 67 | 2 |
| Yanis Cimignani | 61 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 49 | — |
| Renato Steffen | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | 2 |
| Kevin Behrens | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Georgios Koutsias | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 32 | — |
| Hicham Mahou | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud | 29 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Martim Marques | 12 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 2 |
| Elias Pihlström | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Ahmed Kendouci | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Amir Saipi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Damian Kelvin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carbone | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zachary Brault Guillard | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC Luzern
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Loretz | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Pius Dorn | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 1 |
| Bung Meng Freimann | 77 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 3 |
| Adrian Bajrami | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 35 | — |
| Rúben Dantas | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 2 |
| Oscar Kabwit | 84 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | — |
| Tyron Owusu | 68 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Taisei Abe | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | 1 |
| Matteo Di Giusto | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 1 |
| Andrej Vasovic | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 |
| Adrian Grbić | 78 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 13 | — |
| Levin Winkler | 22 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Stefan Knežević | 13 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Lars Villiger | 12 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Severin Ottiger | 12 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Vaso Vasić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrejs Cigaņiks | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Demir Xhemalija | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sinan Karweina | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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