FC Luzern
4/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect FC Luzern’s results
Super LeagueMatchweek 30THE MATCH CENTREFC Luzern vs FC Winterthur match centre
90′ · Live
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Di Giusto15′ (pen)
N. Burkart32′
T. Golliard45+4′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%FC Luzern
Draw4.4%at full time
Current result estimate95.5%FC Winterthur
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: FC Luzern 4.6% · no further goal 91.8% · FC Winterthur 3.6%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.FC LuzernFC Winterthur
3.080Expected goals · API-Football1.420
5Shots on target5
18Total Shots10
68%Ball Possession32%
6Corner Kicks0
13Fouls14
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves4
554Total passes260
468Passes accurate176
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Super League Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Thun | 33 | +38 | 74 | — |
| 2 |  FC ST. Gallen | 33 | +24 | 60 | — |
| 3 |  FC Lugano | 33 | +12 | 57 | — |
| 4 |  FC Basel 1893 | 33 | +6 | 53 | — |
| 5 |  FC Sion | 33 | +16 | 52 | — |
| 6 |  BSC Young Boys | 33 | +5 | 48 | — |
| 7 | FC Luzern | 34 | +2 | 40 | — |
| 8 |  Servette FC | 33 | 0 | 40 | — |
| 9 |  Lausanne | 33 | -10 | 39 | — |
| 10 |  FC Zurich | 33 | -18 | 34 | — |
| 11 |  Grasshoppers | 33 | -25 | 27 | — |
| 12 |  FC Winterthur | 34 | -50 | 22 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
FC Luzern 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
FC Winterthur 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
FC Winterthur
1/8Wins
1.0Goals / game
2.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect FC Winterthur’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
FC Luzern
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC LuganoAway · Super League3–1BSC Young BoysHome · Super League1–2FC ThunAway · Super League1–2FC Basel 1893Home · Super League4–2FC ZurichAway · Super League4–1GrasshoppersHome · Super League4–3FC SionAway · Super League0–0Stade Lausanne-OuchyAway · Schweizer Cup1–2FC ST. GallenHome · Super League2–2FC SionAway · Super League1–1
FC Winterthur
8 matchesResults1 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game2.4
Games with 3+ goals5 of 8
Both teams scored7 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FC Luzern at home with FC Winterthur away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:43 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Super League · 2025/26 · all league matches
FC LuzernFC Winterthur
29Matches played29
36Points earned16
9Wins3
1.9Goals scored / match1.1
1.8Goals conceded / match2.8
4Clean sheets0
3Failed to score9
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FC Luzern at home with FC Winterthur away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
FC Luzern
3wins5MEETINGS
FC Winterthur
1winsDec 2024 – Nov 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with FC Luzern first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
FC Luzern
Confirmed formation4-2-2-2Mario Frick
- 1
P. LoretzG - 20
P. DornD - 5
S. KnezevicD - 46
B. FreimannD - 22
R. DantasD - 24
T. OwusuM - 6
T. AbeM - 73
L. M. Silva FerreiraM - 11
M. Di GiustoM - 16
O. KabwitF - 19
A. VasovicF
Substitutes (9)
90 · V. Vasic
9 · A. Grbic
14 · A. Ciganiks
10 · S. Karweina
27 · L. Villiger
2 · S. Ottiger
29 · L. Winkler
39 · S. Wyss
45 · E. Sadikaj
FC Winterthur
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Patrick Rahmen
- 1
S. KapinoG - 16
R. ArnoldD - 5
L. MuhlD - 21
L. LuthiD - 27
F. RohnerM - 44
S. CueniM - 23
P. KasamiM - 24
S. SidlerM - 8
T. GolliardF - 99
N. BurkartF - 17
A. HunzikerF
Substitutes (9)
75 · A. Spagnoli
7 · L. Zuffi
45 · A. Jankewitz
11 · B. Dansoko
3 · R. Smith
33 · T. Citherlet
19 · D. Ulrich
14 · F. Momoh
37 · E. Maluvunu
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
FC Luzern
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Loretz | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 37 | — |
| Pius Dorn | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 59 | 1 |
| Stefan Knežević | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 66 | 1 |
| Bung Meng Freimann | 42 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Rúben Dantas | 64 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 4 |
| Tyron Owusu | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 1 |
| Taisei Abe | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 94 | — |
| Lucas Silva | 64 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | 1 |
| Matteo Di Giusto | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 52 | 1 |
| Oscar Kabwit | 75 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | 1 |
| Andrej Vasovic | 76 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
| Erblin Sadikaj | 48 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 45 | — |
| Andrejs Cigaņiks | 26 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 2 |
| Lars Villiger | 26 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Sandro Wyss | 15 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Adrian Grbić | 14 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Vaso Vasić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Severin Ottiger | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Levin Winkler | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sinan Karweina | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC Winterthur
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Kapino | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Remo Arnold | 37 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 1 |
| Lukas Mühl | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Loïc Lüthi | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | 4 |
| Fabian Rohner | 80 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | 2 |
| Stéphane Cueni | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 3 |
| Pajtim Kasami | 45 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 3 |
| Silvan Sidler | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 2 |
| Theo Golliard | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 2 |
| Nishan Burkart | 51 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | — |
| Andrin Hunziker | 90 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 3 | 19 | 1 |
| Tibault Citherlet | 53 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 1 |
| Luca Zuffi | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Alexandre Jankewitz | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Francis Momoh | 39 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Bafode Dansoko | 10 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Antonio Spagnoli | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rhodri Smith | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elias Maluvunu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dario Ulrich | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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