Valerenga
3/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Valerenga’s results
EliteserienMatchweek 9THE MATCH CENTREValerenga vs Sarpsborg 08 FF match centre
90′ · Live
3:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
F. Thorvaldsen6′
E. Sorensen20′
M. Grundetjern90+1′
D. Karlsbakk11′
A. Nibe28′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate95.6%Valerenga
Draw4.3%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Sarpsborg 08 FF
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Valerenga 3.7% · no further goal 91.9% · Sarpsborg 08 FF 4.5%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.ValerengaSarpsborg 08 FF
2.010Expected goals · API-Football1.620
7Shots on target10
14Total Shots17
54%Ball Possession46%
6Corner Kicks0
13Fouls9
1Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
8Goalkeeper Saves4
435Total passes368
351Passes accurate284
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
EliteserienProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 21 | +34 | 50 | — |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 21 | +34 | 50 | — |
| 3 |  Tromso | 21 | +11 | 38 | — |
| 4 |  Molde | 21 | +12 | 36 | — |
| 5 |  Rosenborg | 21 | +9 | 33 | — |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 21 | -1 | 32 | — |
| 7 |  Brann | 21 | +7 | 29 | — |
| 8 |  Fredrikstad | 21 | -7 | 28 | — |
| 9 | Valerenga | 22 | -8 | 26 | ↑ 3 |
| 10 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 22 | -6 | 25 | ↓ 1 |
| 11 |  KFUM Oslo | 21 | -10 | 25 | ↓ 1 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 21 | -6 | 23 | ↓ 1 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 21 | -15 | 23 | — |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 21 | -13 | 21 | — |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 21 | -19 | 19 | — |
| 16 |  Start | 21 | -22 | 16 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Valerenga 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Sarpsborg 08 FF’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Valerenga
10 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Ham-KamAway · Eliteserien0–1KFUM OsloHome · Eliteserien2–2MoldeAway · Eliteserien1–5LillestromHome · Eliteserien0–2FredrikstadAway · Eliteserien1–1VikingHome · Eliteserien0–1IFK GoteborgHome · Friendlies Clubs3–3RosenborgAway · Eliteserien2–0SandefjordHome · Eliteserien1–0StromsgodsetHome · Friendlies Clubs4–3
Sarpsborg 08 FF
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Valerenga at home with Sarpsborg 08 FF away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:34 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eliteserien · 2026/27 · all league matches
ValerengaSarpsborg 08 FF
8Matches played7
8Points earned5
2Wins1
0.9Goals scored / match0.8
1.6Goals conceded / match1.5
2Clean sheets1
3Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Valerenga at home with Sarpsborg 08 FF away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Valerenga
Confirmed formationPending
- 1
O. HedvallG - 6
V. HedenstadD - 4
A. OlsenD - 37
I. NasbergD - 2
K. FinnssonD - 8
H. BjordalM - 10
C. LangeM - 28
M. WestergaardM - 11
E. SorensenM - 26
F. ThorvaldsenF - 77
L. HarenF
Substitutes (9)
21 · M. Sjoeng
29 · F. Ambina
3 · H. Sjatil
9 · G. Rajkovic
24 · P. Strand
55 · S. Jarl
5 · K. Tshiembe
17 · M. Grundetjern
15 · O. T. Holm
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Even Sel
- 1
M. NdiayeG - 12
C. NiyukuriD - 4
B. UtvikD - 2
M. KochD - 21
A. HiimD - 8
S. ChristiansenM - 6
A. SherM - 10
S. SorliM - 22
V. E. HalvorsenM - 33
A. NibeM - 11
D. KarlsbakkF
Substitutes (9)
87 · L. Oy
32 · E. Wichne
17 · N. Williams
81 · M. Svenningsen Gronn
5 · M. Odegaard
20 · P. Reinhardsen
26 · Chriso
18 · B. Gueye
50 · M. M. Eidal
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Valerenga
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Hedvall | 90 | 8.5 | — | 0 | — | 37 | — |
| Vegar Eggen Hedenstad | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Aaron Kiil Olsen | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 70 | — |
| Ivan Näsberg | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 1 |
| Kolbeinn Finnsson | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 3 |
| Henrik Bjørdal | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 37 | 3 |
| Carl Lange | 88 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 61 | 1 |
| Magnus Westergaard | 64 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 21 | — |
| Elias Sørensen | 83 | 6.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 1 |
| Filip Thorvaldsen | 90 | 9.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 1 |
| Lucas Haren | 64 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 2 |
| Hakon Sjatil | 45 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Odin Thiago Holm | 26 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 1 |
| Mathias Grundetjern | 26 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Petter Strand | 15 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Ambina Fidèle Brice | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Magnus Smelhus Sjøeng | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Tshiembe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Jarl | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Rajkovic | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamour Ndiaye | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Claus Niyukuri | 80 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 36 | 1 |
| Bjorn Utvik | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 48 | 1 |
| Menno Koch | 90 | 5.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 31 | 1 |
| Anders Hiim | 89 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 42 | 1 |
| Sander Christiansen | 90 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 40 | 3 |
| Aimar Sher | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 2 |
| Sondre Sörli | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 23 | 2 |
| Victor Emanuel Halvorsen | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 24 | 1 |
| Andreas Hansen | 83 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 2 |
| Daniel Karlsbakk | 83 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | — |
| Magnar Odegaard | 10 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Bop Guèye | 15 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Noa Williams | 15 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Eirik Wichne | 8 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 2 |
| Leander Øy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peter Reinhardsen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Kouakou | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathias Svenningsen-Grønn | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Magnus Mevik Eidal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Valerenga | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 4.00 | 3.50 |
Snapshot from 15 May 2026, 18:29 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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