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Nigeria vs Mozambique match centre

Nigeria badgeNigeriaHome · 1 in league
WDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising89/100OlderLatest
Full time
4:0
UK time · Europe/London
Mozambique badgeMozambiqueAway
LDLWL
Momentum↗ Rising29/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
A. Lookman20′
V. Osimhen25′
V. Osimhen47′
A. Adams75′
Complexe Sportif de Fès · FezSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
NigeriaMozambique
5Corner Kicks0
22Fouls13
3Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves5
529Total passes338
474Passes accurate268

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Nigeria 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Mozambique 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Nigeria

8/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Nigeria’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Mozambique

3/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Mozambique’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Nigeria

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results8 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results

Mozambique

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Nigeria at home with Mozambique away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:31 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Africa Cup of Nations · 2025/26 · all league matches

NigeriaMozambique
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Nigeria at home with Mozambique away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Nigeria

Confirmed formation4-3-1-2Éric Sékou Chelle
  1. 23S. NwabaliG
  2. 2B. Osayi-SamuelD
  3. 6S. AjayiD
  4. 21C. BasseyD
  5. 13B. OnyemaechiD
  6. 8F. OnyekaM
  7. 4W. NdidiM
  8. 17A. IwobiM
  9. 7A. LookmanM
  10. 9V. OsimhenF
  11. 22A. AdamsF
Substitutes (15)

16 · A. Obasogie

1 · F. Uzoho

20 · C. Awaziem

5 · I. Ogbu

3 · Zaidu

26 · E. Akinsanmiro

10 · F. Dele-Bashiru

28 · T. Nnadi

18 · R. Onyedika

14 · U. Mohammed

11 · S. Chukwueze

24 · C. Ejuke

25 · S. Lawal

19 · P. Onuachu

15 · M. Simon

Mozambique

Confirmed formationPending
  1. 1E. SiluaneG
  2. 23Diogo CalilaD
  3. 17MexerD
  4. 15R. MandavaD
  5. 5B. LangaD
  6. 16A. AmadeM
  7. 21GuimaM
  8. 10G. CatamoM
  9. 7DominguesM
  10. 19WitiM
  11. 9F. BangalF
Substitutes (14)

22 · I. Urrubal

12 · K. Zavala

4 · Chamboco

8 · E. Dove

3 · Nene

2 · Nanani

20 · K. Abdala

11 · J. Bonde

6 · M. Kambala

24 · A. Melque

14 · O. Cherene

25 · Chamito

13 · S. Ratifo

18 · Gildo

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Nigeria

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Stanley Nwabali906.6—0—18—
Bright Osayi-Samuel907.2—02455
Semi Ajayi907.0—0—61—
Calvin Bassey907.7—0—702
Bruno Onyemaechi907.3—0—472
Frank Onyeka836.6—0—412
Wilfred Ndidi837.5—01561
Alex Iwobi907.6—0287—
Ademola Lookman8610.0122351
Victor Osimhen688.02046—
Akor Adams869.3124212
Moses Simon226.9—0111—
Raphael Onyedika106.7—0114—
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru106.9—0—101
Samuel Chukwueze4——0—6—
Paul Onuachu4——0—1—
Amas Obasogie———————
Francis Uzoho———————
Zaidu Sanusi———————
Chidozie Awaziem———————
Igoh Ogbu———————
Tochukwu Nnadi———————
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro———————
Chidera Ejuke———————
Usman Mohammed———————
Salim Fago Lawal———————

Mozambique

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ernan826.5—0—32—
Diogo Calila456.0—0—20—
Edson Mexer906.0—0—391
Reinildo Mandava907.0—0—322
Bruno Langa906.2—0—383
Alfons Amade906.2—0—431
Guima906.0—0—47—
Geny Catamo906.2—0—15—
Dominguês Pelembe456.2—0—121
Witi616.6—0—82
Faisal Abdul Bangal676.5—0—8—
Nanani Infren455.9—0—161
Manuel Kambala456.3—0—17—
Chamito Alfandega296.2—0—2—
Stanley Ratifo236.6—0—4—
Ivane Urrubal87.2—0—5—
Kimiss———————
Feliciano Jone Nenê———————
Fernando Chamboco———————
Edmilson Gabriel Dove———————
João Bonde———————
Keyns Abdala———————
Melque Alexandre———————
Oscar Benjamim Cherene———————
Gildo———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Africa Cup of Nations table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group C. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Nigeria33008449
WWW
2Tunisia31116514
DLW
3Tanzania302134-12
DDL
4Uganda301237-41
LDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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