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Nublense vs D. La Serena match centre

Nublense badgeNublenseHome · 7 in league
DWWLW
Momentum↘ Falling68/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:2
UK time · Europe/London
D. La Serena badgeD. La SerenaAway · 9 in league
LLDWW
Momentum↗ Rising55/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
G. Avalos32′
F. Rami88′
L. Alarcon54′
J. Vargas57′
Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas · ChillanSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate4.2%Nublense
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.4%D. La Serena
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Nublense 4.2% · no further goal 92.3% · D. La Serena 3.4%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
NublenseD. La Serena
9Corner Kicks3
10Fouls8
2Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves2
376Total passes350
286Passes accurate273

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Primera División

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Colo Colo23+2654—
2U. Catolica23+1742—
3Universidad de Chile23+1642—
4Everton de Vina23+1236—
5Palestino23+336—
6Deportes Limache23+833—
7Nublense24-333—
8Concepción23-131—
9D. La Serena24-431—
10Coquimbo Unido22029—
11A. Italiano23-528—
12O'Higgins23-827—
13Huachipato21-1025—
14Cobresal23-1024—
15Universidad de Concepcion22-2022—
16Union La Calera23-2117—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Nublense 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

D. La Serena 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Nublense

3/6Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Nublense’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

D. La Serena

2/6Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect D. La Serena’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Nublense at home with D. La Serena away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:22 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primera División · 2026/27 · all league matches

NublenseD. La Serena
6Matches played6
11Points earned8
3Wins2
1.2Goals scored / match1.2
0.7Goals conceded / match0.8
3Clean sheets2
0Failed to score2

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Nublense at home with D. La Serena away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Nublense

Confirmed formation3-4-3Jose Ribera Juan
  1. 1N. PerezG
  2. 5F. Campos MosqueiraD
  3. 4O. Bosso TorresD
  4. 15S. ValenciaD
  5. 8G. GracianiM
  6. 21L. ReyesM
  7. 28M. RiveraM
  8. 14J. CampusanoM
  9. 7F. OvelarF
  10. 20I. JeraldinoF
  11. 29G. AvalosF
Substitutes (9)

25 · H. Munoz

18 · D. Cespedes

6 · P. Calderon

10 · M. Plaza

11 · L. Molina Canto

3 · C. Salomon

16 · D. Sanhueza

22 · A. Valdes

9 · F. Rami

D. La Serena

Confirmed formation4-3-3Francisco Bozan
  1. 1F. LanzillottaG
  2. 21B. GutierrezD
  3. 33R. DelgadoD
  4. 5L. AlarconD
  5. 26F. DinamarcaD
  6. 8G. EscalanteM
  7. 4F. Mac AllisterM
  8. 14F. ChamorroM
  9. 16J. GutierrezF
  10. 11D. RubioF
  11. 10J. VargasF
Substitutes (9)

22 · E. A. Sanhueza Mora

2 · A. Zanini

28 · J. Orellana

27 · C. Sepulveda

34 · N. Stefanelli

23 · M. Marin

15 · B. Contreras

20 · M. Velasquez

19 · B. Sandoval

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Nublense

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Nicola Pérez906.7—0—27—
Felipe Campos586.6—0—134
Osvaldo Bosso906.0—0125—
Sebastián Valencia906.7—0—37—
Gabriel Graciani907.3—1—471
Lorenzo Reyes907.5—01581
Manuel Rivera776.3—0—341
Jovany Campusano906.7—0—393
Fernando Ovelar586.7—0—191
Ignacio Jeraldino776.9—02221
Giovanny Avalos658.0102191
Diego Sanhueza327.5—0—122
Matías Plaza327.0—01111
Alex Valdés256.5—0215—
Diego Céspedes136.6—0—11—
Franco Rami137.21016—
Hernán Muñoz———————
Carlos Salomón———————
Pablo Calderón———————
Lucas Molina———————

D. La Serena

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Federico Lanzillota906.6—0—26—
Bruno Gutiérrez906.3—0—17—
Rafael Delgado906.9—0—561
Lucas Alarcón908.3101322
Fernando Dinamarca906.3—0—222
Gonzalo Escalante906.3—01472
Francis Mac Allister907.7—01517
Felipe Chamorro906.5—0—342
Joaquín Gutiérrez696.7—02111
Diego Rubio827.3—2—202
Jeisson Vargas897.9102401
Nicolás Stefanelli216.3—018—
Bastian Sandoval86.5—0—4—
Matías Marín1——0—1—
Eryin Sanhueza———————
Andrés Zanini———————
Milovan Velásquez———————
Joan Orellana———————
Cristóbal Sepúlveda———————
Bastián Contreras———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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