Incheon United
3/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Incheon United’s results
K League 1Matchweek 10THE MATCH CENTREIncheon United vs Jeju United FC match centre
84′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Ferrier70′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
84′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate92.7%Incheon United
Draw7.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.3%Jeju United FC
Another goal12.6%before full time
Next goal: Incheon United 5.1% · no further goal 87.4% · Jeju United FC 7.5%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Incheon UnitedJeju United FC
—Expected goals · API-Football—
1Shots on target4
4Total Shots9
56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks3
18Fouls17
3Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves0
532Total passes411
469Passes accurate347
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
K-LeagueProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Seoul | 30 | +31 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Ulsan Hyundai FC | 30 | +5 | 47 | — |
| 3 |  Jeju United FC | 31 | +5 | 46 | — |
| 4 |  Jeonbuk Motors | 30 | +10 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Gangwon FC | 29 | +8 | 42 | — |
| 6 | Incheon United | 30 | +4 | 41 | ↑ 3 |
| 7 |  Daejeon Citizen | 30 | +9 | 40 | ↓ 1 |
| 8 |  Pohang Steelers | 30 | -6 | 40 | ↓ 1 |
| 9 |  FC Anyang | 30 | -9 | 38 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 30 | -6 | 33 | — |
| 11 |  Bucheon FC 1995 | 30 | -9 | 32 | — |
| 12 |  Gwangju FC | 30 | -42 | 15 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Incheon United 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Jeju United FC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Jeju United FC
3/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Jeju United FC’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Incheon United
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Jeonbuk MotorsAway · K League 12–1Bucheon FC 1995Away · K League 12–2Ulsan Hyundai FCHome · K League 11–2Gimcheon Sangmu FCHome · K League 12–1FC AnyangAway · K League 11–0Daejeon CitizenHome · K League 11–3Pohang SteelersAway · K League 11–1Gwangju FCAway · K League 12–3FC SeoulHome · K League 11–2Vancouver WhitecapsAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1
Jeju United FC
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals2 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Daejeon CitizenAway · K League 11–0Gimcheon Sangmu FCHome · K League 11–1Pohang SteelersAway · K League 12–0Bucheon FC 1995Home · K League 11–0Gangwon FCAway · K League 11–1Ulsan Hyundai FCHome · K League 10–2FC SeoulHome · K League 11–2FC AnyangAway · K League 11–2Gwangju FCHome · K League 10–0Gangwon FCHome · K League 10–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Incheon United at home with Jeju United FC away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:03 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
K League 1 · 2026/27 · all league matches
Incheon UnitedJeju United FC
9Matches played9
11Points earned12
3Wins3
1.5Goals scored / match0.9
1.7Goals conceded / match0.9
1Clean sheets4
0Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Incheon United at home with Jeju United FC away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Incheon United
Confirmed formation4-4-2Jong-Hwan Yoon
- 21
Lee Tae HuiG - 39
Kim Myung-SunD - 20
Park Kyung-subD - 2
Juan IbizaD - 32
Ju-yong LeeD - 10
Dong-ryul LeeM - 5
Myung Joo LeeM - 15
Jae-min SeoM - 72
Chung-yong LeeM - 9
Stefan MugošaF - 11
Gerso FernandesF
Substitutes (9)
1 · Dong-heon Kim
13 · Choi Seung-Gu
4 · Gun-hee Kim
3 · Sang-ki Lee
17 · Seong-min Kim
8 · Iker Undabarrena
99 · Morgan Ferrier
19 · Park Ho-min
77 · Park Seung-ho
Jeju United FC
Confirmed formation4-4-2Sergio Costa
- 1
Dong-jun KimG - 17
In-su YuD - 6
Kwon Ki-MinD - 41
Jae-uh KimD - 40
Ryun-sung KimD - 22
Chang-Hoon KwonM - 20
Min-gyu JangM - 14
Jae-hyeok OhM - 7
Chang-jun ParkM - 27
Kim Jun-HaF - 94
Emerson RamonF
Substitutes (9)
29 · Heo Jae-won
13 · Chung Woon
28 · Geon-ung Kim
23 · Chang-woo Rim
24 · Byung-wook Choi
10 · Tae Hee Nam
39 · Kim Jae-Min
18 · Kim Shin-jin
9 · Gytis Paulauskas
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Incheon United
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Tae Hui | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Kim Myung-Sun | 87 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 38 | 5 |
| Park Kyung-sub | 88 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 74 | — |
| Juan Ibiza | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 88 | — |
| Ju-yong Lee | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 86 | 2 |
| Dong-ryul Lee | 76 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 28 | — |
| Myung Joo Lee | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 1 |
| Jae-min Seo | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 49 | 2 |
| Chung-yong Lee | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 50 | — |
| Stefan Mugoša | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 |
| Gerso Fernandes | 61 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| Iker Undabarrena | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Morgan Ferrier | 29 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Seong-min Kim | 14 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Choi Seung-Gu | 3 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Gun-hee Kim | 2 | — | — | 0 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Dong-heon Kim | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sang-ki Lee | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Park Ho-min | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Park Seung-ho | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Jeju United FC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dong-jun Kim | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| In-su Yu | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 32 | 3 |
| Kwon Ki-Min | 66 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 29 | — |
| Jae-uh Kim | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 63 | — |
| Ryun-sung Kim | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 60 | 1 |
| Chang-Hoon Kwon | 77 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 3 |
| Min-gyu Jang | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 1 |
| Jae-hyeok Oh | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 1 |
| Chang-jun Park | 59 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Kim Jun-Ha | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Emerson Ramon | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 26 | — |
| Tae Hee Nam | 31 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | — |
| Geon-ung Kim | 24 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Gytis Paulauskas | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 2 |
| Heo Jae-won | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chung Woon | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chang-woo Rim | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Byung-wook Choi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kim Jae-Min | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kim Shin-jin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Incheon United | Draw | Jeju United FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.10 | 3.80 |
Snapshot from 24 Apr 2026, 14:39 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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