Incheon United
5/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Incheon United’s results
K League 1Matchweek 15THE MATCH CENTREIncheon United vs Gwangju FC match centre
90′ · Live
4:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Ibiza19′
M. Ferrier26′
Gerso55′
Lee Chung-Yong65′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Incheon United
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Gwangju FC
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: Incheon United 5.0% · no further goal 92.0% · Gwangju FC 3.1%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Incheon UnitedGwangju FC
1.650Expected goals · API-Football0.220
6Shots on target0
13Total Shots4
55%Ball Possession45%
5Corner Kicks1
7Fouls14
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves2
546Total passes459
505Passes accurate420
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
K-LeagueProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Seoul | 30 | +31 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Ulsan Hyundai FC | 30 | +5 | 47 | — |
| 3 |  Jeju United FC | 30 | +6 | 46 | — |
| 4 |  Jeonbuk Motors | 30 | +10 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Gangwon FC | 29 | +8 | 42 | — |
| 6 | Incheon United | 30 | +7 | 41 | ↑ 3 |
| 7 |  Daejeon Citizen | 30 | +9 | 40 | ↓ 1 |
| 8 |  Pohang Steelers | 30 | -6 | 40 | ↓ 1 |
| 9 |  FC Anyang | 30 | -9 | 38 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 30 | -6 | 33 | — |
| 11 |  Bucheon FC 1995 | 30 | -9 | 32 | — |
| 12 |  Gwangju FC | 31 | -46 | 15 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Incheon United 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Gwangju FC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Gwangju FC
0/10Wins
0.3Goals / game
3.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 9 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Gwangju FC’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Incheon United
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Pohang SteelersHome · K League 10–1Gimcheon Sangmu FCAway · K League 13–0Daejeon CitizenAway · K League 10–0Gangwon FCHome · K League 10–1Jeju United FCHome · K League 11–0Jeonbuk MotorsAway · K League 12–1Bucheon FC 1995Away · K League 12–2Ulsan Hyundai FCHome · K League 11–2Gimcheon Sangmu FCHome · K League 12–1FC AnyangAway · K League 11–0
Gwangju FC
10 matchesResults0 wins · 1 draws · 9 losses
Goals scored per game0.3
Goals conceded per game3.0
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored2 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC SeoulHome · K League 10–1Gangwon FCHome · K League 10–0Jeonbuk MotorsAway · K League 10–4Daejeon CitizenHome · K League 10–5FC AnyangHome · K League 12–5Pohang SteelersAway · K League 10–1Ulsan Hyundai FCAway · K League 11–5Bucheon FC 1995Home · K League 10–1Gangwon FCAway · K League 10–3FC SeoulAway · K League 10–5
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Incheon United at home with Gwangju FC away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:39 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
K League 1 · 2026/27 · all league matches
Incheon UnitedGwangju FC
12Matches played12
15Points earned6
4Wins1
1.2Goals scored / match0.6
1.4Goals conceded / match2.7
3Clean sheets2
2Failed to score8
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Incheon United at home with Gwangju FC away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Incheon United
Confirmed formation4-4-2Jong-Hwan Yoon
- 1
Kim Dong-HeonG - 39
Kim Myung-soonD - 4
Kim Gun-HeeD - 2
IbizaD - 32
Lee Ju-YongD - 10
Lee Dong-RyulM - 5
Lee Myoung-JooM - 15
Seo Jae-MinM - 11
GersoM - 99
M. FerrierF - 72
Lee Chung-YongF
Substitutes (9)
31 · Lee Sang-hyeon
3 · Lee Sang-Gi
13 · Choi Seung-gu
25 · Jeong Tae-Wook
14 · Baek Min-gyu
17 · Kim Seong-Min
23 · Jeong Chi-In
19 · Park Ho-Min
77 · Park Seung-Ho
Gwangju FC
Confirmed formation4-4-2Jeong-kyu Lee
- 23
Kim Dong-HwaG - 9
Ha Seung-UnD - 24
Y. Kim - 39
Min Sang-GiD - 22
Kwon Sung-YunD - 3
Lee Min-Ki - 8
Ju Se-JongM - 88
Moon Min-seoM - 16
Joung Ji-hunM - 19
Ahn Hyeok-JuF - 11
H. FridjonssonF
Substitutes (9)
1 · Kim Kyeong-min
26 · B. Gong
6 · Ahn Young-Kyu
27 · Kim Jin-Ho
14 · Yu Je-Ho
42 · Kang Hui-Su
28 · P. Seong Hyun
99 · Hong Yong-Jun
25 · Kim Yun-ho
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Incheon United
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dong-heon Kim | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Kim Myung-Sun | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 3 |
| Gun-hee Kim | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 84 | 1 |
| Juan Ibiza | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 86 | 1 |
| Ju-yong Lee | 90 | 8.2 | — | 1 | — | 80 | 4 |
| Dong-ryul Lee | 73 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
| Myung Joo Lee | 73 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 40 | — |
| Jae-min Seo | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 79 | — |
| Gerso Fernandes | 79 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | — |
| Morgan Ferrier | 82 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | — |
| Chung-yong Lee | 82 | 7.7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 46 | — |
| Choi Seung-Gu | 17 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Park Seung-ho | 17 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Min-gyu Baek | 11 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Seong-min Kim | 8 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Park Ho-min | 8 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Lee Sang-hyeon | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sang-ki Lee | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tae-uk Jeong | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chi-in Jeong | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Gwangju FC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dong-hwa Kim | 90 | 5.2 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Seung-un Ha | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 3 |
| Kim Yong-hyuk | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 2 |
| Sang-ki Min | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 71 | — |
| Sung-yun Kwon | 90 | 5.5 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 1 |
| Min-ki Lee | 56 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 2 |
| Se-jong Ju | 79 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 58 | 5 |
| Min-seo Moon | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 51 | 1 |
| Ji-hoon Jeong | 79 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 1 |
| Hyeok-joo An | 56 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 |
| Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Gong Bae-Hyeon | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 3 |
| Jin-ho Kim | 34 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Yong-jun Hong | 34 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Yu Je-ho | 11 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 1 |
| Park Sung-hyun | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 1 |
| Kyeong-min Kim | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yeong-kyu Ahn | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hui-su Kang | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kim Yun-Ho | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Incheon United | Draw | Gwangju FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 3.70 | 6.50 |
Snapshot from 15 May 2026, 18:50 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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