FBC Melgar
4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect FBC Melgar’s results
Primera DivisiónMatchweek 11THE MATCH CENTREFBC Melgar vs Universitario match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Zegarra1′
J. Vidales5′
J. Concha8′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.0%FBC Melgar
Draw3.9%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Universitario
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: FBC Melgar 4.0% · no further goal 91.9% · Universitario 4.1%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.FBC MelgarUniversitario
—Expected goals · API-Football—
4Shots on target2
9Total Shots11
47%Ball Possession53%
1Corner Kicks2
9Fouls13
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves2
361Total passes375
303Passes accurate322
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primera Division: Tabla AnualProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 27 | +26 | 56 | — |
| 2 | FBC Melgar | 28 | +17 | 49 | ↑ 2 |
| 3 |  Universitario | 28 | +11 | 49 | ↓ 1 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 27 | +15 | 48 | ↓ 1 |
| 5 |  Cusco | 27 | +2 | 45 | — |
| 6 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | -9 | 41 | — |
| 7 |  Cienciano | 25 | +7 | 40 | — |
| 8 |  Alianza Atletico | 27 | +5 | 40 | — |
| 9 |  Sporting Cristal | 27 | +8 | 38 | — |
| 10 |  Sport Boys | 27 | +3 | 38 | — |
| 11 |  Sport Huancayo | 27 | -7 | 35 | — |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 27 | -10 | 34 | — |
| 13 |  Atletico Grau | 27 | -5 | 32 | — |
| 14 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 27 | -3 | 30 | — |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 27 | -11 | 27 | — |
| 16 |  UCV Moquegua | 27 | -17 | 25 | — |
| 17 |  ADT | 26 | -14 | 22 | — |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 27 | -18 | 15 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
FBC Melgar 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Universitario 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Universitario
4/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Universitario’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
FBC Melgar
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Sport BoysAway · Primera División3–1CuscoHome · Primera División1–3ADTAway · Primera División1–1Atletico GrauHome · Primera División0–0Alianza LimaAway · Primera División1–3Club Deportivo Los ChankasHome · Primera División1–2FC CajamarcaAway · Primera División1–3UCV MoqueguaHome · Primera División4–0Sporting CristalAway · Primera División2–1CiencianoHome · Primera División2–0
Universitario
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Coquimbo UnidoHome · CONMEBOL Libertadores0–2Deportes TolimaAway · CONMEBOL Libertadores0–0Alianza LimaHome · Primera División1–0Comerciantes UnidosAway · Primera División0–0UTC CajamarcaHome · Primera División2–0Club Deportivo Los ChankasAway · Primera División1–3FC CajamarcaHome · Primera División1–0Sporting CristalAway · Primera División2–2CiencianoHome · Primera División2–1CuscoAway · Primera División1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FBC Melgar at home with Universitario away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:24 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primera División · 2026/27 · all league matches
FBC MelgarUniversitario
10Matches played9
14Points earned18
4Wins5
1.6Goals scored / match1.3
1.4Goals conceded / match0.8
3Clean sheets5
1Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FBC Melgar at home with Universitario away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
FBC Melgar
Confirmed formation4-4-2Miguel Rondelli
- 12
C. CacedaG - 33
M. LazoD - 23
J. EscobarD - 5
A. DeneumostierD - 27
N. CabanillasD - 8
L. GuzmanM - 24
W. TandazoM - 6
J. SalasM - 45
M. ZegarraM - 11
J. VidalesF - 10
N. QuagliataF
Substitutes (9)
21 · J. Cabezudo
9 · B. Cuesta
4 · A. Ramos
80 · J. D'Arrigo
16 · J. Caceres
22 · P. Erustes
14 · Y. Gamero
20 · G. Bernaola
36 · P. Nunez
Universitario
Confirmed formation5-3-2Javier Rabanal
- 25
M. VargasG - 24
A. PoloD - 2
C. FaraD - 3
W. RiverosD - 33
C. IngaD - 27
J. CarabaliD - 8
H. FertoliM - 6
J. CastilloM - 17
J. ConchaM - 20
A. ValeraF - 19
E. FloresF
Substitutes (9)
1 · D. Romero
29 · A. Corzo
4 · A. Santamaria
10 · H. Calcaterra
11 · J. Rivera
23 · J. Murrugarra
77 · B. Reyna
90 · S. Gassama
99 · Miguel Silveira
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
FBC Melgar
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Caceda | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Matías Lazo | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 2 |
| Juan Escobar | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Alec Deneumostier | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 1 |
| Nelson Cabanillas | 86 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 1 |
| Lautaro Guzmán | 73 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 2 |
| Walter Tandazo | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 1 |
| Javier Salas | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 1 |
| Matías Zegarra | 86 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 1 |
| Jhonny Vidales | 73 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 2 |
| Nicolás Quagliata | 89 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 3 | 45 | — |
| Jhamir D'Arrigo | 17 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Bernardo Cuesta | 17 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Alejandro Ramos | 8 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Gian García | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Pablo Erustes | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | 1 |
| Jorge Cabezudo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yimy Gamero | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patricio Núnez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jefferson Caceres | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Universitario
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Vargas | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Andy Polo | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Caín Fara | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 54 | 2 |
| Williams Riveros | 61 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 29 | 1 |
| César Inga | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 51 | — |
| José Carabalí | 61 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | 23 | 2 |
| Héctor Fértoli | 73 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 1 |
| Jesús Castillo | 79 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 2 |
| Jairo Concha | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 43 | 1 |
| Alex Valera | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
| Edison Flores | 61 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Anderson Santamaria | 29 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Horacio Calcaterra | 29 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | — |
| Bryan Reyna | 29 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| Miguel Silveira | 17 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 3 | — |
| José Rivera | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Diego Romero | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aldo Corzo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Murrugarra | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sekou Gassama | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | FBC Melgar | Draw | Universitario |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.10 |
Snapshot from 18 Apr 2026, 18:16 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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