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Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua match centre

Alianza Lima badgeAlianza LimaHome · 1 in league
WDWLW
Momentum↘ Falling66/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
UCV Moquegua badgeUCV MoqueguaAway · 16 in league
WLLWW
Momentum↗ Rising63/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
E. Castillo37′
F. Girotti76′
E. Lastre80′
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva · LimaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate96.6%Alianza Lima
Draw3.4%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%UCV Moquegua
Another goal8.0%before full time

Next goal: Alianza Lima 4.6% · no further goal 92.0% · UCV Moquegua 3.5%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Alianza LimaUCV Moquegua
1Corner Kicks0
11Fouls11
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves4
485Total passes235
412Passes accurate159

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Alianza Lima28+2759—
2Universitario27+1249—
3Deportivo Garcilaso27+1548—
4FBC Melgar27+1646—
5Cusco27+245—
6Club Deportivo Los Chankas26-941—
7Cienciano25+740—
8Alianza Atletico27+540—
9Sporting Cristal27+838—
10Sport Boys27+338—
11Sport Huancayo27-735—
12Juan Pablo II College27-1034—
13Atletico Grau27-532—
14Comerciantes Unidos27-330—
15FC Cajamarca27-1127—
16UCV Moquegua28-1825—
17ADT26-1422—
18UTC Cajamarca27-1815—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Alianza Lima 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

UCV Moquegua 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Alianza Lima

7/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
0.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Alianza Lima’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

UCV Moquegua

5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect UCV Moquegua’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Alianza Lima

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results7 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game0.3
Games with 3+ goals2 of 10
Both teams scored2 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results

UCV Moquegua

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results5 wins · 0 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Alianza Lima at home with UCV Moquegua away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:55 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primera División · 2026/27 · all league matches

Alianza LimaUCV Moquegua
11Matches played12
26Points earned16
8Wins5
1.9Goals scored / match1.2
0.5Goals conceded / match1.5
6Clean sheets3
2Failed to score4

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Alianza Lima at home with UCV Moquegua away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Alianza Lima

Confirmed formation4-1-3-2Pablo Guede
  1. 1A. DuarteG
  2. 17L. AdvinculaD
  3. 6R. GarcesD
  4. 3M. AntoniD
  5. 13M. HuamanD
  6. 5E. PavezM
  7. 20J. VelezM
  8. 7F. GaiborM
  9. 25G. GentileM
  10. 8E. CastilloF
  11. 9L. RamosF
Substitutes (9)

23 · G. Viscarra

27 · K. Quevedo

31 · C. Carbajal

18 · A. Burlamaqui

29 · J. Archimbaud

4 · G. Chavez

15 · J. Castillo

99 · F. Girotti

30 · G. Motta

UCV Moquegua

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Jaime Serna
  1. 1C. GradosG
  2. 4A. PerlecheD
  3. 30J. GrandaD
  4. 3C. Enciso
  5. 15N. AmasifuenD
  6. 10N. Chavez
  7. 25R. ChipaoM
  8. 7E. LastreM
  9. 8C. MejiaM
  10. 17Y. ZapataM
  11. 90J. CollazosF
Substitutes (9)

29 · R. Figueroa

88 · R. Torres

13 · J. Lojas

22 · E. Montenegro

9 · M. Negron

20 · D. Ramirez

24 · K. Moreno

14 · C. Ramirez

16 · A. Davila

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Alianza Lima

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Alejandro Duarte905.9—0—25—
Luis Advíncula906.7—0—411
Renzo Garcés907.0—0—55—
Mateo Antoni907.2—0—892
Marco Huamán906.3—0153—
Esteban Pavez907.2—0—74—
Jairo Vélez906.3—12472
Fernando Gaibor897.6—01732
Gaspar Gentile707.2—0419—
Eryc Castillo907.6103241
Luis Ramos706.7—1291
Jesús Castillo206.3—0—7—
Federico Girotti208.210192
Alessandro Burlamaqui1——0—1—
Guillermo Viscarra———————
Cristian Carbajal———————
Gianfranco Chávez———————
Jean Pierre Archimbaud———————
Kevin Quevedo———————
Geray Motta———————

UCV Moquegua

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Carlos Grados907.2—0—24—
Aldair Perleche886.2—0—283
Jose Granda906.2—0—161
Cristian Enciso905.9—0118—
Nicolas Amasifuen906.2—0—244
Nicolas Chavez616.2—0—26—
Ricardo Chipao 907.2—01241
Edgar Lastre907.5101121
Cristian Mejia886.0—0118—
Yorman Zapata616.3—0113—
Jeferson Collazos786.3—0122—
Allonso Davila297.2—0—13—
Claudio Ramírez296.6—0—8—
Marcello Negrón126.5—0—2—
Eros Montenegro86.6—0—3—
Diego Ramírez86.7—0—4—
Renzo Figueroa———————
Juan Diego Lojas———————
Kevin Moreno———————
Róger Torres———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerAlianza LimaDrawUCV Moquegua
Bet3651.127.5017.00

Snapshot from 2 May 2026, 23:59 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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