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Serie BMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTRE

Avai vs Vila Nova match centre

Avai badgeAvaiHome · 17 in league
WWLLL
Momentum↘ Falling31/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Vila Nova badgeVila NovaAway · 1 in league
WDWLW
Momentum↘ Falling66/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Daniel Penha38′
André Luís30′
Estádio da Ressacada · FlorianopolisSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated 14 Sep 23:33 UK.

Odds updated 15 Sep 01:14 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.55Our model PendingMarket 37.0% Draw3.10Our model PendingMarket 30.4% Away win2.90Our model PendingMarket 32.5% Bet365 · Updated 15 Sep 01:14 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
AvaiVila Nova
4Corner Kicks4
9Fouls14
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
426Total passes550
354Passes accurate463

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Avai 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Vila Nova 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Avai

4/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Avai’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Vila Nova

5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Vila Nova’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Avai at home with Vila Nova away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:54 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Serie B · 2026/27 · all league matches

AvaiVila Nova
27Matches played27
29Points earned47
8Wins14
1.0Goals scored / match1.5
1.3Goals conceded / match1.1
7Clean sheets9
9Failed to score8

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Avai at home with Vila Nova away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Avai

1wins
2 draws

Vila Nova

1wins

Oct 2024 – May 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Avai first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Avai

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Allan Aal
  1. 94Bruno FerreiraG
  2. 4Simples GabrielD
  3. 3AllysonD
  4. 40ReynaldoD
  5. 36DGD
  6. 25Paulo VitorM
  7. 77Zé RicardoM
  8. 14Daniel PenhaM
  9. 10Jean LucasM
  10. 37RildoM
  11. 19Caio Suassuna Gonçalves FerreiraF
Substitutes (12)

5 · Del Piage

15 · Guilherme Vargas

8 · Luiz Henrique

22 · João Vitor Cardoso de Souza

1 · Igor Bohn

23 · Gabriel Cipriano

59 · Lopes Gabriel

20 · Isaías Pereira

95 · Wenderson

26 · Vinicius Miguel Immig

70 · Gaspar

7 · Léo Chú

Vila Nova

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Guto Ferreira
  1. 1Helton LeiteG
  2. 20Nathan CamargoD
  3. 4Douglas MendesD
  4. 23Jonathan CostaD
  5. 13Willian FormigaD
  6. 5João VieiraM
  7. 15DuduM
  8. 17Everton GaldinoM
  9. 10Marquinhos GabrielM
  10. 99JandersonM
  11. 7André LuísF
Substitutes (11)

29 · Dalberson

33 · Bruno Xavier

9 · Puskas Gustavo

3 · Tiago Pagnussat

21 · Higor Meritão

70 · Emerson Urso

11 · Ryan Lima

31 · Dodô

8 · Willian Maranhão

18 · Enzo

16 · Igor Cariús

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Vila Nova

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Dalberson00.000000
Igor Cariús00.000000
Enzo00.000000
Willian Maranhão36.200020
Dodô276.5001110
Ryan Lima86.500000
Emerson Urso276.4000130
Higor Meritão00.000000
Tiago Pagnussat36.300031
Puskas Gustavo00.000000
Bruno Xavier00.000000
Helton Leite906.3000350
Nathan Camargo907.0000574
Douglas Mendes876.9000760
Jonathan Costa906.6000960
Willian Formiga876.2001551
João Vieira906.9000581
Dudu906.7001486
Everton Galdino635.9001270
Marquinhos Gabriel636.0001230
Janderson827.2012360
André Luís908.2104140

Avai

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Gaspar00.000000
Vinicius Miguel Immig00.000000
Wenderson226.2000140
Simples Gabriel686.4001231
Isaías Pereira266.500030
Lopes Gabriel256.500061
Gabriel Cipriano256.600050
Igor Bohn00.000000
Luiz Henrique00.000000
Guilherme Vargas00.000000
Del Piage00.000000
Léo Chú00.000000
Bruno Ferreira906.4000120
João Vitor Cardoso de Souza00.000000
Allyson906.4000530
Reynaldo906.7000412
DG906.8001522
Zé Ricardo907.2000621
Paulo Vitor906.0001471
Rildo656.1000151
Daniel Penha907.3102461
Jean Lucas657.7011411
Caio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira646.2002112
2026/27 STANDINGS

Serie B table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie B. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Vila Nova29156841311051
WDWLW
2Fortaleza EC2914963324951
WDWWD
3Novorizontino29148749272250
LDWWW
4Juventude29148731191250
LLWDD
5Operario-PR2913884136547
WDWWD
6Criciuma2913882827147
LLLWL
7Atletico Goianiense29121073627946
LWWDW
8CRB29136104241145
LWLWW
9Sport Recife291111739291044
WLWLL
10Cuiaba29101363022843
WDWLW
11Goias29126113035-542
WWLLW
12São Bernardo29118104031941
WWLWL
13Athletic Club29101183431341
DWLWL
14Nautico Recife29108113536-138
LDLWW
15Ceara2998123137-635
WDLWL
16Botafogo SP2988133236-432
DLLLL
17Avai2986153038-830
LDLLL
18Londrina2977153941-228
LWWLD
19America Mineiro2945202149-2817
LLWLW
20Ponte Preta2934221762-4513
WLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerAvaiDrawVila Nova
William Hill2.502.882.90
Bet3652.553.102.90
Marathonbet2.472.952.92
Betfair2.502.903.00
BetVictor2.452.902.80

Snapshot from 15 Sep 2026, 01:14 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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