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Serie BMatchweek 29THE MATCH CENTRE

Athletic Club vs Botafogo SP match centre

Athletic Club badgeAthletic ClubHome · 13 in league
LWLW
Momentum→ Steady54/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Botafogo SP badgeBotafogo SPAway · 16 in league
LLLL
Momentum↓ Low0/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Kauan Gabriel Cordeiro Lindes4′
Hygor25′
Estadio Joaquim Portugal · Sao Joao del-ReiSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 21:59 UK.

Odds updated 19 Sep 21:43 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.25Our model 52.4%Market 41.9% Draw3.10Our model 25.4%Market 30.4% Away win3.40Our model 22.2%Market 27.7% Bet365 · Updated 19 Sep 21:43 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Athletic ClubBotafogo SP
2Corner Kicks5
15Fouls19
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
471Total passes315
396Passes accurate251

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Athletic Club 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Botafogo SP 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 19 Sep, 19:58 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Athletic Club

5/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Athletic Club’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Botafogo SP

3/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Botafogo SP’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Athletic Club at home with Botafogo SP away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 05:54 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Serie B · 2026/27 · all league matches

Athletic ClubBotafogo SP
28Matches played28
40Points earned31
10Wins8
1.2Goals scored / match1.1
1.1Goals conceded / match1.3
8Clean sheets5
8Failed to score10

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Athletic Club at home with Botafogo SP away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

3 recorded meetings

Athletic Club

3wins
0 draws

Botafogo SP

0wins

May 2025 – May 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Athletic Club

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Alex
  1. 1Luan PolliG
  2. 2Douglas PeléD
  3. 3JhonatanD
  4. 4Lucas BeleziD
  5. 23EnzoD
  6. 16João MiguelM
  7. 11MaxM
  8. 5Felipe NegrucciM
  9. 17KauanM
  10. 10Kauan LindesM
  11. 20W. AponzaF
Substitutes (12)

8 · G. Cabezas

15 · Jota

13 · Philipe Sampaio

21 · D. Vera

9 · Gustavo Silva

12 · Tony

7 · Bruninho

18 · Assis

19 · J. Torres

22 · Alexandre Cesar

14 · Yago Santos

6 · Marcelo Henrique

Botafogo SP

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Cláudio Tencati
  1. 1Victor SouzaG
  2. 4VilarD
  3. 3EricsonD
  4. 13WallaceD
  5. 6Patrick BreyD
  6. 20Yuri Felipe Santos da ConceiçãoM
  7. 31Pedro HenriqueM
  8. 8Everton MorelliM
  9. 10Rafael GavaM
  10. 7KelvinM
  11. 9HygorF
Substitutes (10)

5 · L. Maciel

18 · Arthur Caíke

26 · Felipe Vieira

2 · Jonathan

30 · Zé Hugo

23 · Wesley Pinheiro Santos

28 · Marco Antônio

12 · Jordan

29 · Thiago Henrique

34 · Badaró

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Botafogo SP

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceição456.1000160
Victor Souza906.7000220
Everton Morelli906.2000163
Hygor397.910151
Kelvin806.5001282
Patrick Brey906.5000352
Rafael Gava906.8003550
Vilar906.9000321
Wallace706.4002250
Arthur Caíke516.400071
Felipe Vieira00.000000
Jonathan206.300050
L. Maciel456.1003112
Zé Hugo106.700120
Wesley Pinheiro Santos00.000000
Marco Antônio106.300021
Jordan00.000000
Thiago Henrique00.000000
Badaró00.000000
Ericson906.1001450
Pedro Henrique806.6011160

Athletic Club

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Yago Santos256.3001100
W. Aponza856.6004150
Lucas Belezi906.6000900
Douglas Pelé906.6000581
Enzo906.2000382
Felipe Negrucci656.7002361
Jhonatan906.6000750
João Miguel786.1000581
Kauan Lindes787.7104250
Kauan906.9002280
Max656.701270
Luan Polli906.4000250
G. Cabezas126.2000140
Jota00.000000
Marcelo Henrique00.000000
Philipe Sampaio00.000000
D. Vera125.800060
Gustavo Silva56.800000
Tony00.000000
Bruninho257.000220
Assis00.000000
J. Torres00.000000
Alexandre Cesar00.000000
2026/27 STANDINGS

Serie B table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie B. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Vila Nova29156841311051
WDWLW
2Fortaleza EC2914963324951
WDWWD
3Novorizontino29148749272250
LDWWW
4Juventude29148731191250
LLWDD
5Operario-PR2913884136547
WDWWD
6Criciuma2913882827147
LLLWL
7Atletico Goianiense29121073627946
LWWDW
8CRB29136104241145
LWLWW
9Sport Recife291111739291044
WLWLL
10Cuiaba29101363022843
WDWLW
11Goias29126113035-542
WWLLW
12São Bernardo29118104031941
WWLWL
13Athletic Club29101183431341
DWLWL
14Nautico Recife29108113536-138
LDLWW
15Ceara2998123137-635
WDLWL
16Botafogo SP2988133236-432
DLLLL
17Avai2986153038-830
LDLLL
18Londrina2977153941-228
LWWLD
19America Mineiro2945202149-2817
LLWLW
20Ponte Preta2934221762-4513
WLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerAthletic ClubDrawBotafogo SP
William Hill2.302.803.30
Bet3652.253.103.40
Marathonbet2.222.953.38
Betfair2.203.003.40
BetVictor2.153.003.20

Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 21:43 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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