ES Tunis
6/9Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect ES Tunis’s results
CAF Champions LeagueQuarter-finalsTHE MATCH CENTREES Tunis vs Al Ahly match centre
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Tougai73′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.1%ES Tunis
Draw3.8%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Al Ahly
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: ES Tunis 4.1% · no further goal 91.9% · Al Ahly 4.0%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.ES TunisAl Ahly
1.750Expected goals · API-Football0.540
5Shots on target2
8Total Shots8
46%Ball Possession54%
2Corner Kicks6
10Fouls10
1Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves4
356Total passes415
291Passes accurate351
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
Quarter-finalsES Tunis 1–0 Al Ahly
→Current progressionES Tunis
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
ES Tunis 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Al Ahly 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Al Ahly
4/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Al Ahly’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
ES Tunis
9 matchesResults6 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals4 of 9
Both teams scored3 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AS MarsaHome · Ligue 11–0Olympique BéjaAway · Ligue 13–0Petro de LuandaHome · CAF Champions League2–0Stade Malien BamakoAway · CAF Champions League0–1SimbaAway · CAF Champions League2–2JS KairouanaiseHome · Ligue 11–0SimbaHome · CAF Champions League1–0US MonastirienneAway · Ligue 11–2AS GabesHome · Ligue 12–1
Al Ahly
10 matchesResults4 wins · 5 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game0.6
Games with 3+ goals2 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
El GeishAway · Premier League1–2El MokawloonAway · Premier League3–1MasrHome · Premier League1–1Smouha SCAway · Premier League1–0El Gouna FCHome · Premier League1–0FAR RabatHome · CAF Champions League0–0Ismaily SCHome · Premier League2–0JS KabylieAway · CAF Champions League0–0National Bank of EgyptAway · Premier League1–1Young AfricansAway · CAF Champions League1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare ES Tunis at home with Al Ahly away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:24 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
CAF Champions League · 2025/26 · all league matches
ES TunisAl Ahly
10Matches played8
21Points earned16
6Wins4
1.7Goals scored / match1.3
0.5Goals conceded / match0.4
6Clean sheets5
2Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares ES Tunis at home with Al Ahly away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
ES Tunis
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Maher Kanzari
- 32
B. Ben SaidG - 37
M. DragerD - 6
H. JelassiD - 15
M. TougaiD - 20
M. Ben HamidaD - 8
H. TkaM - 14
O. OgbeluM - 10
Yan SasseM - 39
M. Haj AliM - 34
J. DiarraM - 22
F. DanhoF
Substitutes (9)
1 · A. Memmiche
40 · Y. Msakni
2 · M. Ben Ali
21 · A. Konate
31 · C. Jebali
29 · A. Diakite
24 · H. Rafia
7 · K. Boualia
23 · I. Keita
Al Ahly
Confirmed formation4-4-2Jess Thorup
- 31
O. ShobeirG - 30
M. HanyD - 21
H. Reyad - 6
Y. IbrahimD - 20
Y. BelammariD - 17
A. BencharkiM - 23
A. DiengM - 36
A. KoukaM - 7
TrezeguetM - 25
ZizoF - 22
E. AshourF
Substitutes (9)
1 · M. El Shenawy
29 · T. Mohamed
14 · H. El Shahat
24 · A. Eid
4 · A. Ramadan
27 · M. Otaka
5 · M. Ben Romdhane
13 · M. Attia
26 · A. El Gazar
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
ES Tunis
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bechir Ben Said | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Mohamed Dräger | 45 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 2 |
| Hamza Jelassi | 77 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 44 | — |
| Mohamed Tougai | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 67 | 1 |
| Amine Ben Hmida | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 2 |
| Houssem Teka | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 6 |
| Onuche Ogbelu | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 1 |
| Yan Sasse | 83 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 21 | — |
| Moez Haj Ali | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Jack Diarra | 63 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Florian Danho | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 3 | 13 | — |
| Ibrahima Keita | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Abdramane Konate | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Kouceila Boualia | 27 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Mohamed Ben Ali | 13 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Youssef Msakni | 16 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Amanallah Memmiche | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hamza Rafia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aboubacar Diakite | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chiheb Jbéli | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al Ahly
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mostafa Shobeir | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Mohamed Hany | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 49 | 2 |
| Hady Reyad | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 45 | — |
| Yasser Ibrahim | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 52 | 2 |
| Youssef Belammari | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 48 | 1 |
| Achraf Bencharki | 77 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | 4 |
| Aliou Dieng | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 1 |
| Ahmed Nabil Koka | 77 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Mahmoud Trézéguet | 87 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | — |
| Zizo | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| Emam Ashour | 87 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 3 |
| Marwan Attia | 13 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Marwan Osman | 13 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Hussein El Shahat | 12 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Taher Mohamed | 12 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Mohamed El-Shenawy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Eid | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Ramadan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amr El Gazar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗CAF Champions League table
Current standings · CAF Champions League , Group B. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 10 | LLDDD |
| 2 |  FAR Rabat | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | DLLWW |
| 3 |  Young Africans | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 | WLDLD |
| 4 |  JS Kabylie | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 3 | LDLDD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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