Celje
5/9Wins
2.6Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Celje’s results
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueRound of 16THE MATCH CENTRECelje vs AEK Athens FC match centre
90′ · Live
0:4
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
B. Varga3′
A. Koita33′
M. Gacinovic36′
H. Moukoudi49′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%Celje
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate100.0%AEK Athens FC
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: Celje 3.1% · no further goal 92.0% · AEK Athens FC 4.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.CeljeAEK Athens FC
0.280Expected goals · API-Football2.810
0Shots on target11
7Total Shots20
59%Ball Possession41%
7Corner Kicks5
14Fouls10
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
6Goalkeeper Saves0
468Total passes327
405Passes accurate283
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
UEFA Conference LeagueProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Athens FC | 7 | +11 | 16 | ↑ 2 |
| 2 |  Strasbourg | 6 | +6 | 16 | ↓ 1 |
| 3 |  Raków Częstochowa | 6 | +7 | 14 | ↓ 1 |
| 4 |  Sparta Praha | 6 | +7 | 13 | — |
| 5 |  Rayo Vallecano | 6 | +6 | 13 | — |
| 6 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | +5 | 13 | — |
| 7 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | +4 | 13 | — |
| 8 |  AEK Larnaca | 6 | +6 | 12 | — |
| 9 |  Lausanne | 6 | +3 | 11 | — |
| 10 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | +5 | 10 | — |
| 11 |  Lech Poznan | 6 | +4 | 10 | — |
| 12 |  Samsunspor | 6 | +4 | 10 | — |
| 13 |  AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 0 | 10 | ↑ 1 |
| 14 | Celje | 7 | -3 | 10 | ↓ 1 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 6 | +3 | 9 | — |
| 16 |  HNK Rijeka | 6 | +3 | 9 | — |
| 17 |  Jagiellonia | 6 | +1 | 9 | — |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 6 | +1 | 8 | — |
| 19 |  FC Noah | 6 | -1 | 8 | — |
| 20 |  Drita | 6 | -4 | 8 | — |
| 21 |  KuPS | 6 | +1 | 7 | — |
| 22 |  Shkendija | 6 | -1 | 7 | — |
| 23 |  Zrinjski | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 24 |  Sigma Olomouc | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 25 |  Universitatea Craiova | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 26 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 6 | -8 | 7 | — |
| 27 |  Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 0 | 6 | — |
| 28 |  Legia Warszawa | 6 | 0 | 6 | — |
| 29 |  Slovan Bratislava | 6 | -4 | 6 | — |
| 30 |  Breidablik | 6 | -5 | 5 | — |
| 31 |  Shamrock Rovers | 6 | -6 | 4 | — |
| 32 |  BK Hacken | 6 | -3 | 3 | — |
| 33 |  Hamrun Spartans | 6 | -7 | 3 | — |
| 34 |  Shelbourne | 6 | -7 | 2 | — |
| 35 |  Aberdeen | 6 | -11 | 2 | — |
| 36 |  Rapid Vienna | 6 | -11 | 1 | — |
Round of 16Celje 0–4 AEK Athens FC
→Current progressionAEK Athens FC
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Celje 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
AEK Athens FC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
AEK Athens FC
6/9Wins
2.1Goals / game
0.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect AEK Athens FC’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Celje
9 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.6
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals8 of 9
Both teams scored7 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
AEK Athens FC
9 matchesResults6 wins · 3 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game0.3
Games with 3+ goals4 of 9
Both teams scored2 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
LarisaHome · Super League 11–0Volos NFCAway · Super League 12–2LevadiakosHome · Super League 14–0PAOKAway · Super League 10–0PanserraikosAway · Super League 14–0Olympiakos PiraeusHome · Super League 11–1Asteras TripolisAway · Super League 11–0PanathinaikosHome · Super League 14–0PanserraikosHome · Super League 12–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Celje at home with AEK Athens FC away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:49 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Europa Conference League · 2025/26 · all league matches
CeljeAEK Athens FC
12Matches played12
25Points earned25
8Wins7
2.0Goals scored / match2.0
1.3Goals conceded / match1.0
5Clean sheets5
2Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Celje at home with AEK Athens FC away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Celje
Confirmed formation4-3-3Ivan Maevskiy
- 1
Z. LebanG - 2
Juanjo NietoD - 44
L. BejgerD - 6
A. TutyskinasD - 23
Z. KarnicnikD - 10
S. SeslarM - 4
D. HrkaM - 8
M. KvesicM - 20
N. IosifovF - 47
A. Kucys - 94
R. PozegF
Substitutes (11)
21 · S. Sluga
12 · L. Kolar
11 · M. Avdyli
27 · I. Calusic
13 · P. Daniel
3 · D. Vuklisevic
17 · A. Kotnik
15 · D. Castro
16 · I. Vidovic
5 · G. Vodeb
7 · F. Jevsenak
AEK Athens FC
Confirmed formation4-4-2Marko Nikolic
- 1
T. StrakoshaG - 12
L. RotaD - 2
H. MoukoudiD - 44
F. RelvasD - 3
S. PiliosD - 8
M. GacinovicM - 18
R. MarinM - 13
O. PinedaM - 11
A. KoitaM - 25
B. VargaF - 9
L. JovicF
Substitutes (11)
91 · A. Brignoli
81 · A. Angelopoulos
20 · P. Mantalos
37 · R. Pereyra
19 · N. Eliasson
7 · D. Kutesa
29 · J. Penrice
21 · D. Vida
90 · Zini
15 · M. Georgiev
17 · D. Kaloskamis
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Celje
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Žan-Luk Leban | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Juanjo Nieto | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 63 | 6 |
| Łukasz Bejger | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 69 | 1 |
| Artemijus Tutyškinas | 45 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 1 |
| Žan Karničnik | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 68 | 4 |
| Svit Sešlar | 85 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 41 | 1 |
| Darko Hrka | 45 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 2 |
| Mario Kvesić | 75 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 2 |
| Nikita Iosifov | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Armandas Kučys | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | — |
| Rudi Požeg Vancaš | 57 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| David Castro | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Papa Daniel | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| Milot Avdyli | 33 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 |
| Andrej Kotnik | 15 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 2 |
| Ivica Vidović | 9 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Luka Kolar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Simon Sluga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Damjan Vuklišević | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gašper Vodeb | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Ćalušić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Florjan Jevsenak | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
AEK Athens FC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Strakosha | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Lazaros Rota | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 3 |
| Harold Moukoudi | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 1 |
| Filipe Relvas | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 60 | — |
| Stavros Pilios | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 35 | 1 |
| Mijat Gaćinović | 78 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 |
| Răzvan Marin | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 2 | 31 | 2 |
| Orbelín Pineda | 74 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 4 |
| Aboubakary Koita | 73 | 8.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
| Barnabás Varga | 86 | 8.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 3 |
| Luka Jović | 78 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 17 | — |
| Dereck Kutesa | 17 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Roberto Pereyra | 16 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Petros Mantalos | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Zini | 12 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Dimitrios Kaloskamis | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Alberto Brignoli | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Angelos Angelopoulos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Georgiev | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Domagoj Vida | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Penrice | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niclas Eliasson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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